(anonymous) 0x409cf1…a4ce06
new
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
21
lifetime
Volume
$74
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$59
17 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-11 04:58
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
53% — —
Other
47% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? No -6 $-5 92¢ $-5 $-1 05-10 09:18
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China? No +5 $4 98¢ $5 +$0 05-10 15:09
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +57 $5 9¢ $5 $-0 05-10 08:19
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 $-0 05-10 08:19
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes -15 $-5 31¢ $-5 $-0 05-11 03:58
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +8 $4 56¢ $4 $-0 05-11 00:39
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 $-0 05-10 08:19
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +7 $4 62¢ $4 $-0 05-10 16:09
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? Yes +7 $5 58¢ $4 $-1 05-10 08:18
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -4 $-3 73¢ $-3 $-0 05-10 08:11
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31? No -3 $-3 92¢ $-3 $-0 05-10 08:11
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? No -3 $-3 91¢ $-3 $-0 05-10 01:35
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -4 $-2 66¢ $-3 $-0 05-10 08:11
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No -3 $-3 82¢ $-2 +$0 05-10 08:11
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes -4 $-3 59¢ $-2 +$0 05-10 08:11
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +11 $2 11¢ $1 $-1 05-06 18:51
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No -0 $-0 61¢ $-0 $-0 05-09 16:56