Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$198

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.1%

Resolved

678

Trades

803

lifetime

Volume

$6.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-02

last 10-31 08:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

87% 55% -$126

Crypto

13% 43% -$72

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	11	$176	174	174	+0	Yes	-$22	10-02 05:34
Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	14	$131	152	152	+0	open	—	10-31 08:45
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	10	$114	120	120	+0	open	—	10-31 08:45
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	4	$100	82	82	+0	No	-$15	10-02 05:34
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	8	$81	86	86	+0	open	—	10-31 08:45
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 8?	2	$81	71	71	+0	Yes	+$62	10-08 21:52
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November?	5	$46	60	60	+0	open	—	10-27 14:32
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on November 30, 2026?	6	$46	48	48	+0	open	—	10-31 08:45
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	5	$39	40	40	+0	open	—	10-31 08:45
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 13?	2	$31	22	22	+0	Yes	+$12	10-14 07:11
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	4	$28	27	27	+0	open	—	10-31 08:45
Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?	2	$27	20	20	+0	open	—	10-28 21:12
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027?	2	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	10-28 02:05
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	2	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	10-28 02:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$19	37	0	+37	Down	+$6	10-22 11:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	2	$19	31	0	+31	Up	-$7	10-22 12:17
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	2	$19	32	0	+32	Up	-$7	10-22 12:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	2	$19	34	0	+34	Up	-$8	10-22 11:37
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$19	35	0	+35	Down	+$3	10-22 10:46
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026?	2	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	10-28 13:22
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$19	32	0	+32	Down	-$4	10-22 12:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$19	31	0	+31	Down	-$2	10-22 11:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	2	$19	37	0	+37	Down	-$6	10-22 11:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$19	37	0	+37	Down	-$6	10-22 11:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$19	50	0	+50	Up	+$20	10-22 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$19	35	0	+35	Up	-$2	10-22 11:26
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	2	$19	40	0	+40	Down	-$6	10-22 11:17
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$19	46	0	+46	Up	+$12	10-22 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$19	40	0	+40	Up	+$3	10-22 12:25
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$19	39	0	+39	Down	+$2	10-22 11:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 08:45:15	Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0xf0cb55…
10-31 08:45:13	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	No	SELL	17	62¢	$10	0xa5cb13…
10-31 08:45:13	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x354e6a…
10-31 08:45:12	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x28a828…
10-31 08:45:10	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x9c5e42…
10-31 08:45:10	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 105m?	No	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x670af9…
10-31 08:45:09	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xb301af…
10-31 08:45:09	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x99c632…
10-31 08:45:07	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	68¢	$27	0xd0a529…
10-31 08:45:07	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	46¢	$13	0x75c4b8…
10-31 08:45:06	Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	No	SELL	40	79¢	$32	0xa914f7…
10-31 08:45:04	Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	40	16¢	$6	0x08733e…
10-31 08:45:03	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	No	SELL	46	28¢	$13	0xfbd782…
10-31 00:01:46	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x09b4b5…
10-31 00:00:43	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xb89d48…
10-30 18:32:55	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x7eb083…
10-30 14:06:07	Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xc72258…
10-30 13:34:27	Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x996765…
10-30 06:11:43	Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x8183e8…
10-29 23:09:42	Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x45b403…
10-29 17:35:52	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x4fc567…
10-29 17:08:02	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	No	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x932a95…
10-29 17:06:56	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x7eff47…
10-29 16:52:59	Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	32	33¢	$11	0x3683f1…
10-29 16:31:05	Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xdd2f8f…
10-29 16:31:05	Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xbcf1e6…
10-29 14:44:46	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x5b68b0…
10-29 11:52:05	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	Yes	SELL	60	43¢	$26	0x297cb6…
10-29 10:39:44	Will Hyperliquid dip to $70 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x2ab210…
10-29 10:39:07	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xeda651…
10-29 10:38:05	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x577d30…
10-29 10:35:16	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xbbc88e…
10-29 10:35:07	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x8a7b5c…
10-29 10:34:56	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x7fcd23…
10-29 09:02:07	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xbdb7d5…
10-29 09:01:07	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x243487…
10-29 03:51:16	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 105m?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x26d10d…
10-28 22:55:44	Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x701c6f…
10-28 22:38:11	Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	40	36¢	$14	0xce0b73…
10-28 21:12:32	Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0xf87072…
10-28 20:56:59	Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x807c21…
10-28 19:57:25	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x5b55ac…
10-28 18:42:25	Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xb09c00…
10-28 16:04:55	Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0xc84bdc…
10-28 16:04:55	Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xbaa52d…
10-28 13:22:07	Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xcb1e9b…
10-28 12:16:20	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x445c69…
10-28 06:04:11	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x2674f1…
10-28 02:46:06	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x9f51dc…
10-28 02:05:12	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x947068…
10-27 22:06:21	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x6e3f07…
10-27 20:37:06	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x73db49…
10-27 17:34:18	OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?	OpenAI	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0x75d3c0…
10-27 14:32:02	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November?	Yes	SELL	40	33¢	$13	0xc00155…
10-27 11:48:08	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x1ff8c4…
10-27 04:24:17	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x8db54f…
10-27 04:14:17	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x7232c4…
10-27 04:01:30	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xd338a0…
10-26 20:40:56	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	No	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x32d04c…
10-26 20:40:23	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	No	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x02b654…
10-26 19:46:23	Will $ANSEM dip to $0.06 before 2027?	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x4a40af…
10-26 17:04:26	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x1820cc…
10-26 16:30:51	Will $ANSEM dip to $0.06 before 2027?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xddb390…
10-26 15:36:33	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	No	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x5d6dd3…
10-26 09:18:57	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x402775…
10-26 08:52:12	Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0x526189…
10-26 07:58:36	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xb4c39b…
10-26 07:58:35	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xfd4d8f…
10-25 20:18:06	Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x94d700…
10-22 12:30:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x580aa4…
10-22 12:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	65¢	$8	0x53441c…
10-22 12:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xd8659c…
10-22 12:25:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x3bc72d…
10-22 12:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x29356e…
10-22 12:25:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x4eeb0d…
10-22 12:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0xffd713…
10-22 12:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	29	33¢	$10	0x83c438…
10-22 12:20:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	24	40¢	$10	0xbd555f…
10-22 12:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	59¢	$10	0xf16506…
10-22 12:20:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x222a70…
10-22 12:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xbf3d46…
10-22 12:17:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x294852…
10-22 12:15:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0xf5f45c…
10-22 12:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	59¢	$10	0xce71ba…
10-22 12:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x1bfc4d…
10-22 12:15:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	63¢	$10	0x34d3fa…
10-22 12:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	45	21¢	$9	0x053414…
10-22 12:10:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	63¢	$10	0x25810b…
10-22 12:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x1f9fb3…
10-22 12:06:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	56¢	$10	0xd7f5d7…
10-22 12:06:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x7656f3…
10-22 12:05:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x9bff89…
10-22 12:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xa592a2…
10-22 12:01:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xd82c0b…
10-22 12:00:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x12e91e…
10-22 12:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	59¢	$10	0x36671d…
10-22 11:56:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	42	23¢	$9	0xb62de9…
10-22 11:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0x884b25…
10-22 11:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	41¢	$10	0xe7f9ec…
10-22 11:55:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xe3d0a4…