Melodic-Grove — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$10.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$148

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-22 02:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 100% +$14

Other

0% 100% +$1

Politics

0% 50% +$1

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No		-6	-$6	97¢	$-6	$0	10-22 02:46
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No		-1	-$1	97¢	$-1	$0	09-02 16:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 80k on april 15	1	$237	237	+237	No	+$0	04-13 17:18
bitcoin above 82k on january 11	1	$237	237	+237	Yes	+$0	01-09 21:05
will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on january 2	1	$236	236	+236	No	+$0	01-01 23:03
will the price of ethereum be less than 2500 on january 8	1	$234	234	+234	No	+$0	01-06 16:26
ethereum above 2300 on april 3	1	$234	234	+234	No	+$0	04-03 01:58
will the price of ethereum be between 1500 1600 on march 7	1	$233	234	+234	No	+$0	03-06 09:25
bitcoin above 78k on march 13	1	$232	232	+232	No	+$0	03-12 13:00
bitcoin above 78k on march 4	1	$231	231	+231	No	+$0	03-03 08:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 11?	1	$230	230	+230	No	+$0	05-10 02:38
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on march 21	1	$230	230	+230	No	+$0	03-20 12:51
bitcoin above 80k on january 5	1	$229	229	+229	Yes	+$0	01-03 15:13
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 1	1	$228	229	+229	No	+$0	02-28 01:50
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on May 5?	1	$227	227	+227	No	+$0	05-04 14:09
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 16	1	$227	227	+227	No	+$0	03-14 19:12
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on april 5	1	$226	227	+227	No	+$0	04-04 02:04
ethereum above 2300 on march 9	1	$226	227	+227	No	+$0	03-08 12:38
bitcoin above 74k on february 27	1	$226	226	+226	No	+$0	02-27 08:35
will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 23	1	$226	226	+226	No	+$0	04-22 13:28
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 20	1	$226	226	+226	No	+$0	04-20 13:05
bitcoin above 78k on march 26	1	$225	225	+225	No	+$0	03-25 19:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 16?	1	$223	224	+224	No	+$0	05-15 04:13
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on march 30	1	$223	223	+223	No	+$0	03-29 01:10
bitcoin above 60k on march 27	1	$223	223	+223	Yes	+$0	03-26 21:24
bitcoin above 100k on january 14	1	$222	223	+223	No	+$0	01-13 02:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	1	$222	223	+223	No	+$0	05-19 11:26
bitcoin above 76k on february 20	1	$222	223	+223	No	+$1	02-18 22:00
bitcoin above 76k on february 14	1	$221	221	+221	No	+$0	02-13 00:51
ethereum above 2500 on february 12	1	$221	221	+221	No	+$0	02-11 00:47
ethereum above 2800 on february 7	1	$220	221	+221	No	+$0	02-06 03:32
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on february 25	1	$220	221	+221	No	+$1	02-23 02:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 02:46:27	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x07f673…
09-02 16:56:31	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x119a6a…
09-02 16:55:49	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x5a8424…
08-13 05:14:43	bitcoin above 66k on august 13 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8f1b6e…
07-29 13:51:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 30?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x5d3c8b…
06-27 23:33:02	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 29?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x4557df…
06-18 15:09:43	bitcoin above 70k on june 19 2026	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x991dbb…
06-15 19:41:10	will ethereum reach 2100 in june 2026	No	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0x316866…
06-15 19:38:10	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xafd3af…
06-15 19:35:36	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x173b26…
06-04 10:36:06	bitcoin above 74k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x54404e…
05-19 11:26:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	223	100¢	$222	0x6417ea…
05-18 05:29:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	211	100¢	$211	0x73ba6e…
05-15 23:40:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3dd38a…
05-15 23:33:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x8fd37e…
05-15 04:13:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	224	100¢	$223	0x6d46a2…
05-10 02:38:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0xf6d2a2…
05-06 15:49:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	218	100¢	$218	0x55b56a…
05-04 14:09:44	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on May 5?	No	BUY	227	100¢	$227	0x7c45cd…
