Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$87

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.3%

Resolved

Trades

645

lifetime

Volume

$70.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$110

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 08-06 16:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

48% 40% $-87

Politics

45% — —

Sports

5% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	22	$9.7K	5,919	5,919	+0	open	—	04-02 04:25
netanyahu out by march 31 854	9	$7.9K	4,093	4,093	+0	open	—	03-23 12:26
kraken ipo by march 31 2026	2	$4.0K	2,020	2,020	+0	open	—	03-20 11:06
will trump visit china by march 31	3	$3.4K	1,731	1,731	+0	open	—	03-25 17:42
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	7	$3.0K	2,562	2,562	+0	open	—	03-30 01:14
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$2.9K	1,647	1,647	+0	open	—	03-23 14:04
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	19	$2.7K	3,096	1,457	+1,639	open	—	08-06 16:14
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	12	$2.4K	2,700	1,950	+750	open	—	03-30 01:15
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$2.2K	1,325	1,325	+0	open	—	03-25 13:03
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	17	$1.9K	8,051	6,492	+1,559	open	—	03-25 13:23
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$1.8K	1,435	1,435	+0	open	—	03-31 19:13
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-25 12:27
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	3	$1.3K	921	667	+254	open	—	03-31 19:13
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	2	$997	559	559	+0	open	—	03-27 17:59
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	4	$840	800	800	+0	open	—	03-28 21:38
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	5	$809	416	416	+0	open	—	03-25 14:36
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	3	$800	580	580	+0	open	—	03-29 08:36
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	6	$787	492	492	+0	open	—	07-31 20:43
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	2	$765	629	629	+0	open	—	03-19 14:05
iran leadership change by march 31	4	$716	400	400	+0	open	—	03-23 14:04
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$704	400	400	+0	open	—	03-20 11:06
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	3	$696	0	765	-765	open	—	06-08 16:41
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	25	$687	1,051	651	+400	open	—	08-04 16:14
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	3	$680	483	483	+0	open	—	06-14 22:51
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$663	921	921	+0	open	—	03-25 12:27
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	20	$582	733	245	+488	Yes	+$234	04-03 12:46
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	2	$548	300	300	+0	open	—	03-26 15:48
will leavitt say death to america during the next white house press briefing	3	$510	497	297	+200	open	—	03-25 18:07
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	2	$507	308	308	+0	open	—	03-26 20:31
will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	1	$493	1,300	0	+1,300	open	—	03-24 04:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 16:14:45	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	350	69¢	$241	0xe22f0a…
08-06 16:06:36	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	261	69¢	$180	0x8e5940…
08-06 15:51:05	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	105	69¢	$72	0x131af3…
08-06 15:47:36	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	741	77¢	$570	0xb21bfa…
08-06 00:50:08	lec mon orl 2026 08 05 spread home 1pt5	CF Monterrey	BUY	121	25¢	$30	0x928a53…
08-05 21:51:14	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	1,457	69¢	$1,000	0x68129e…
08-05 05:47:38	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	No	BUY	59	68¢	$40	0xcf853c…
08-05 00:19:30	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	158	61¢	$96	0x206638…
08-04 18:29:51	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0x9c8608…
08-04 16:15:00	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	71	7¢	$5	0x701c24…
08-04 16:14:53	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	SELL	83	16¢	$13	0x0f172c…
08-04 16:14:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	651	21¢	$137	0xe44fba…
08-04 08:47:02	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	24	61¢	$15	0x710e7f…
08-04 08:28:06	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x204ad6…
08-04 05:38:35	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	12	61¢	$7	0xe665b7…
08-04 05:18:56	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0x75a2dd…
08-04 04:40:35	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x0fa94c…
08-04 04:14:26	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xd0f447…
08-03 16:30:20	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0xe2c150…
08-03 06:00:24	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	543	37¢	$200	0xf25ceb…
08-02 21:44:45	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	168	37¢	$62	0xd166b3…
08-02 21:04:20	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc33091…
08-02 21:04:02	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2385c9…
08-02 21:02:57	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x1ef20b…
08-02 20:41:11	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	33	37¢	$12	0xba6dc6…
08-02 20:30:44	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x27b2c9…
08-02 11:07:11	btc updown 5m 1785668700	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x4c9a63…
08-02 11:07:03	btc updown 5m 1785668700	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x92925b…
08-02 10:56:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x66e1f2…
08-02 00:41:44	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x9dd114…
08-02 00:35:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x0ac7a0…
08-02 00:33:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x2b47a4…
08-02 00:33:35	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x696675…
08-02 00:32:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0xb87016…
