Gracious-Plane — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$254

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.0%

Resolved

139

Trades

329

lifetime

Volume

$51.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$157

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 10-25 12:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Other

45% 93% -$199

Crypto

33% 92% +$29

Politics

22% 80% -$84

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	22	$3.7K	1,987	1,987	+0	Yes	+$7	01-30 07:50
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	38	$2.7K	5,902	6,902	-1,000	No	+$200	01-25 15:11
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$2.4K	7,388	7,388	+0	No	-$292	02-02 09:33
us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	2	$1.7K	871	871	+0	No	+$0	02-11 05:52
will there be 10 12 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	12	$1.6K	1,631	0	+1,631	Yes	+$20	01-27 04:58
will hyperliquid dip to 20 in january	8	$1.3K	1,347	0	+1,347	No	+$11	01-30 18:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 08:15 UTC	1	$1.2K	1,205	0	+1,205	Down	+$12	02-09 08:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 07:30 UTC	1	$1.2K	1,193	0	+1,193	Down	+$12	02-09 07:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 06:45 UTC	1	$1.2K	1,181	0	+1,181	Up	+$12	02-09 06:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 16:45 UTC	2	$1.1K	1,154	0	+1,154	Down	+$12	02-08 16:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 13:30 UTC	2	$1.1K	1,121	0	+1,121	Down	+$1	02-08 13:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 16:30 UTC	1	$1.1K	1,142	0	+1,142	Down	+$23	02-08 16:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 04:45 UTC	3	$1.1K	572	572	+1	Up	+$46	01-29 04:54
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	6	$976	988	0	+988	No	+$12	10-25 12:30
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	2	$971	972	0	+972	No	+$1	08-10 23:50
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	1	$970	973	0	+973	No	+$3	08-19 07:50
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	2	$956	968	0	+968	No	+$12	06-16 04:30
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?	2	$955	956	0	+956	No	+$1	06-09 16:53
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	1	$938	939	0	+939	No	+$1	04-03 11:59
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 19	2	$936	938	0	+938	Yes	+$2	04-20 08:39
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	2	$911	913	0	+913	No	+$2	10-13 13:50
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	10	$888	600	600	+0	Yes	+$4	01-25 03:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 03:45 UTC	2	$855	864	0	+864	Down	+$10	02-11 03:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 15:00 UTC	1	$847	857	0	+857	Up	+$10	02-10 15:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 10:30 UTC	1	$844	847	0	+847	Down	+$3	02-10 10:42
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	1	$842	843	0	+843	No	+$1	02-10 04:39
will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	2	$811	827	0	+827	No	+$17	03-26 15:20
spx up or down on february 9 2026	5	$796	808	0	+808	Up	+$12	02-09 19:35
will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	5	$776	778	0	+778	No	+$2	03-17 00:41
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	1	$748	751	0	+751	No	+$3	05-15 22:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 12:30:17	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	165	98¢	$161	0x555c77…
10-25 12:29:38	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	239	98¢	$234	0x1099c3…
10-25 12:29:26	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0xd844b7…
10-25 12:29:18	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe2805d…
10-25 12:29:06	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0xd3c4fe…
10-23 01:47:32	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x0ee425…
10-13 13:50:41	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	202	100¢	$202	0x61eadb…
10-13 13:50:22	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	711	100¢	$710	0xfea8be…
09-26 07:35:32	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	218	100¢	$217	0x102c53…
09-22 22:32:26	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	313	100¢	$312	0x155004…
09-12 00:26:07	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x12ab70…
09-12 00:25:58	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1c6999…
09-12 00:25:37	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x327ebc…
08-19 07:50:15	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	BUY	973	100¢	$970	0x24721a…
08-10 23:50:39	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	BUY	820	100¢	$819	0xcbce68…
08-10 23:49:57	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0x698782…
08-05 08:42:30	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	No	BUY	232	100¢	$232	0x9ece7b…
07-20 04:44:37	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	No	BUY	191	100¢	$191	0x5f171d…
07-17 22:49:18	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	No	BUY	401	100¢	$401	0x890adc…
07-17 22:48:55	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	No	BUY	242	100¢	$241	0x13f26c…
06-25 07:56:59	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	No	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0xeabd57…
06-25 07:56:34	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x76059e…
06-25 03:11:13	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0x5d99d2…
06-24 23:07:40	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	No	BUY	164	100¢	$164	0xe15bca…
06-24 23:03:43	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0xb0c1bb…
06-24 23:03:11	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8c65d7…
06-24 22:58:02	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x5a92a6…
06-24 22:56:56	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	No	BUY	164	100¢	$164	0x2bd733…
06-16 04:30:12	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	No	BUY	783	99¢	$775	0xef6483…
06-16 04:24:16	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	No	BUY	185	98¢	$181	0xa01f91…
06-09 16:53:15	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?	No	BUY	781	100¢	$780	0xfb1ad3…
