Smoggy-Decadence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$871

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

18.6%

Resolved

Trades

109

lifetime

Volume

$1.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 07-26 20:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

63% 2% -$359

Crypto

29% 0% -$406

Sports

6% 0% -$84

Politics

2% 0% -$22

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-26).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	3	$255	500	500	+0	Yes	+$249	05-16 22:52
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 4?	3	$47	4,400	0	+4,400	No	-$47	06-03 20:55
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	2	$38	20,556	0	+20,556	No	-$38	05-13 10:08
Will Curaçao win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$26	2,324	0	+2,324	No	-$26	06-14 11:04
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	1	$25	5,959	0	+5,959	No	-$25	05-28 17:58
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	3	$24	9,083	0	+9,083	No	-$24	06-17 15:49
Exact Score: England 0 - 1 Croatia?	1	$22	278	0	+278	No	-$22	06-17 05:05
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	1	$22	433	0	+433	No	-$22	05-21 16:46
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 0 Japan?	2	$22	569	0	+569	No	-$22	06-14 19:45
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	3	$22	6,000	0	+6,000	No	-$22	06-17 15:49
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	2	$22	865	0	+865	No	-$22	05-28 17:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	1	$21	1,599	0	+1,599	No	-$21	05-28 17:46
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$21	5,250	0	+5,250	No	-$21	07-26 20:56
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?	1	$21	1,355	0	+1,355	No	-$21	05-28 17:57
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	1	$20	10,000	0	+10,000	No	-$20	05-28 16:21
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,500 on June 4?	1	$20	3,811	0	+3,811	No	-$20	06-03 20:54
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	1	$20	10,000	0	+10,000	No	-$20	05-13 11:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	1	$20	10,000	0	+10,000	No	-$20	05-28 16:19
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	1	$20	2,280	0	+2,280	No	-$20	05-30 18:50
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	1	$17	1,078	0	+1,078	No	-$17	05-12 20:23
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Croatia?	2	$16	273	0	+273	No	-$16	06-17 20:29
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	2	$16	4,322	0	+4,322	No	-$16	05-16 13:01
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Curaçao?	1	$15	375	0	+375	No	-$15	06-14 16:53
will there be 25 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750577	1	$15	497	0	+497	No	-$15	06-14 09:08
Exact Score: Scotland 1 - 2 Morocco?	1	$12	106	0	+106	No	-$12	06-19 21:06
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Senegal?	1	$11	282	0	+282	No	-$11	06-16 11:26
will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	1	$11	1,100	0	+1,100	No	-$11	07-18 07:11
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 3?	1	$11	1,651	0	+1,651	No	-$11	06-02 20:00
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?	1	$11	11,000	0	+11,000	No	-$11	05-28 16:22
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC?	1	$11	1,100	0	+1,100	No	-$11	05-30 18:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-26 20:58:37	will ethereum reach 2400 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1,634	1¢	$10	0x926e1c…
07-26 20:56:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,250	0¢	$21	0x16d448…
07-18 07:13:28	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	690	1¢	$10	0x0d9350…
07-18 07:12:16	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x119d0b…
07-18 07:12:12	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0xd57946…
07-18 07:12:01	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x799980…
07-18 07:11:51	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1,100	1¢	$11	0x1ba235…
07-06 15:31:05	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Spain?	Yes	BUY	278	4¢	$10	0x9ac739…
07-01 15:58:13	Exact Score: England 0 - 2 DR Congo?	Yes	BUY	417	1¢	$5	0xc8fffc…
07-01 15:57:31	Exact Score: England 1 - 2 DR Congo?	Yes	BUY	560	2¢	$10	0x0cdbba…
07-01 15:57:19	Exact Score: England 0 - 1 DR Congo?	Yes	BUY	207	3¢	$6	0xeb69ff…
06-19 21:06:44	Exact Score: Scotland 1 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	106	11¢	$12	0x0ac6ae…
06-19 20:13:25	Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Australia?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x0d84ca…
06-19 20:13:10	Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Australia?	Yes	BUY	81	12¢	$10	0x6121ae…
06-19 19:21:35	Exact Score: Scotland 2 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x5c0e87…
06-19 19:02:11	Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Australia?	Yes	BUY	63	5¢	$3	0x7c4444…
06-18 14:07:04	Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 Korea Republic?	Yes	BUY	244	4¢	$11	0x49f4cc…
06-18 14:05:02	Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	208	5¢	$10	0x502a73…
06-18 14:04:49	Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xfd9365…
06-18 14:04:25	Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	370	3¢	$10	0x4f0cf2…
06-17 20:29:59	Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	167	4¢	$6	0x5bf39a…
06-17 20:29:28	Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	89	6¢	$5	0x4b39a3…
06-17 20:28:55	Exact Score: England 1 - 3 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	588	2¢	$10	0x0503b1…
06-17 15:49:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0x59d49e…
06-17 15:49:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xde5e65…
06-17 15:49:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,667	0¢	$11	0x2c397a…
06-17 07:52:19	Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	183	6¢	$11	0x7e9438…
06-17 07:51:50	Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	370	3¢	$10	0xc31826…
06-17 05:05:50	Exact Score: England 0 - 1 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	278	8¢	$22	0xb68eab…
06-16 11:26:55	Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Senegal?	Yes	BUY	282	4¢	$11	0x50b761…
06-16 11:22:01	Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 0 Norway?	Yes	BUY	314	3¢	$11	0x62c25a…
06-15 18:52:30	Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	487	2¢	$11	0xbe586a…
06-15 18:51:39	Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 0 Uruguay?	Yes	BUY	215	5¢	$11	0xe59970…