08-02 00:32:35	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0xd15e65…
08-02 00:32:35	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x658e85…
08-02 00:32:35	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x2bf8e8…
08-02 00:32:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x881832…
08-02 00:32:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x81d7b2…
08-02 00:32:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x266381…
08-02 00:32:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xf68869…
08-02 00:32:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x764177…
08-02 00:32:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x529aa6…
08-02 00:32:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x423977…
08-02 00:31:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xbc6384…
08-02 00:31:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xd5473e…
08-02 00:31:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xf30334…
08-02 00:31:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x13668b…
08-02 00:26:27	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x9c3621…
08-01 23:42:57	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0x000814…
08-01 19:27:06	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2d2bb7…
08-01 18:31:12	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0xad8638…
08-01 17:58:51	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	65	62¢	$40	0x418535…
08-01 17:43:05	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	131	38¢	$50	0x4bcc9e…
08-01 17:24:44	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	BUY	83	18¢	$15	0xb34b4e…
08-01 17:07:45	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	284	35¢	$100	0x181fa3…
08-01 03:59:56	mex jua pum 2026 07 31 spread away 1pt5	Pumas de la UNAM	SELL	110	87¢	$96	0x21bf99…
08-01 02:57:50	mex jua pum 2026 07 31 spread away 1pt5	Pumas de la UNAM	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0x49f726…
08-01 02:53:24	mex asl tij 2026 07 31 spread away 1pt5	Club Tijuana	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x39e63b…
07-31 21:04:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x11963e…
07-31 20:43:48	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	260	60¢	$156	0xd69494…
07-31 19:51:18	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x423e86…
07-31 19:39:32	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	230	87¢	$200	0x01db4c…
07-31 19:30:59	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xd58599…
07-31 19:30:11	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	167	55¢	$92	0x35e577…
07-31 08:59:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	240	71¢	$170	0x1b5e42…
07-31 07:01:00	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	232	91¢	$211	0xecbd1d…
07-31 04:12:20	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x371b98…
07-31 01:37:00	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x5f2ad0…
07-30 23:20:47	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	167	24¢	$40	0x928a2c…
07-30 22:50:39	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	SELL	197	4¢	$8	0x376714…
07-30 22:08:24	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	132	4¢	$5	0x8450f9…
07-30 22:06:32	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	131	4¢	$5	0x3b3fe8…
07-30 22:02:06	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	SELL	126	99¢	$125	0x111554…
07-30 17:13:03	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	22	30¢	$7	0xe385b6…
07-30 16:58:51	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	104	29¢	$30	0xadc4f5…
07-30 11:13:02	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	Yes	BUY	71	29¢	$21	0xe9f8fd…
07-30 04:08:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	191	18¢	$34	0x2b9b80…
07-30 04:05:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x771046…
07-29 21:06:00	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	Yes	BUY	29	29¢	$8	0xd98989…
07-29 18:50:47	spx up or down on july 29 2026	Down	SELL	56	33¢	$18	0xd81175…
07-29 18:46:42	will warsh say dissent during july press conference 20260720204109057 245	Yes	SELL	21	18¢	$4	0xa52956…
07-29 18:46:33	will warsh say dissent during july press conference 20260720204109057 245	Yes	SELL	18	18¢	$3	0x91db86…
07-29 18:46:05	will warsh say consumer confidence during july press conference 20260720204109053	Yes	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0xf147c5…
07-29 18:29:11	mlb phi mia 2026 07 29	Miami Marlins	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x49dddd…
07-29 18:18:50	will warsh say dissent during july press conference 20260720204109057 245	Yes	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0xff9a3f…
07-29 18:15:41	spx up or down on july 29 2026	Down	BUY	56	72¢	$40	0xc78812…
07-29 17:51:24	will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	110	3¢	$3	0x24120f…
07-29 17:39:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xf31b59…
07-28 21:59:13	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x84e7d7…
07-28 21:53:56	mlb phi mia 2026 07 28	Miami Marlins	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x32d374…
07-28 03:22:45	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	SELL	143	3¢	$5	0x4f84f8…
07-25 07:05:12	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	150	6¢	$9	0x57f096…
07-25 00:41:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x79030c…
07-24 17:17:15	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	Yes	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0x6b7607…
07-24 17:16:51	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	No	SELL	51	8¢	$4	0x21774e…
07-24 17:16:33	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	Yes	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xacecfb…
07-24 16:01:12	ufc mag11 drzepe 2026 07 25	Damian Rzepecki	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x6f40eb…
07-22 23:00:15	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0x5cbbb9…
07-22 20:02:12	la velada del ano 6 lit killah vs kidd keo 20260708165412956	Kidd Keo	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x573f7e…