06-09 16:52:30	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0x500a9a…
06-08 02:00:01	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?	No	BUY	287	100¢	$286	0x621493…
06-08 01:59:25	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?	No	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x7d80cb…
06-03 02:49:42	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?	No	BUY	237	100¢	$237	0xa8d57a…
06-03 02:48:48	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x5023db…
05-26 00:09:14	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	No	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0xe13bda…
05-26 00:08:53	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	No	BUY	199	100¢	$198	0x11a8fb…
05-26 00:08:39	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x87c0fa…
05-26 00:08:27	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x552746…
05-26 00:08:11	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe43f2a…
05-26 00:08:02	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x7c1efb…
05-25 10:28:13	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	No	BUY	214	100¢	$214	0xaddc81…
05-25 10:27:19	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$109	0xa17491…
05-20 23:41:49	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	No	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0xe042ae…
05-20 23:41:12	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	No	BUY	188	99¢	$186	0xa4ff53…
05-20 23:40:58	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	No	BUY	116	99¢	$115	0xc5e073…
05-18 09:57:02	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	No	BUY	511	99¢	$508	0xce6937…
05-18 09:54:48	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x8e20bf…
05-15 22:37:06	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	No	BUY	751	100¢	$748	0x1031f0…
05-11 04:34:57	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$189	0xe2d4f7…
05-02 10:41:32	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x3d971b…
05-02 09:36:06	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?	No	BUY	223	99¢	$221	0x6f1ee4…
04-20 08:39:04	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 19	Yes	BUY	900	100¢	$898	0xbe890e…
04-20 08:38:42	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 19	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x6c3d11…
04-06 15:07:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc08700…
04-06 15:07:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xeb4a38…
04-06 15:07:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1cf805…
04-03 11:59:01	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	No	BUY	939	100¢	$938	0x6102f8…
03-31 15:27:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7b3fe0…
03-31 15:27:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xda7a63…
03-31 15:27:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xa769c3…
03-26 15:20:27	will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	No	BUY	337	98¢	$330	0x1c0c51…
03-24 06:50:35	will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	No	BUY	490	98¢	$481	0x4339cf…
03-21 00:10:03	will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	No	BUY	110	98¢	$108	0xfba3d0…
03-21 00:08:49	will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0x91d032…
03-17 00:41:13	will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x0d89a4…
03-16 15:44:59	will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x4849df…
03-16 12:39:39	will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0xc7b1ff…
03-16 01:11:49	will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6f63cc…
03-15 13:17:25	will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	BUY	33	99¢	$32	0x31b57d…
03-15 12:57:47	will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	BUY	108	100¢	$107	0x4fcc6d…
03-15 12:56:57	will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x11bdfc…
03-11 03:11:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xf893a9…
03-11 03:04:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x051bb9…
03-11 03:03:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 03:00 UTC	Up	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0x79c05d…
03-11 03:01:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xd9e266…
03-09 09:54:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x4188ec…
03-09 05:58:09	will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x895a10…
03-09 05:32:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x1b3bc7…
03-09 05:29:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x6df704…
03-08 02:56:29	will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xbded53…
03-02 13:57:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x135dcc…
03-02 13:54:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0xc35f4e…
03-02 04:04:39	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 1	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x2d261c…
03-02 04:04:23	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 1	Yes	BUY	94	98¢	$92	0xd95421…
02-13 06:44:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x04dfce…
02-13 03:27:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 03:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x177620…
02-13 03:19:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa6b7b6…
02-13 02:32:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 02:25 UTC	Up	SELL	227	100¢	$226	0xfe734e…
02-13 02:29:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x42d4fe…
02-13 02:28:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x52cd6e…
02-13 02:28:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9efea0…
02-13 02:27:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xa9f840…
02-13 02:24:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xf41cec…
02-13 02:16:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x51422f…
02-13 01:47:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xdc00cf…
02-13 01:39:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xd1c1a3…
02-13 01:38:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xfb579d…
02-13 01:33:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbad799…