Shabby-Licence — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

—

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

—

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

662 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$5.17K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$29

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 11-01 13:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 112 days

Categories

Other

78% 43% -$20

Crypto

20% 21% -$196

Sports

2% 20% -$26

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+38	$10	61¢	$23	+$13	10-28 08:58
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+23	$10	27¢	$6	-$4	10-28 08:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	6	$313	405	405	+0	No	+$53	08-11 12:12
will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 23	3	$82	235	40	+195	No	-$8	06-23 16:52
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	5	$80	164	164	+0	Yes	+$50	05-15 06:04
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	7	$78	199	158	+41	No	+$18	05-19 12:58
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	5	$75	50	50	-0	Yes	+$3	04-10 14:53
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	2	$64	59	59	+0	No	+$4	08-10 15:11
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	2	$61	115	115	+0	No	+$1	08-19 07:59
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	2	$60	103	103	+0	No	$0	08-12 04:27
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	2	$59	136	136	+0	Yes	-$1	08-11 14:48
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	2	$57	53	53	+0	Yes	+$37	08-04 13:42
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	6	$53	64	64	+0	Yes	+$3	05-18 17:40
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	2	$53	59	59	+0	Yes	+$33	10-27 13:02
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	9	$52	93	90	+3	No	+$3	04-07 05:42
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	8	$50	481	290	+191	No	+$0	06-11 13:58
will bitcoin reach 68k june 22 28 2026	1	$50	2,137	0	+2,137	No	-$50	06-25 07:43
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	2	$50	53	53	+0	Yes	+$30	05-09 11:46
will ethereum reach 1850 on june 15	3	$49	72	72	+0	No	+$39	06-15 16:35
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	5	$49	64	65	-1	Yes	+$8	06-11 18:05
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	6	$48	188	73	+116	No	-$4	06-15 18:59
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	2	$47	100	100	+0	No	-$13	08-16 14:51
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	2	$46	42	42	+0	Yes	+$26	10-13 05:56
bitcoin above 58k on june 27 2026	3	$45	282	143	+139	Yes	+$25	06-27 01:12
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	4	$45	40	40	+0	Yes	+$5	05-08 17:40
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 280 299	4	$45	138	132	+6	No	+$15	04-16 11:21
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$44	51	50	+0	No	+$24	05-26 14:40
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$43	109	109	+0	Yes	+$3	07-11 06:00
ethereum above 2200 on april 8	4	$43	101	94	+7	Yes	+$23	04-08 14:35
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	2	$43	58	58	+0	Yes	-$1	04-03 12:40
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	5	$43	58	59	-1	No	+$3	06-12 09:13
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	2	$42	32	32	+0	Yes	+$22	06-19 17:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 13:53:12	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	385	1¢	$5	0xc3675f…
10-30 15:03:51	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x991b92…
10-30 15:01:34	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	11¢	$5	0x08d246…
10-30 14:47:45	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0xdce6cd…
10-30 14:47:39	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$1	0x2116b9…
10-30 14:46:45	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x53db5c…
10-30 14:42:04	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	30¢	$11	0xeadf05…
10-30 14:14:39	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xa35d0a…
10-30 14:13:39	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xf280ae…
10-29 08:12:19	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	90	6¢	$5	0x4e10bd…
10-28 08:58:01	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	38	27¢	$10	0xd3e64b…
10-28 08:57:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x5f17df…
10-28 08:44:32	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x696ffb…
10-27 13:08:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x165c79…
10-27 13:04:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x850e2a…
10-27 13:02:14	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	73¢	$43	0xc9d98f…
10-26 13:21:39	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb68a45…
10-24 13:32:17	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x32c3bc…
10-24 13:32:12	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xd55906…
10-24 13:31:59	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x98f329…
10-24 13:31:56	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x586167…
10-24 11:55:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xb41b57…
10-24 08:23:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x109708…
10-24 08:20:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	67	7¢	$5	0x5598fb…
10-22 09:30:54	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x1b4f14…
10-22 08:41:26	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xa5e89b…
10-22 08:41:18	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xfeae2f…
10-19 03:09:21	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	31¢	$11	0xedc3d2…
10-19 03:09:12	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	13¢	$6	0xb7a5e3…
10-19 03:09:03	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xb27aa5…
10-19 03:08:57	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	34¢	$19	0xb50b03…
10-19 03:03:59	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	1¢	$1	0x906e67…
10-18 23:24:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 20?	No	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xa2ee8f…
