Realized P&L
+$5
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
90.6%
Resolved
8
Trades
836
lifetime
Volume
$2.96K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$37
9 positions
First seen
2026-02-13
last 06-18 15:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
36% 67% +$1
Sports
32% 100% +$1
Crypto
15%
Politics
13% 50% +$2
Tech
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -6 $-5 94¢ $-6 $-0 06-13 20:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -15 $-6 36¢ $-5 +$1 06-11 20:42
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes -10 $-5 50¢ $-5 $-0 06-11 20:42
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-5 90¢ $-5 $-0 06-16 10:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -7 $-5 68¢ $-5 $-0 06-16 10:23
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -45 $-4 10¢ $-4 $-0 06-16 10:23
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -6 $-4 69¢ $-4 +$0 06-16 10:22
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -62 $-4 $-2 +$2 06-16 10:23
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes -1 $-0 18¢ $-0 $-0 06-18 15:55