Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
closed
Total volume
$315
Trades
40
Unique wallets
17
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-05-03
First seen
2026-04-25
last 04-28 10:37
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $10
vs crowd: 4% YES on $227)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $2 | $102 | $100 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $5 | $72 | $67 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $1 | $44 | $43 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $6 | $27 | $21 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $15 | $15 |
| Median | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Below median | 2 | $1 | $6 | $5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $0 | $36 | $35 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $59 | $59 |
| unranked | 3 | — | $66 | $66 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376 | Yes | +116 | $4 | $4 | 10 | 04-28 10:37 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +49 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 04-27 07:32 |
| Buttery-Tangerine 0x189e…89d9 | No | +40 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 04-28 06:48 |
| Greedy-Reactant 0xdb74…9f08 | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 5 | 04-28 10:37 |
| Ornery-Hello 0x5136…0e4f | No | +22 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 04-25 08:53 |
| Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 04-27 02:45 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 04-27 02:45 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +13 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 04-25 14:44 |
| Edible-Diesel 0x18cf…2bb2 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-28 06:48 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 04-25 14:39 |
| Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 04-25 14:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-28 10:37:12 | Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xcd70ba… |
| 04-28 10:37:12 | Greedy-Reactant 0xdb74…9f08 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xcd70ba… |
| 04-28 10:34:46 | Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe4f15b… |
| 04-28 10:34:46 | Greedy-Reactant 0xdb74…9f08 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xe4f15b… |
| 04-28 10:34:36 | Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2adddb… |
| 04-28 10:34:36 | Greedy-Reactant 0xdb74…9f08 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x2adddb… |
| 04-28 10:34:24 | Greedy-Reactant 0xdb74…9f08 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x1d15f9… |
| 04-28 10:34:24 | Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1d15f9… |
| 04-28 06:48:54 | Edible-Diesel 0x18cf…2bb2 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x42effc… |
| 04-28 06:48:54 | Buttery-Tangerine 0x189e…89d9 | No | BUY | 40 | 91¢ | $37 | 0x42effc… |
| 04-28 06:48:54 | Tricky-Overload 0x8f34…2f50 | No | SELL | 29 | 91¢ | $27 | 0x42effc… |
| 04-28 05:35:10 | Tricky-Overload 0x8f34…2f50 | No | BUY | 29 | 92¢ | $27 | 0x89d8ca… |
| 04-28 05:35:10 | Greedy-Reactant 0xdb74…9f08 | No | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x89d8ca… |
| 04-28 05:35:10 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | SELL | 62 | 93¢ | $58 | 0x89d8ca… |
| 04-28 05:35:10 | (anonymous) 0x86bc…5d37 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x89d8ca… |
| 04-27 08:33:04 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | BUY | 62 | 96¢ | $59 | 0x32dcab… |
| 04-27 08:33:04 | (anonymous) 0x86bc…5d37 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x32dcab… |
| 04-27 08:33:04 | Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x32dcab… |
| 04-27 07:32:52 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x9e89e7… |
| 04-27 07:32:52 | Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x9e89e7… |
| 04-27 07:32:50 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x00fb7c… |
| 04-27 07:32:50 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x00fb7c… |
| 04-27 02:45:10 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | No | BUY | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0x542d14… |
| 04-27 02:45:10 | Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x542d14… |
| 04-27 02:45:10 | Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x9f9e8e… |
| 04-27 02:45:10 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0x9f9e8e… |
| 04-27 01:46:02 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc0d4f5… |
| 04-27 01:46:02 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc0d4f5… |
| 04-26 13:13:30 | Acrobatic-Western 0x21b3…5943 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7dee20… |
| 04-26 13:13:30 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7dee20… |
| 04-25 14:44:04 | Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4d0c3e… |
| 04-25 14:44:04 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x950440… |
| 04-25 14:44:04 | Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x4d0c3e… |
| 04-25 14:44:04 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x950440… |
| 04-25 14:44:04 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x717ee9… |
| 04-25 14:44:04 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x717ee9… |
| 04-25 14:39:48 | Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8921db… |
| 04-25 14:39:48 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x8921db… |
| 04-25 08:53:34 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x1fe633… |
| 04-25 08:53:34 | Ornery-Hello 0x5136…0e4f | No | BUY | 22 | 96¢ | $21 | 0x1fe633… |