Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.53K

Unrealized P&L

-$145

Hit rate

73.7%

Resolved

291

Trades

1,054

lifetime

Volume

$101.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$97

Open exposure

$2.72K

13 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 10-30 20:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 105 days

Categories

Politics

48% 57% +$1,508

Other

44% 43% -$16

Sports

6% 42% +$309

Tech

1% 22% -$177

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$3

Crypto

0% 0% -$94

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	+1,210	$964	94¢	$1.1K	+$174	08-20 10:42
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	+1,007	$450	42¢	$422	-$28	10-30 20:05
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+414	$290	72¢	$296	+$6	10-30 20:05
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+500	$387	57¢	$288	-$100	10-27 21:20
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+500	-$71	42¢	$213	+$283	10-29 17:46
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	+455	$150	38¢	$175	+$25	10-30 20:18
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	+1,210	$561	6¢	$73	-$489	08-26 22:18
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	+226	$56	22¢	$51	-$6	10-30 19:40
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	+67	$20	30¢	$20	$0	10-27 09:44
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	+33	$20	46¢	$15	-$5	10-27 15:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	+15	$11	97¢	$15	+$3	10-30 19:45
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+222	$20	5¢	$11	-$9	10-27 20:02
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	+123	$5	4¢	$4	-$1	10-30 20:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	22	$9.7K	5,919	5,919	+0	Yes	+$439	04-02 04:25
netanyahu out by march 31 854	9	$7.9K	4,093	4,093	+0	No	+$164	03-23 12:26
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	18	$5.0K	5,182	4,182	+1,000	open	—	10-29 17:46
kraken ipo by march 31 2026	2	$4.0K	2,020	2,020	+0	No	+$2	03-20 11:06
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	30	$3.8K	4,417	1,997	+2,420	open	—	08-26 22:18
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	13	$3.7K	2,704	2,704	+0	Yes	+$1,087	10-26 02:26
will trump visit china by march 31	3	$3.4K	1,731	1,731	+0	No	+$11	03-25 17:42
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	7	$3.0K	2,562	2,562	+0	Yes	+$74	03-30 01:14
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$2.9K	1,647	1,647	+0	No	+$82	03-23 14:04
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	12	$2.4K	2,700	1,950	+750	No	-$331	03-30 01:15
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$2.2K	1,325	1,325	+0	No	+$27	03-25 13:03
Will England win on 2026-07-15?	3	$2.0K	3,000	2,400	+600	No	-$240	07-15 17:54
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	17	$1.9K	8,051	6,492	+1,559	No	-$245	03-25 13:23
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$1.8K	1,435	1,435	+0	Yes	-$14	03-31 19:13
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$20	03-25 12:27
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$1.6K	959	959	+0	No	+$48	06-09 01:05
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	9	$1.4K	2,215	2,215	+0	No	+$196	10-26 22:11
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	3	$1.3K	921	667	+254	No	+$54	03-31 19:13
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	18	$1.2K	1,259	652	+607	Yes	+$303	10-26 22:26
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	12	$1.2K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	10-29 17:46
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	10	$1.1K	600	600	+0	Yes	+$13	10-28 05:58
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	12	$1.0K	1,757	750	+1,007	open	—	10-30 20:05
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	2	$997	559	559	+0	No	-$3	03-27 17:59
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	4	$840	800	800	+0	No	+$8	03-28 21:38
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	5	$809	416	416	+0	Yes	+$9	03-25 14:36
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	3	$800	580	580	+0	Yes	+$0	03-29 08:36
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	6	$787	492	492	+0	open	—	07-31 20:43
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	9	$780	646	646	+0	open	—	10-29 17:46
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	2	$765	629	629	+0	No	-$35	03-19 14:05
iran leadership change by march 31	4	$716	400	400	+0	No	+$28	03-23 14:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 20:18:09	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	455	33¢	$150	0x325b26…
10-30 20:10:22	Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	123	4¢	$5	0x15fc71…
10-30 20:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x3690ba…
10-30 20:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xe9b9f7…
10-30 20:05:10	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	607	41¢	$250	0x0cc7b2…
10-30 20:05:06	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	414	70¢	$290	0xb0c0f4…
10-30 19:45:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0x41bedd…
10-30 19:40:51	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	226	25¢	$56	0xb5388f…
10-29 22:46:42	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	340	40¢	$136	0xbe6965…
10-29 21:14:21	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0x9e906a…
10-29 21:12:54	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x7523ad…
10-29 21:11:39	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0xfc6ed2…
10-29 17:46:59	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	500	10¢	$52	0x1bda39…
10-29 17:46:53	Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0x40d447…
10-29 17:46:46	Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?	No	SELL	120	92¢	$110	0xb8c17d…
10-29 17:46:38	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	600	40¢	$240	0xae5fbf…
10-29 17:46:29	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	72¢	$216	0x7e8968…
10-29 17:46:22	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	400	66¢	$264	0xa74b0b…
10-29 17:46:14	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	438	69¢	$302	0x2ccc8c…
10-29 17:46:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,341	42¢	$563	0xe7c79a…
10-29 00:02:20	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	400	44¢	$174	0xd01baa…
10-28 22:47:20	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	70¢	$40	0xda0249…
10-28 22:47:10	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	127	70¢	$89	0xf96c43…
10-28 22:47:10	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	70¢	$81	0x56fc35…
