Realized P&L
-$0
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
63.3%
Resolved
28
Trades
245
lifetime
Volume
$103
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$22
18 positions
First seen
2026-09-30
last 10-27 01:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
49% 86% -$1
Politics
41% 36% -$5
Crypto
5% 100% +$2
Tech
4% 100% +$0
Sports
1% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will louisiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027 No +4 $3 86¢ $4 +$1 10-01 04:23
will missouri enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027 No +2 $1 86¢ $2 +$0 10-01 05:25
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2 $1 95¢ $2 +$0 10-06 06:49
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +2 $1 68¢ $2 +$0 10-03 22:16
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +3 $1 55¢ $2 +$0 09-30 22:07
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2 $1 76¢ $2 +$0 10-20 22:42
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 66¢ $2 +$0 10-08 18:52
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +2 $1 81¢ $1 $0 10-01 06:21
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 62¢ $1 $0 10-20 22:33
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2 $1 78¢ $1 +$0 10-27 01:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 10-23 18:25
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? Yes +25 $3 4¢ $1 -$2 10-01 06:12
will ohio enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2026 Yes +15 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 09-30 21:23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +9 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 10-02 13:05
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +6 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 10-01 22:58
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 10-25 01:01
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +0 $0 48¢ $0 +$0 10-04 16:33
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? Yes +21 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-01 06:25