Misguided-Variable — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

16.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,031

lifetime

Volume

$2.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 06-16 16:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 0% $-3

Other

1% 50% $-1

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 166 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1781609400	6	$71	211	140	+71	open	—	06-16 11:32
btc updown 15m 1781621100	13	$51	70	47	+24	open	—	06-16 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	3	$50	43	25	+18	open	—	06-01 08:12
btc updown 5m 1781609700	4	$48	53	53	+0	open	—	06-16 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	7	$38	80	71	+9	open	—	05-27 22:34
btc updown 5m 1781625600	7	$36	76	67	+9	open	—	06-16 16:04
btc updown 15m 1781619300	7	$36	317	13	+304	open	—	06-16 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	3	$35	506	0	+506	open	—	06-01 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	5	$34	32	32	+0	open	—	05-15 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	3	$33	29	29	+0	open	—	05-15 16:30
btc updown 5m 1781623500	6	$32	134	34	+100	open	—	06-16 15:29
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 15?	15	$32	125	110	+15	open	—	05-15 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	5	$32	49	29	+20	open	—	05-27 22:40
btc updown 15m 1781620200	8	$30	41	25	+16	open	—	06-16 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	7	$30	153	20	+133	open	—	05-27 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	6	$30	86	21	+65	open	—	05-27 22:43
btc updown 5m 1781626200	5	$29	36	22	+14	open	—	06-16 16:13
btc updown 5m 1781599200	3	$29	43	15	+29	open	—	06-16 08:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	3	$28	22	22	+0	open	—	05-19 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	5	$27	29	23	+6	open	—	05-30 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	7	$27	27	27	+0	open	—	05-30 17:54
btc updown 5m 1781166300	8	$27	28	28	+0	open	—	06-11 08:29
btc updown 5m 1781123700	6	$24	26	26	+0	open	—	06-10 20:39
btc updown 5m 1781124600	3	$23	40	40	+0	open	—	06-10 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	4	$23	36	15	+21	open	—	05-15 17:39
btc updown 5m 1781600100	2	$22	21	21	+0	open	—	06-16 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	7	$22	25	24	+1	open	—	05-15 23:09
btc updown 5m 1781124900	3	$21	32	32	+0	open	—	06-10 20:59
btc updown 5m 1781598900	4	$20	120	10	+110	open	—	06-16 08:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	4	$20	21	21	+0	open	—	06-01 08:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 16:44:13	btc updown 5m 1781628000	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x19de69…
06-16 16:32:19	btc updown 5m 1781627400	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xfef84a…
06-16 16:25:23	btc updown 5m 1781627100	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x12801c…
06-16 16:20:29	btc updown 5m 1781626800	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf31485…
06-16 16:19:28	btc updown 5m 1781626500	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x24ff6c…
06-16 16:19:08	btc updown 5m 1781626500	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xfc0f2a…
06-16 16:18:14	btc updown 5m 1781626500	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4b0646…
06-16 16:17:29	btc updown 5m 1781626500	Down	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x31e364…
06-16 16:15:31	btc updown 5m 1781626500	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2a2637…
06-16 16:13:13	btc updown 5m 1781626200	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x83b92b…
06-16 16:12:55	btc updown 5m 1781626200	Down	SELL	11	70¢	$8	0x781697…
06-16 16:11:29	btc updown 5m 1781626200	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xdea144…
06-16 16:11:11	btc updown 5m 1781626200	Up	SELL	11	63¢	$7	0xefdc1f…
06-16 16:10:23	btc updown 5m 1781626200	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x972701…
06-16 16:06:43	btc updown 5m 1781625900	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x503972…
06-16 16:05:22	btc updown 5m 1781625900	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7c4857…
06-16 16:04:32	btc updown 5m 1781625600	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x7f5da5…
06-16 16:04:16	btc updown 5m 1781625600	Down	SELL	26	16¢	$4	0x9fa3ae…
06-16 16:02:20	btc updown 5m 1781625600	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xea89b0…
06-16 16:02:10	btc updown 5m 1781625600	Down	SELL	33	28¢	$9	0x3ca6d8…
06-16 16:01:25	btc updown 5m 1781625600	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xe0557e…
06-16 16:01:11	btc updown 5m 1781625600	Up	SELL	8	82¢	$6	0x8800a2…
06-16 16:00:19	btc updown 5m 1781625600	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x46306d…
06-16 15:59:41	btc updown 5m 1781625300	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x39cb52…
06-16 15:50:16	btc updown 5m 1781625000	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7e9864…
06-16 15:49:17	btc updown 5m 1781624700	Up	SELL	26	4¢	$1	0x3581f7…
06-16 15:46:01	btc updown 5m 1781624700	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x0f4b32…
06-16 15:45:29	btc updown 5m 1781624700	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf6ed75…
06-16 15:44:46	btc updown 5m 1781624400	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd20830…
06-16 15:44:34	btc updown 5m 1781624400	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$2	0xd49fc5…
06-16 15:44:13	btc updown 5m 1781624400	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xda6051…
06-16 15:43:58	btc updown 5m 1781624400	Down	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0x34f4c3…
06-16 15:40:35	btc updown 5m 1781624400	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xe6d94b…
06-16 15:39:44	btc updown 5m 1781624100	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x042ec8…
06-16 15:39:32	btc updown 5m 1781624100	Down	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0x47dbdc…
06-16 15:37:16	btc updown 5m 1781624100	Down	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xc083a2…
06-16 15:35:26	btc updown 5m 1781624100	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xc90eb4…
