Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
61
lifetime
Volume
$13
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$9
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 21:00
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
51%
Politics
26%
Crypto
23%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? Yes -10 $-0 15¢ $-2 $-2 05-05 03:09
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 5? Up -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 +$0 05-05 21:00
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 05-05 18:32
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 5? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 $-0 05-05 20:49
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 8? Yes +1 $1 97¢ $1 $-0 05-05 20:12
Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election? Yes -5 $-1 18¢ $-1 $-0 05-05 03:27
Will Donald Trump announce Jeanine Pirro as the next United States Attorney General by June 30? Yes -10 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-05 03:05
Will Michael Pratt be the Republican Nominee for TX-38? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-05 03:27
Will Larry Rubin be the Republican Nominee for TX-38? Yes -10 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-05 03:25
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election? No -10 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-05 03:15
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes -20 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-05 02:55
Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-05 03:30
Will Sofia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025? Yes -10 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-05 11:21
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%? Yes -10 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-05 03:10
Will Charlie McClintock be the Republican Nominee for IA-02? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-05 03:29
Will Rod Strozier win The Bachelorette Season 22? Yes -10 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-05 03:14
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? Yes -10 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-05 03:23
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -10 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-05 03:22
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia? Yes -19 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-05 02:55
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June 2026 meeting? Yes -10 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-05 03:10
Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve? No -10 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-05 03:24
Will Joey Atkins be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-05 03:27
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes -20 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-05 02:54
Will Melissa Agard win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-05 03:30
Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -10 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-05 03:05
Will Stripe’s market cap be $140B or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes -10 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-05 03:10
Will Rashida Tlaib win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes -10 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-05 03:04
Will Ryan Zink be the Republican Nominee for TX-19? Yes -10 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-05 03:25
Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes -10 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-05 03:24
Will Renovación Popular (RP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election? Yes -10 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-05 03:21