05-04 06:09:54	Will Solana reach $110 in May?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$2	0x6c7018…
05-04 06:08:00	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0xbc49e5…
05-04 06:06:34	Will Solana reach $130 in May?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9a67f1…
04-22 13:28:44	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 23	No	BUY	226	100¢	$226	0x5968b9…
04-20 13:05:56	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 20	No	BUY	226	100¢	$226	0x3813a4…
04-18 00:28:08	Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9ba17e…
04-13 17:18:53	bitcoin above 80k on april 15	No	BUY	237	100¢	$237	0xb9ba24…
04-10 18:21:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf8ae0c…
04-10 18:20:15	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in April?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xce0882…
04-04 02:04:51	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on april 5	No	BUY	227	100¢	$226	0x13c9dc…
04-03 01:58:51	ethereum above 2300 on april 3	No	BUY	234	100¢	$234	0x2f1293…
04-01 03:39:49	ethereum above 2500 on april 2	No	BUY	219	100¢	$218	0x136ad2…
03-29 01:10:34	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on march 30	No	BUY	223	100¢	$223	0x91c4ca…
03-26 21:24:51	bitcoin above 60k on march 27	Yes	BUY	223	100¢	$223	0x7d7693…
03-25 19:54:43	bitcoin above 78k on march 26	No	BUY	225	100¢	$225	0x83d28f…
03-24 15:49:57	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 25	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0xa2ab47…
03-22 13:37:19	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on march 23	No	BUY	213	100¢	$213	0xc44be7…
03-22 09:14:07	will clavicular be irans next supreme leader by march 31st	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x679135…
03-22 09:12:23	will crude oil cl settle at 70 75 in march 528	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x8bd5fb…
03-22 09:10:33	will crude oil cl settle at 60 65 in march 449	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x11a0cc…
03-20 12:51:07	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on march 21	No	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0x91f280…
03-14 19:12:53	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 16	No	BUY	227	100¢	$227	0x61cf16…
03-12 13:00:15	bitcoin above 78k on march 13	No	BUY	232	100¢	$232	0x6461a4…
03-08 12:38:41	ethereum above 2300 on march 9	No	BUY	227	100¢	$226	0x7f9111…
03-06 09:25:37	will the price of ethereum be between 1500 1600 on march 7	No	BUY	234	100¢	$233	0xbef48e…
03-03 08:45:39	bitcoin above 78k on march 4	No	BUY	231	100¢	$231	0xa649e0…
02-28 01:50:01	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 1	No	BUY	229	100¢	$228	0x218cbd…
02-27 08:35:15	bitcoin above 74k on february 27	No	BUY	226	100¢	$226	0x077e0f…
02-23 02:33:44	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on february 25	No	BUY	221	100¢	$220	0x711bad…
02-18 22:00:32	bitcoin above 76k on february 20	No	BUY	223	100¢	$222	0xb14367…
02-15 00:27:11	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on february 16	No	BUY	220	100¢	$219	0x9306ed…
02-13 00:51:39	bitcoin above 76k on february 14	No	BUY	221	100¢	$221	0x0f7de1…
02-11 00:47:49	ethereum above 2500 on february 12	No	BUY	221	100¢	$221	0x636da6…
02-08 23:22:35	bitcoin above 84k on february 10	No	BUY	219	100¢	$218	0x8e3f5c…
02-06 03:32:59	ethereum above 2800 on february 7	No	BUY	221	100¢	$220	0xfa2ecd…
02-02 11:15:16	will the price of ethereum be between 3100 3200 on february 3	No	BUY	212	100¢	$212	0x855716…
01-30 01:40:30	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 31	No	BUY	209	100¢	$209	0xd14f4d…
01-28 00:13:15	bitcoin above 100k on january 29	No	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0x6ce778…
01-25 08:16:12	bitcoin above 100k on january 27	No	BUY	202	100¢	$202	0x0cb4a4…
01-21 21:51:26	will the price of ethereum be greater than 3800 on january 24	No	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0xc651a6…
01-19 04:10:18	ethereum above 3900 on january 21	No	BUY	206	100¢	$205	0x9f93ea…
01-16 05:43:14	ethereum above 2600 on january 18	Yes	BUY	212	100¢	$212	0xa9f7c9…
01-13 17:36:41	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x68907a…
01-13 17:17:03	will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xb4aa80…
01-13 17:15:29	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x6a681e…
01-13 02:35:45	bitcoin above 100k on january 14	No	BUY	223	100¢	$222	0x4ce44c…
01-09 21:05:24	bitcoin above 82k on january 11	Yes	BUY	237	100¢	$237	0x780ac2…
01-06 16:26:51	will the price of ethereum be less than 2500 on january 8	No	BUY	234	100¢	$234	0xa76cac…
01-03 15:13:49	bitcoin above 80k on january 5	Yes	BUY	229	100¢	$229	0x37ca0d…
01-01 23:03:03	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on january 2	No	BUY	236	100¢	$236	0xbfdacc…