Luminous-Butane — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$46

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 09-01 08:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

72% 100% +$3

Sports

27% 50% +$37

Crypto

1% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	23	$1.0K	507	507	+0	Yes	+$2	04-27 09:35
Thunder vs. Spurs	2	$550	1,100	0	+1,100	Thunder	+$0	05-22 20:40
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$37	0	505	-505	No	+$37	05-06 01:43
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 57°F or below on June 26?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-25 03:12
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-24 11:09
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 13?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-12 07:16
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C or higher on May 27?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-27 06:35
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 21?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-21 10:16
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or below on June 19?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-18 02:22
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 59°F or below on June 19?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-18 02:14
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on June 13?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-12 07:13
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 13?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	07-13 06:38
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 15?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-15 03:53
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C or below on June 9?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-08 03:21
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 21?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-21 09:50
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on June 9?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-08 03:14
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C or below on June 19?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-18 02:24
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on May 15?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-15 03:56
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C or below on July 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-13 06:41
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or higher on September 3?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	09-01 08:06
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or below on June 26?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-25 03:17
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 24?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	06-24 11:02
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on June 26?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-25 03:19
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 44°C or higher on June 26?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-25 03:22
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or below on June 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-25 03:16
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C or below on June 19?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-18 02:12
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 26°C or below on July 18?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-17 02:30
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 25?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-24 11:11
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 21?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-21 10:14
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on May 15?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-15 03:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-01 08:11:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C or higher on September 2?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x337309…
09-01 08:06:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x12466a…
09-01 08:04:37	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C or below on September 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd1fc97…
07-17 02:32:28	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C or below on July 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfc34b8…
07-17 02:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 26°C or below on July 18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x18c121…
07-13 06:41:11	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C or below on July 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x25e7fd…
07-13 06:38:38	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x25ca79…
06-25 03:22:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 44°C or higher on June 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeed636…
06-25 03:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on June 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x28095b…
06-25 03:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on June 26?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x26e84e…
06-25 03:17:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or below on June 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x61884a…
06-25 03:16:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or below on June 25?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x50b5f3…
06-25 03:14:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x46c6a4…
06-25 03:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or below on June 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd9e551…
06-25 03:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 57°F or below on June 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x596d42…
06-24 11:16:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x4aa221…
06-24 11:14:49	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6831b6…
06-24 11:13:11	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1fd51d…
06-24 11:11:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x22f4bb…
06-24 11:09:58	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ea11e…
06-24 11:08:05	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3a1faa…
06-24 11:03:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x9ac97c…
06-24 11:02:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1cc8b7…
06-18 02:24:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C or below on June 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0ac4fa…
06-18 02:22:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or below on June 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4efcfb…
06-18 02:21:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or below on June 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5d7f10…
06-18 02:19:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or below on June 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd1e94d…
06-18 02:18:05	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or below on June 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xa43fb5…
06-18 02:16:23	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C or below on June 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe39bcb…
06-18 02:14:38	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 59°F or below on June 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x20b738…
06-18 02:12:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C or below on June 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x682778…
06-12 07:23:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 81°F or below on June 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd84df5…
06-12 07:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or below on June 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa95e70…
06-12 07:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C or below on June 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3cdf02…
06-12 07:19:03	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C or below on June 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x91f314…
06-12 07:17:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C or below on June 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x10ac54…
06-12 07:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 13?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x52f46e…
06-12 07:14:40	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x445f0c…
06-12 07:13:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on June 13?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5e44f4…
06-08 03:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C or below on June 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb1700e…
06-08 03:19:13	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on June 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x78fce2…
06-08 03:16:24	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 79°F or below on June 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8c2911…
06-08 03:14:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on June 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf196e7…
05-29 08:04:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd8dc28…
05-29 08:03:29	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 51°F or below on May 29?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5a5c9e…
05-29 08:02:12	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x483e05…
05-29 08:01:02	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7b495c…
05-29 07:59:54	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe757ea…
05-29 07:58:39	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x65ddfd…
05-29 07:57:15	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf6f9c0…
05-27 06:39:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or higher on May 27?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf567d5…
05-27 06:38:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C or higher on May 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4f5c04…
05-27 06:36:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb132ad…
05-27 06:35:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C or higher on May 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x644452…
05-27 06:33:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C or below on May 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xeafb05…
05-27 06:31:21	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 66-67°F on May 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7aa7c2…
05-22 20:40:16	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	550	54¢	$297	0x27f172…
05-22 14:02:40	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	550	46¢	$253	0x4ccfe5…
05-21 10:16:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdecdb1…
05-21 10:14:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 21?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$9	0x7fe186…
05-21 10:13:32	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 33°C or higher on May 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x14fb0d…
05-21 09:50:28	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7f879b…
05-15 03:56:07	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb61a96…
05-15 03:54:48	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x71d3b4…
05-15 03:53:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8aad4f…
05-15 03:51:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xf67c22…
05-09 08:22:16	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on May 9?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcf4fa0…
05-09 08:20:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 9?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8c21a3…
05-09 08:19:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C or higher on May 9?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x17f3b5…
05-09 08:17:28	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa16b3e…
05-06 01:43:02	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	505	7¢	$37	0x07c217…
04-27 09:35:24	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	507	99¢	$503	0xdd61de…
04-24 06:09:12	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0x47098b…
04-24 06:08:52	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x33abec…
04-24 05:54:22	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5323e8…
04-24 05:53:06	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x8554e8…
04-24 05:51:14	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xbe06fa…
04-24 05:48:32	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x702c12…
04-24 05:48:32	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x3a3600…
04-24 05:48:06	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x91fc7a…
04-24 05:43:12	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x0033b9…
04-24 05:35:08	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x6da732…
04-24 05:25:28	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xb3b464…
04-24 05:25:28	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x71c4ac…
04-24 05:22:32	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x7eb94d…
04-24 05:13:12	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3b9d9d…
04-24 05:04:34	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x5aebb1…
04-24 05:02:08	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x68240e…
04-24 05:01:06	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x0565c1…
04-24 04:57:46	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x0d85bf…
04-24 04:57:10	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x902b3a…
04-24 04:46:52	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xc83e49…
04-24 04:38:12	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xe35d5c…
04-24 04:34:58	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0xfffa9d…
04-23 08:19:56	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 320 339	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf2fb83…
04-23 08:17:46	highest temperature in milan on april 24 2026 18c	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x20faa2…
04-23 08:15:40	highest temperature in austin on april 24 2026 60 61f	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6985aa…
04-23 08:14:34	highest temperature in chicago on april 24 2026 57forbelow	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa62c04…
03-03 09:46:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x33d939…