Testy-Relationship — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$91

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

24.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$258

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-06

last 08-09 15:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

39% 17% -$40

Politics

27% 22% +$34

Crypto

26% 0% -$66

Sports

8% 0% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	Yes		-50	-$7	4¢	$-2	+$5	05-28 08:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us collect between 100b and 200b in revenue in 2025	4	$35	2,544	0	+2,544	No	-$35	02-26 08:59
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$31	48	48	+0	No	+$17	05-16 10:44
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	1	$18	90	0	+90	Yes	+$72	02-06 08:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$14	33	0	+33	Down	-$14	05-17 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	1	$14	33	0	+33	Up	-$14	05-12 11:33
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$10	200	0	+200	No	-$10	02-18 12:34
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	1	$10	1,250	0	+1,250	No	-$10	02-18 12:33
will bitcoin dip to 62k february 9 15	1	$10	91	0	+91	No	-$10	02-13 09:35
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	1	$8	14	0	+14	Yes	+$6	02-20 12:01
will italy win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$8	184	0	+184	No	-$8	02-13 09:50
will bitcoin dip to 64k february 9 15	1	$8	27	0	+27	No	-$8	02-13 09:35
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	1	$7	0	50	-50	open	—	05-28 08:14
will the united states win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$7	23	0	+23	No	-$7	02-13 09:53
will italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$5	217	0	+217	No	-$5	02-13 09:58
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$5	128	0	+128	No	-$5	03-03 10:34
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$5	2,500	0	+2,500	No	-$5	07-29 08:41
ukraine hits moscow by february 14 2026	1	$5	625	0	+625	No	-$5	02-13 09:33
ukraine hits moscow by february 28 2026	1	$5	75	0	+75	No	-$5	02-13 09:33
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	1	$5	22	0	+22	Yes	-$5	03-04 08:30
will ethereum dip to 1600 in february 2026	1	$5	23	0	+23	No	-$5	02-13 09:52
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$5	24	0	+24	No	-$5	07-29 08:41
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$5	15	0	+15	No	-$5	03-10 09:56
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$5	23	0	+23	No	-$5	03-10 09:57
will bitcoin dip to 60k february 9 15	1	$5	95	0	+95	No	-$5	02-13 09:35
will ethereum dip to 1400 in february 2026	1	$5	51	0	+51	No	-$5	02-13 09:52
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	1	$3	0	222	-222	No	+$3	05-28 08:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 15:05 UTC	3	$3	4	1	+2	Up	-$1	08-09 15:07
will wunmi mosaku win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	1	$2	11	0	+11	No	-$2	03-10 09:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 13:30 UTC	1	$2	436	0	+436	Up	-$2	08-09 13:34
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$2	118	0	+118	No	-$2	08-09 13:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 15:07:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6d14b4…
08-09 15:06:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 15:05 UTC	Up	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x2dad83…
08-09 15:06:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x544b1f…
08-09 15:03:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd5b651…
08-09 14:07:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb09849…
08-09 13:36:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	118	2¢	$2	0xfb55d4…
08-09 13:34:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	436	0¢	$2	0x548f20…
07-29 08:41:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x00acf3…
07-29 08:41:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x102af9…
05-28 08:14:59	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0xf807cb…
05-28 08:14:52	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	222	2¢	$3	0x31bea7…
05-17 10:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	33	43¢	$14	0x64afac…
05-16 10:44:49	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	49¢	$24	0x5e31e7…
05-12 11:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	33	41¢	$14	0xabefe9…
03-10 09:57:45	will wunmi mosaku win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	11	23¢	$2	0xb65e4a…
03-10 09:57:19	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0x06c9ee…
03-10 09:56:51	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x812eb9…
03-05 09:20:11	will bill clinton say president or trump 3 times during his epstein testimony	Yes	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xf5c33d…
03-05 09:19:53	will bill clinton say white house during his epstein testimony	Yes	BUY	99	1¢	$1	0x1c9d6f…
03-05 09:19:35	will bill clinton say secretary during his epstein testimony	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x1438ab…
03-05 09:18:59	will bill clinton say plane during his epstein testimony	Yes	BUY	163	1¢	$1	0x27d618…
03-04 08:30:21	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xe9701f…
03-03 10:34:55	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	128	4¢	$5	0xcb6b1d…
02-26 08:59:58	will the us collect between 100b and 200b in revenue in 2025	Yes	BUY	1,114	1¢	$10	0x117550…
02-26 08:51:44	will the us collect between 100b and 200b in revenue in 2025	Yes	BUY	645	1¢	$5	0xab5daf…
02-20 12:01:00	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	14	60¢	$8	0x3b10ba…
02-20 12:00:32	will the us collect between 100b and 200b in revenue in 2025	Yes	BUY	385	3¢	$10	0x969c09…
02-18 12:35:22	will the us collect between 100b and 200b in revenue in 2025	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$10	0xdbad09…
02-18 12:34:06	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x12fc3c…
02-18 12:33:50	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1,250	1¢	$10	0x69364b…
02-13 09:58:59	will italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	217	2¢	$5	0xb51a46…
02-13 09:53:05	will the united states win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0x3ab7f5…
02-13 09:52:33	will ethereum dip to 1600 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x484a3a…
02-13 09:52:23	will ethereum dip to 1400 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0x4091d0…
02-13 09:51:17	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	14¢	$7	0x94e85c…
02-13 09:50:39	will italy win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	184	4¢	$8	0x3ab793…
02-13 09:35:31	will bitcoin dip to 60k february 9 15	Yes	BUY	95	5¢	$5	0x728fbe…
02-13 09:35:21	will bitcoin dip to 62k february 9 15	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xabdc56…
02-13 09:35:13	will bitcoin dip to 64k february 9 15	Yes	BUY	27	30¢	$8	0xc7ff98…
02-13 09:33:55	ukraine hits moscow by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	75	7¢	$5	0xc83ebf…
02-13 09:33:19	ukraine hits moscow by february 14 2026	Yes	BUY	625	1¢	$5	0xeb883c…
02-06 08:32:35	us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	Yes	BUY	90	20¢	$18	0x61fc33…