06-15 08:03:22	Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 0 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xfe21b2…
06-15 08:01:09	Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 3 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	357	1¢	$5	0xc14ba9…
06-14 19:46:18	Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 3 Japan?	Yes	BUY	182	1¢	$2	0xaad927…
06-14 19:45:57	Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 0 Japan?	Yes	BUY	245	4¢	$10	0xbb58f2…
06-14 19:31:54	Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 3 Japan?	Yes	BUY	367	3¢	$11	0x3500f4…
06-14 19:31:21	Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 0 Japan?	Yes	BUY	324	4¢	$12	0x570ce2…
06-14 16:53:43	Exact Score: Germany 2 - 3 Curaçao?	Yes	BUY	684	0¢	$3	0x658d05…
06-14 16:53:27	Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Curaçao?	Yes	BUY	375	4¢	$15	0x03c193…
06-14 11:04:48	Will Curaçao win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,049	2¢	$16	0xd978fa…
06-14 09:08:49	will there be 25 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750577	Yes	BUY	497	3¢	$15	0x6bf11b…
06-14 09:04:19	Will Curaçao win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,275	1¢	$10	0x026e56…
06-14 08:40:04	Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 3 Japan?	Yes	BUY	620	2¢	$10	0x0bf628…
06-14 08:38:49	Exact Score: Germany 1 - 2 Curaçao?	Yes	BUY	811	1¢	$10	0xafc7e0…
06-14 08:37:16	Exact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Curaçao?	Yes	BUY	559	2¢	$10	0xd32f98…
06-13 08:37:18	Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 0 Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	580	2¢	$10	0x372642…
06-13 08:36:52	Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	297	4¢	$11	0x515fd9…
06-12 20:43:06	Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Paraguay?	Yes	BUY	623	2¢	$10	0xb16cc9…
06-12 20:41:55	Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Paraguay?	Yes	BUY	262	4¢	$11	0x9e4687…
06-12 15:19:43	Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	308	4¢	$11	0xabbdc3…
06-10 16:30:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,820	0¢	$6	0x0cded6…
06-10 16:30:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,750	0¢	$15	0xca78b6…
06-09 15:46:25	Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 3 South Africa?	Yes	BUY	991	1¢	$10	0x7bbd1a…
06-05 06:41:34	Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on June 5?	Yes	BUY	3,156	0¢	$11	0x2ac238…
06-03 20:55:03	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	132	1¢	$2	0x0fa447…
06-03 20:54:45	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,500 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	3,811	1¢	$20	0x27a147…
06-03 20:54:19	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	1,429	1¢	$20	0x5107b9…
06-03 20:30:49	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	2,839	1¢	$25	0xd942b7…
06-02 20:02:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	754	1¢	$10	0x80a2b8…
06-02 20:00:11	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	1,651	1¢	$11	0x941648…
06-02 19:59:51	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	4,624	0¢	$11	0xe08a68…
05-30 18:50:20	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	2,280	1¢	$20	0x5a1bc2…
05-30 18:11:10	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	964	1¢	$10	0xcccae3…
05-30 18:09:35	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	1,100	1¢	$11	0xfbdce0…
05-28 20:37:19	Will Solana dip to $60 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,643	1¢	$10	0x4a9dbc…
05-28 20:36:52	Will Solana reach $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	5,500	0¢	$11	0xc4c09f…
05-28 17:58:39	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xe9e377…
05-28 17:58:11	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	Yes	BUY	5,959	0¢	$25	0xa8a150…
05-28 17:57:02	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,355	2¢	$21	0xb56d09…
05-28 17:55:30	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	827	3¢	$21	0xce000b…
05-28 17:46:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,599	1¢	$21	0x0ab153…
05-28 16:22:06	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?	Yes	BUY	11,000	0¢	$11	0xa6dfc8…
05-28 16:21:15	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0xe88ec3…
05-28 16:19:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0x95cf0a…
05-25 20:36:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	1,665	1¢	$11	0xe208df…
05-25 20:35:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	7,771	0¢	$10	0x243273…
05-25 08:53:26	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	4,791	0¢	$5	0x825fe9…
05-25 08:52:42	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	9,046	0¢	$10	0x33afff…
05-25 08:49:24	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	2,116	0¢	$11	0x766d05…
05-25 08:48:54	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0xb713fe…
05-23 14:59:49	Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x82b244…
05-23 14:59:00	Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0xe997fa…
05-23 14:55:11	Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6,000	0¢	$6	0xc345cc…
05-22 10:09:44	Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	556	1¢	$5	0xe2a3a0…
05-22 10:09:20	Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0x0ac074…
05-22 10:08:45	Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,667	1¢	$10	0x6c35f3…
05-21 22:18:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$4	0xc103f6…
05-21 22:18:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	667	1¢	$6	0x379bd7…
05-21 22:17:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,200	0¢	$6	0xa76be2…
05-21 16:46:02	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	433	5¢	$22	0xeda73c…
05-17 10:29:36	Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0x3732b6…
05-17 10:27:53	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$11	0x9f675a…
05-17 10:27:30	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,100	1¢	$11	0x4b96e9…
05-16 22:52:08	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	402	53¢	$213	0xda0062…
05-16 22:51:00	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	98	40¢	$39	0x8e3ef1…
05-16 13:01:48	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x21e7a0…
05-16 13:00:56	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,500	0¢	$11	0xb96cce…
05-13 14:54:27	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$3	0x683b90…