Muddy-Deployment 0x40a755…9becb7 Create alert
whale cold
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Realized P&L (90d)
-$29.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$967
Hit rate
88.8%
Resolved (90d)
4,776
Trades (90d)
18,564
59,346 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$2.21M
$4.71M lifetime
Avg / trade
$79
Open exposure
$25.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 11-03 03:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 256 days
Categories
Other
75% 95% +$12,776
Sports
21% 87% -$11,557
Politics
4% 83% -$5,698
Crypto
0% 56% -$60
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 836 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +3,281 $2,193 92¢ $3.0K +$825 10-27 23:11
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +3,000 $2,947 98¢ $2.9K -$8 11-02 23:29
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -2,068 -$2,037 98¢ $-2027 +$10 11-03 01:54
Nets vs. Knicks Knicks +1,960 $1,957 100¢ $2.0K +$3 11-03 03:04
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +2,621 $1,859 64¢ $1.7K -$169 11-02 22:13
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,675 $1,620 97¢ $1.6K +$10 10-30 03:39
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,500 $1,057 67¢ $1.0K -$50 10-27 16:50
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,000 $997 100¢ $995 -$2 10-27 17:17
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +1,137 $828 69¢ $789 -$38 11-02 20:15
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +790 $767 99¢ $779 +$13 06-01 13:32
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +800 $694 92¢ $734 +$40 06-02 14:39
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +700 $683 99¢ $690 +$7 06-01 06:38
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +700 $679 97¢ $681 +$2 06-02 03:17
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +670 $655 99¢ $663 +$7 10-25 10:46
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +600 $589 98¢ $587 -$2 06-03 05:35
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +600 $586 97¢ $584 -$2 06-01 07:58
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +600 $578 89¢ $535 -$43 06-01 07:02
Bears vs. Seahawks: O/U 46.5 Under +1,000 $500 48¢ $475 -$25 11-03 00:35
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,300 $42 36¢ $462 +$420 09-12 14:54
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +453 $442 98¢ $443 +$1 11-03 00:42
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +422 $382 94¢ $399 +$17 11-02 19:50
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -1,000 -$288 34¢ $-340 -$52 10-27 20:01
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -800 -$934 42¢ $-340 +$594 10-28 12:34
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes -500 -$250 56¢ $-282 -$32 09-08 08:17
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +300 $239 82¢ $245 +$5 05-12 10:51
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +200 $200 100¢ $200 +$0 09-04 22:41
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +1,864 $644 8¢ $149 -$495 10-27 20:57
Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +131 $130 100¢ $131 +$1 11-01 12:54
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -700 -$125 18¢ $-129 -$4 06-19 00:42
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -900 -$46 12¢ $-110 -$63 06-02 16:12