Realized P&L
+$7
Unrealized P&L
+$15
Hit rate
69.4%
Resolved
427
Trades
1,450
lifetime
Volume
$25.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$18
3 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 05-08 16:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Crypto
94%
68%
+$96
Politics
3%
67%
-$12
Other
3%
33%
-$85
Tech
0%
100%
+$7
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-08).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | -100 | -$11 | 8¢ | $-8 | +$3 | 05-06 07:22 | |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | -200 | -$12 | 4¢ | $-7 | +$5 | 05-08 11:32 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | -61 | -$9 | 4¢ | $-3 | +$6 | 05-08 11:32 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 13:50 UTC | 20 | $381 | 204 | 204 | +0 | Down | +$21 | 03-24 13:54 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:45 UTC | 23 | $360 | 700 | 0 | +700 | Up | -$360 | 03-17 20:49 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 14:15 UTC | 8 | $331 | 200 | 198 | +2 | Up | +$47 | 03-23 14:19 |
| will sergey brin be 3rd richest person on march 31 | 5 | $320 | 337 | 337 | +0 | No | -$80 | 03-26 18:39 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 13:45 UTC | 4 | $320 | 330 | 328 | +3 | Down | -$185 | 03-24 13:49 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 13:25 UTC | 16 | $301 | 350 | 50 | +300 | Down | +$17 | 03-24 13:28 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:40 UTC | 7 | $295 | 500 | 0 | +500 | Down | +$205 | 03-17 20:45 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 19:15 UTC | 16 | $258 | 600 | 0 | +600 | Down | -$258 | 03-17 19:19 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:35 UTC | 5 | $257 | 305 | 200 | +105 | Up | -$44 | 03-17 20:40 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 18:10 UTC | 9 | $252 | 200 | 100 | +100 | Down | -$68 | 03-23 18:14 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 11:15 UTC | 11 | $237 | 260 | 0 | +260 | Down | +$23 | 03-24 11:18 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 19:10 UTC | 12 | $233 | 600 | 0 | +600 | Up | +$367 | 03-17 19:15 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 09:05 UTC | 4 | $220 | 260 | 0 | +260 | Up | +$40 | 04-04 09:08 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:55 UTC | 15 | $215 | 400 | 0 | +400 | Down | -$215 | 03-17 20:59 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:20 UTC | 18 | $215 | 400 | 0 | +400 | Up | +$185 | 03-17 20:23 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 08:50 UTC | 3 | $210 | 232 | 0 | +232 | Down | +$22 | 04-04 08:54 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:10 UTC | 6 | $201 | 500 | 0 | +500 | Down | -$201 | 03-17 20:13 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 10:00 UTC | 8 | $200 | 110 | 110 | +0 | Down | +$4 | 03-24 10:04 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 18:05 UTC | 1 | $196 | 200 | 0 | +200 | Down | +$4 | 03-23 18:09 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 19:00 UTC | 12 | $196 | 100 | 100 | +0 | Up | +$2 | 03-19 19:03 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 14:45 UTC | 2 | $191 | 204 | 0 | +204 | Down | +$13 | 03-24 14:46 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 03:50 UTC | 8 | $190 | 300 | 0 | +300 | Down | +$110 | 03-18 03:54 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:50 UTC | 2 | $187 | 200 | 0 | +200 | Down | +$13 | 03-17 20:55 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 19:15 UTC | 12 | $186 | 1,330 | 1,329 | +2 | Up | -$132 | 03-19 19:18 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 15 | 1 | $184 | 200 | 0 | +200 | No | +$16 | 03-09 06:29 |
| SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 10:45 UTC | 7 | $180 | 100 | 99 | +1 | Down | +$15 | 03-24 10:49 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 09:15 UTC | 3 | $176 | 209 | 0 | +209 | Up | -$176 | 04-04 09:19 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 11:25 UTC | 3 | $175 | 200 | 0 | +200 | Up | +$25 | 03-24 11:29 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 03:35 UTC | 11 | $174 | 270 | 0 | +270 | Down | -$174 | 03-18 03:37 |
| will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465 | 1 | $170 | 200 | 0 | +200 | No | +$30 | 03-06 03:45 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||