06-16 15:33:47	btc updown 5m 1781623800	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x48f86d…
06-16 15:33:31	btc updown 5m 1781623800	Up	SELL	4	86¢	$3	0x1f0673…
06-16 15:33:05	btc updown 5m 1781623800	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xbd355b…
06-16 15:32:49	btc updown 5m 1781623800	Down	SELL	9	52¢	$5	0x6c349c…
06-16 15:31:11	btc updown 5m 1781623800	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb34600…
06-16 15:30:29	btc updown 5m 1781623800	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x626f19…
06-16 15:29:49	btc updown 5m 1781623500	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x9af5d5…
06-16 15:29:31	btc updown 5m 1781623500	Up	SELL	17	48¢	$8	0xc6ab9f…
06-16 15:28:47	btc updown 5m 1781623500	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xe766f0…
06-16 15:27:16	btc updown 5m 1781623500	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0dbf85…
06-16 15:26:58	btc updown 5m 1781623500	Down	SELL	17	50¢	$8	0xc31ae2…
06-16 15:25:56	btc updown 5m 1781623500	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x7a9d5d…
06-16 15:21:25	btc updown 5m 1781623200	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x7dc942…
06-16 15:21:02	btc updown 5m 1781623200	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xcaa6ae…
06-16 15:10:52	btc updown 5m 1781622600	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x521ca0…
06-16 15:06:05	btc updown 15m 1781622000	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x72facc…
06-16 15:00:32	btc updown 15m 1781622000	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xc2bd34…
06-16 14:59:11	btc updown 15m 1781621100	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xa182df…
06-16 14:58:59	btc updown 15m 1781621100	Down	SELL	23	65¢	$15	0x6e29bb…
06-16 14:58:25	btc updown 15m 1781621100	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x22d3a0…
06-16 14:57:41	btc updown 15m 1781621100	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xfc4afa…
06-16 14:57:23	btc updown 15m 1781621100	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x7a3633…
06-16 14:56:16	btc updown 15m 1781621100	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9eacd4…
06-16 14:51:08	btc updown 15m 1781621100	Down	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0xf364cc…
06-16 14:50:52	btc updown 15m 1781621100	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x1c82e2…
06-16 14:50:40	btc updown 15m 1781621100	Up	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0x2db17d…
06-16 14:49:14	btc updown 15m 1781621100	Down	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0x168c74…
06-16 14:48:46	btc updown 15m 1781621100	Up	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xebf92e…
06-16 14:48:46	btc updown 15m 1781621100	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xa6ad3e…
06-16 14:48:19	btc updown 15m 1781621100	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x0bd951…
06-16 14:40:46	btc updown 15m 1781620200	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x605d91…
06-16 14:38:08	btc updown 15m 1781620200	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x58001c…
06-16 14:37:41	btc updown 15m 1781620200	Up	SELL	9	67¢	$6	0xb4ea3b…
06-16 14:36:50	btc updown 15m 1781620200	Up	SELL	11	58¢	$6	0x17f59d…
06-16 14:36:19	btc updown 15m 1781620200	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x02675c…
06-16 14:32:13	btc updown 15m 1781620200	Down	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x2eef15…
06-16 14:30:46	btc updown 15m 1781620200	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x20edfc…
06-16 14:30:22	btc updown 15m 1781620200	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xee6530…
06-16 14:28:02	btc updown 15m 1781619300	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6efc2a…
06-16 14:23:50	btc updown 15m 1781619300	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf38001…
06-16 14:21:38	btc updown 15m 1781619300	Up	BUY	120	5¢	$6	0x58986f…
06-16 14:19:59	btc updown 15m 1781619300	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x531d1b…
06-16 14:18:47	btc updown 15m 1781619300	Down	SELL	13	89¢	$11	0xb118fe…
06-16 14:18:14	btc updown 15m 1781619300	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xd66e29…
06-16 14:17:28	btc updown 15m 1781619300	Up	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x092601…
06-16 14:16:38	btc updown 5m 1781619300	Down	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x0874a4…
06-16 14:15:35	btc updown 5m 1781619300	Down	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xec42f4…
06-16 14:15:35	btc updown 5m 1781619300	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x32a8ac…
06-16 14:13:44	btc updown 5m 1781619000	Up	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xc1ffe9…
06-16 14:13:17	btc updown 5m 1781619000	Up	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x279957…
06-16 14:12:16	btc updown 5m 1781619000	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xad05b0…
06-16 14:07:22	btc updown 5m 1781618700	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xe8015e…
06-16 14:00:41	btc updown 5m 1781618400	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0a369f…
06-16 13:59:32	btc updown 15m 1781617500	Up	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0x215faa…
06-16 13:59:10	btc updown 15m 1781617500	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x665d47…
06-16 13:58:50	btc updown 15m 1781617500	Up	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0xc81b18…
06-16 13:58:32	btc updown 15m 1781617500	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x01cd78…
06-16 13:58:17	btc updown 15m 1781617500	Up	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0x2854a4…
06-16 13:55:29	btc updown 15m 1781617500	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x626adc…
06-16 13:48:49	btc updown 5m 1781617500	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xe75295…
06-16 13:48:32	btc updown 5m 1781617500	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6539b0…
06-16 13:48:11	btc updown 5m 1781617500	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xaa9fca…
06-16 13:47:20	btc updown 5m 1781617500	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6aef9f…