Disguised-Disarmament — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.4%

Resolved

182

Trades

422

lifetime

Volume

$1.65K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 05-05 17:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 81% $-29

Other

14% — —

Sports

2% 0% $-0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 153 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs fnatic (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs	2	$46	31	31	+0	open	—	04-29 18:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?	2	$39	49	49	+0	open	—	04-29 20:16
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	4	$36	23	23	+0	open	—	04-28 17:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 29?	2	$26	111	111	+0	open	—	04-29 03:30
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Leo Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs	4	$23	18	17	+0	open	—	04-27 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	10	$22	40	10	+30	open	—	04-27 02:39
LoL: Team Vitality vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	2	$22	14	14	+0	open	—	04-28 18:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 28?	2	$22	17	16	+1	open	—	04-28 04:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	3	$21	20	14	+6	open	—	05-02 16:44
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	4	$21	14	14	+0	open	—	04-28 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	3	$20	34	14	+20	open	—	04-27 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	9	$19	38	0	+38	open	—	04-27 01:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	05-01 15:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	05-01 19:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$12	11	11	+0	open	—	05-01 18:47
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)	5	$12	10	9	+0	open	—	04-28 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	2	$12	14	13	+1	open	—	04-27 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	04-26 15:51
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-02 17:18
Counter-Strike: Last Bullet vs Just Swing (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #4 Playoffs	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	04-29 14:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28?	2	$11	9	9	+0	open	—	04-28 15:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	2	$11	16	16	+0	open	—	04-29 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$11	11	11	+0	open	—	04-27 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$10	25	25	+0	open	—	04-28 19:27
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	04-28 16:53
claude 4pt7 released by april 17 411	4	$10	40	22	+18	open	—	04-15 21:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?	1	$10	42	0	+42	open	—	04-29 18:47
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	04-29 18:22
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Keyd (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	04-28 22:19
Valorant: GIANTX vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega	2	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	05-01 15:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 17:04:48	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xbbced0…
05-05 16:54:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x5baa0e…
05-05 16:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xc4c507…
05-05 16:24:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x8c58a9…
05-05 16:19:32	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa6ea10…
05-05 16:14:42	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x90561e…
05-05 16:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x1f533d…
05-05 16:09:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x5c276d…
05-05 16:04:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xd07594…
05-05 15:59:32	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x125531…
05-05 15:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x539614…
05-05 15:49:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x380dde…
05-05 15:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xdfb468…
05-05 15:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x4a97e0…
05-05 15:44:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x3885ec…
05-05 15:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x2d624f…
05-05 15:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x12513f…
05-05 15:29:32	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x459fa7…
05-05 15:29:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x5d407c…
05-05 15:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x55ec77…
05-05 15:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x845c2b…
05-05 14:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf7f9f2…
05-05 14:59:26	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf99a1c…
05-05 14:49:28	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x941053…
05-05 14:49:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x7f10b2…
05-05 14:44:44	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x6953aa…
05-05 14:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xd34f05…
05-05 14:44:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf89c73…
05-05 14:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x824773…
05-05 14:34:28	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xa6ee48…
05-05 14:34:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x044a2b…
05-05 14:19:26	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x9bfbc2…
05-05 14:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x278f8d…
05-05 13:59:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x74a95b…
05-05 13:44:38	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xa31cc6…
05-05 13:44:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xa0ee32…
05-05 13:44:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x98fe99…
05-05 13:44:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x95bd5f…
05-05 13:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$0	0xfad467…
05-05 13:34:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x997509…
05-05 13:24:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x538b59…
05-05 13:24:28	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xfffaf0…
05-05 13:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$4	0xdec34c…
05-05 13:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x273451…
05-05 13:14:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x0e46b0…
05-05 13:14:32	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$4	0xd9005a…
05-05 13:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xa93b6d…
05-05 12:59:46	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xa925ea…
05-05 12:59:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x9d0eca…
05-05 12:49:26	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x37d9e0…
05-05 12:44:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x237f6e…
05-05 12:39:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x407c15…
05-05 12:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xae3b94…
05-05 12:24:46	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x4de943…
05-05 12:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x739887…
05-05 12:24:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x3196c0…
05-05 12:19:30	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x9fdea8…
05-05 12:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x7042c3…
05-05 12:09:24	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5aec01…
05-05 12:04:26	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa06653…
05-05 11:54:30	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x1d5304…
05-05 11:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xec3462…
05-05 11:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x520737…
05-05 11:39:26	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x1c6b1a…
05-05 11:29:26	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x272dd1…
05-05 11:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x6bb8f0…
05-05 11:09:28	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x74868c…
05-05 11:09:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x50899a…
05-05 10:49:40	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x2807be…
05-05 10:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x1fb3e3…
05-05 10:44:26	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x9816f2…
05-05 10:39:50	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x0d7e61…
05-05 10:39:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xcb83bc…
05-05 10:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x91f093…
05-05 10:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x3a1b6f…
05-05 10:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xbed5b1…
05-05 10:24:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x381324…
05-05 10:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x1154a8…
05-05 10:14:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x1c6478…
05-05 10:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x783dc1…
05-05 09:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x54593b…
05-05 09:59:28	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x49ce3b…
05-05 09:59:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x0c66ab…
05-05 09:54:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	80¢	$3	0x15f4c5…
05-05 09:54:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0xf3195a…
05-05 09:54:34	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x79fa36…
05-05 09:54:32	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0xcac45b…
05-05 09:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xe61ec0…
05-05 09:49:28	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xf09e69…
05-05 09:49:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe9e5c3…
05-05 09:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x5adc08…
05-05 09:19:44	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x8aa6c7…
05-05 09:19:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xcab9f0…
05-05 09:09:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x167be7…
05-05 08:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x5504f8…
05-05 08:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xc3f95a…
05-05 08:54:26	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x7714bd…
05-05 08:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x067cda…
05-05 08:09:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x3f6d7f…
05-05 08:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x52d8ab…