Muddy-Deployment 0x40a755…9becb7 Create alert
whale cold
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Realized P&L (30d)
-$17.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.19K
Hit rate
84.0%
Resolved (30d)
1,996
Trades (30d)
12,207
94,165 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$965.8K
$5.00M lifetime
Avg / trade
$53
Open exposure
$17.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 11-02 12:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 255 days
Categories
Other
75% 95% +$12,768
Sports
21% 87% -$11,557
Politics
4% 83% -$5,698
Crypto
0% 56% -$60
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 836 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +3,281 $2,193 93¢ $3.1K +$858 10-27 23:11
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,675 $1,620 98¢ $1.6K +$18 10-30 03:39
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +2,121 $1,519 69¢ $1.5K -$56 11-01 16:01
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,500 $1,057 72¢ $1.1K +$23 10-27 16:50
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,000 $997 100¢ $996 -$2 10-27 17:17
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +790 $767 99¢ $780 +$14 06-01 13:32
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +800 $694 90¢ $723 +$29 06-02 14:39
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +700 $683 99¢ $690 +$7 06-01 06:38
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +700 $679 97¢ $681 +$3 06-02 03:17
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +670 $655 99¢ $662 +$7 10-25 10:46
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +600 $589 98¢ $587 -$2 06-03 05:35
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +600 $586 97¢ $584 -$2 06-01 07:58
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +600 $578 89¢ $536 -$42 06-01 07:02
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +563 $517 94¢ $532 +$15 10-31 23:37
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +700 $526 70¢ $487 -$39 10-26 07:14
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,300 $42 31¢ $403 +$361 09-12 14:54
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -800 -$934 42¢ $-338 +$596 10-28 12:34
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -1,000 -$288 32¢ $-315 -$27 10-27 20:01
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes -500 -$250 56¢ $-282 -$32 09-08 08:17
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +300 $239 82¢ $245 +$5 05-12 10:51
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +200 $200 100¢ $200 +$0 09-04 22:41
Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +131 $130 100¢ $131 +$1 11-01 12:54
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +1,864 $644 7¢ $130 -$513 10-27 20:57
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -700 -$125 18¢ $-128 -$3 06-19 00:42
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -900 -$46 12¢ $-112 -$65 06-02 16:12
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -900 -$143 12¢ $-110 +$34 07-18 12:50
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +100 $99 100¢ $100 +$1 05-03 16:35
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +100 $99 100¢ $100 +$1 05-10 04:04
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +100 $99 100¢ $100 +$1 05-03 16:35
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +100 $99 99¢ $99 +$0 05-11 05:38