10-18 23:24:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 20?	No	BUY	85	12¢	$10	0x6fbaaa…
10-18 13:37:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 20?	No	BUY	64	16¢	$10	0x2eecd7…
10-18 02:27:32	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xb9ae6c…
10-18 02:26:02	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x7cc7ed…
10-18 02:25:47	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x627ea4…
10-18 02:25:35	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xa3fe0c…
10-15 18:22:10	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	4¢	$3	0x3c3071…
10-15 11:58:43	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xbb959a…
10-15 11:57:04	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	15¢	$10	0x2d2b90…
10-15 11:55:25	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x810aed…
10-13 07:20:49	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x1abb2a…
10-13 05:56:00	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	85¢	$36	0x7e3dbb…
10-12 13:10:21	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x9ef1ca…
10-12 06:05:02	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	6¢	$5	0x19b29a…
10-11 10:04:28	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0x5a0a4e…
10-11 10:01:09	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xde607b…
10-11 10:00:24	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x7d8df1…
10-09 07:28:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 10?	No	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0x16d653…
10-09 07:26:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 9?	No	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x900f4f…
10-08 05:12:07	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	153	26¢	$40	0x9aa234…
10-07 08:35:42	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	153	1¢	$1	0xcea7d3…
10-07 08:35:09	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xb31fb1…
10-07 08:35:03	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x43c3e8…
10-02 17:39:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4?	Yes	SELL	119	10¢	$12	0xfebd09…
10-02 08:41:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4?	Yes	BUY	119	4¢	$5	0xa4ebf3…
09-15 18:47:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 16?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xdb7f93…
09-15 06:47:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 16?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x2bb0e1…
09-15 06:44:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 16?	No	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xb82a85…
09-13 17:23:36	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	270	4¢	$10	0x661029…
09-13 12:05:12	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xceeef7…
09-13 12:00:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 16?	No	BUY	68	7¢	$5	0x305097…
09-13 11:51:42	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	87	3¢	$2	0xb1bfcd…
09-12 11:58:13	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xa6939d…
09-12 06:50:24	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x187e5a…
09-12 05:48:25	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	2¢	$1	0x245e8a…
09-11 18:01:19	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	5¢	$3	0xd266c8…
09-11 18:00:09	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	2¢	$2	0x5a3cbc…
09-11 17:48:45	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x09cdba…
09-11 17:46:39	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x8b6049…
09-11 07:03:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 11?	No	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0xe86cf5…
09-11 07:00:58	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 7-13?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xc9c719…
09-07 18:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x92aeee…
09-07 18:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x601acd…
09-07 18:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0xbe4a60…
09-07 18:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x006e27…
09-07 18:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xed1433…
09-07 17:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x992d0d…
09-03 12:17:25	dtrump out as president by september 30	Yes	BUY	357	1¢	$5	0xbd29c5…
08-29 13:06:52	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xa8bdf3…
08-29 12:58:30	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x2698cd…
08-29 12:55:19	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xee64f7…
08-29 12:54:07	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x9c6fa3…
08-29 11:54:25	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xfc34ef…
08-29 11:48:22	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xeb094c…
08-29 11:47:42	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x100efc…
08-29 11:45:40	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xdc62ec…
08-29 11:43:48	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 11:40 UTC	Up	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0xfbd136…
08-29 11:43:01	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x687a78…
08-29 11:40:37	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 11:40 UTC	Down	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0xcc59fb…
08-29 11:40:22	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xbcda25…
08-29 11:39:28	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe0d469…
08-27 10:05:01	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x37cc7a…
08-27 10:02:57	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	16¢	$10	0x04e272…
08-27 09:59:12	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf92dcf…
08-25 09:06:27	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	92¢	$24	0xbaabdb…
08-24 12:59:15	bitcoin above 76k on august 25 2026	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x581f34…
08-24 07:37:57	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	342	3¢	$10	0xb143b1…