10-28 07:24:53	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$52	0x9e02d7…
10-28 05:58:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	66	96¢	$63	0xa5242b…
10-28 05:54:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	534	96¢	$511	0x2062a9…
10-28 04:14:10	Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xa8bd7f…
10-28 03:58:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	400	45¢	$180	0xea87a1…
10-27 23:43:30	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	120	3¢	$3	0x4fb237…
10-27 23:12:11	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	150	67¢	$100	0x58d3ea…
10-27 23:02:14	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	120	12¢	$14	0x2e7701…
10-27 22:43:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	941	45¢	$424	0x4484b2…
10-27 22:42:33	Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?	No	BUY	40	81¢	$32	0x7d1e59…
10-27 22:38:39	Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?	No	BUY	40	81¢	$32	0x80624e…
10-27 22:38:35	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	71	67¢	$47	0x7ac5e5…
10-27 22:38:32	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	79	67¢	$53	0x7e4401…
10-27 22:29:27	Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?	No	BUY	40	81¢	$32	0x753a38…
10-27 21:53:27	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	155	16¢	$25	0x5e1529…
10-27 21:25:12	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	600	36¢	$216	0xfadc16…
10-27 21:20:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	500	64¢	$320	0x7df6d1…
10-27 21:08:21	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	606	33¢	$200	0x0a841d…
10-27 21:04:30	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	464	15¢	$70	0x243d65…
10-27 20:52:24	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	Yes	SELL	47	42¢	$20	0xf6fdbd…
10-27 20:45:18	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xba37af…
10-27 20:28:33	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xbd3980…
10-27 20:17:29	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x6a9051…
10-27 20:16:32	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0x9e538a…
10-27 20:14:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,111	27¢	$300	0xd2f519…
10-27 20:11:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	250	70¢	$175	0x13cf6d…
10-27 20:09:33	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	750	68¢	$510	0xb3e50f…
10-27 20:02:20	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0xb48f92…
10-27 17:53:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	300	77¢	$231	0xec635f…
10-27 17:34:48	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0xde9cfa…
10-27 17:34:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	500	77¢	$385	0xedfd40…
10-27 17:27:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	450	77¢	$346	0x70e022…
10-27 16:59:24	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	10	45¢	$5	0x1d5386…
10-27 16:58:27	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	106	45¢	$47	0xbddefa…
10-27 16:20:18	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	337	63¢	$211	0xd14c43…
10-27 16:19:50	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	9	63¢	$5	0x5c4172…
10-27 15:34:48	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	Yes	BUY	47	63¢	$30	0x3ffdf1…
10-27 15:34:11	Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x83068e…
10-27 10:48:14	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x72ba7e…
10-27 09:44:02	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0xb5cfa8…
10-27 09:37:51	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	346	58¢	$200	0xb989ec…
10-27 05:08:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	128	94¢	$120	0xb806bf…
10-27 05:06:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x10f19d…
10-27 04:51:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0xbf29e0…
10-27 04:51:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb15dee…
10-27 04:37:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x0f9d6f…
10-27 04:36:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xedc55d…
10-27 04:25:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	378	73¢	$276	0xedaf3d…
10-27 04:25:00	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	72	73¢	$53	0x0ebb56…
10-27 04:05:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	150	94¢	$140	0x291234…
10-27 03:59:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	185	94¢	$173	0xa22034…
10-27 02:47:00	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	450	73¢	$328	0xf4b9d4…
10-27 01:17:45	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	238	7¢	$18	0x23541b…
10-27 01:13:57	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	79	79¢	$62	0x1d4c85…
10-27 01:13:03	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x6970ed…
10-27 01:08:56	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	9	81¢	$8	0xb01533…
10-27 01:07:35	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	47	20¢	$9	0x021f34…
10-27 01:07:02	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	59	81¢	$48	0x8923bf…
10-27 01:05:53	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xeb5785…
10-27 01:05:53	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	52	20¢	$10	0x76b66a…
10-27 01:05:08	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0xeb2dd3…
10-27 00:57:29	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x122193…
10-27 00:20:50	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xc24747…
10-26 22:26:17	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0x6fd4c1…
10-26 22:26:00	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	138	73¢	$100	0xc6e106…
10-26 22:24:42	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	400	71¢	$283	0xef5ded…
10-26 22:16:50	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0xe53630…
10-26 22:16:12	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	145	6¢	$9	0xe99c39…
10-26 22:16:12	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x1feaa3…
10-26 22:11:17	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	162	17¢	$27	0xa2aa8d…
10-26 22:11:15	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	38	17¢	$6	0x086175…
10-26 21:47:26	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	82	17¢	$14	0x148471…
10-26 21:47:18	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x9bce1c…
10-26 20:53:20	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	63¢	$43	0xff7a2e…
10-26 20:53:20	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	63¢	$64	0xaad4f4…
10-26 20:53:18	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0x29886a…