Overlooked-Expansionism — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$578

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

78.2%

Resolved (90d)

101

Trades (90d)

144

360 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$4.64K

$8.65K lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$15

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 10-25 20:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Other

89% 52% -$598

Sports

9% 62% +$158

Crypto

2% 33% -$55

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes		+24	$10	43¢	$10	+$0	10-25 20:45
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	Yes		+53	$10	10¢	$5	-$5	10-25 20:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in munich on march 24 2026 13c	3	$611	311	311	+0	No	+$11	03-24 13:34
Spurs vs. Thunder	3	$577	767	576	+192	Spurs	+$109	05-30 23:59
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	2	$441	499	0	+499	Yes	-$441	10-20 19:32
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 10?	1	$400	411	0	+411	Yes	+$11	10-10 20:01
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 20?	4	$323	330	0	+330	Yes	+$7	10-20 07:38
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 18?	1	$317	328	0	+328	Yes	+$11	10-18 06:52
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 19?	2	$310	320	0	+320	Yes	+$10	10-19 04:13
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on May 13?	1	$300	302	0	+302	No	+$2	05-13 13:48
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 27?	5	$293	392	0	+392	Yes	-$293	09-27 14:39
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26?	1	$290	300	0	+300	Yes	+$10	09-25 22:47
highest temperature in london on march 20 2026 14c	2	$239	180	180	+0	Yes	+$121	03-21 00:05
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 20?	3	$231	119	119	+0	No	+$5	09-20 10:27
highest temperature in munich on march 22 2026 13c	6	$221	138	138	+0	Yes	+$55	03-22 17:31
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on September 27?	1	$200	213	0	+213	No	+$13	09-27 14:19
highest temperature in munich on march 21 2026 11c	5	$190	135	135	+0	Yes	+$80	03-21 17:07
fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	2	$187	133	133	+0	Canada	-$13	06-28 19:37
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 16?	2	$184	190	0	+190	Yes	+$6	10-16 07:50
highest temperature in munich on march 24 2026 14c	5	$180	246	0	+246	No	-$180	03-24 12:47
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 20?	1	$166	170	0	+170	Yes	+$4	10-20 13:22
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 20?	3	$156	160	0	+160	No	+$4	10-20 13:24
highest temperature in munich on march 26 2026 5c	10	$141	112	112	+0	No	-$28	03-26 13:21
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 2?	2	$120	129	0	+129	Yes	+$9	10-02 07:18
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 20?	3	$105	114	0	+114	Yes	+$9	09-20 10:26
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 2?	1	$100	104	0	+104	Yes	+$4	10-02 06:46
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 10?	1	$98	100	0	+100	No	+$2	10-10 00:26
highest temperature in munich on march 23 2026 13c	7	$83	118	0	+118	Yes	+$35	03-23 12:58
highest temperature in munich on march 26 2026 6c	5	$74	102	11	+91	Yes	+$26	03-26 13:22
highest temperature in london on march 20 2026 15c	1	$60	146	0	+146	No	-$60	03-19 21:48
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 20?	1	$58	60	0	+60	Yes	+$2	10-20 12:38
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 20?	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$1	09-20 09:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 20:46:02	Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x60960e…
10-25 20:45:56	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xccec75…
10-20 19:32:00	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	99	51¢	$50	0x953474…
10-20 19:31:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 21?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x3ed9fd…
10-20 19:31:14	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	14	87¢	$13	0x8595f8…
10-20 19:31:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xd8c435…
10-20 16:36:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 21?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x6927cc…
10-20 13:24:08	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 20?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xb34d45…
10-20 13:22:08	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	170	98¢	$166	0x7df41a…
10-20 12:38:06	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x525baa…
10-20 12:03:08	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 20?	No	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0xaa9f89…
10-20 11:58:08	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 20?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x4837c3…
10-20 08:00:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xdfa35e…
10-20 07:38:25	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf1201c…
10-20 07:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x7b0a38…
10-20 07:02:08	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0xdccad0…
10-20 07:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	120	98¢	$117	0xf843a2…
10-20 02:27:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	400	98¢	$391	0xa57aa8…
10-19 18:08:08	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x9929fb…
10-19 04:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x64e5e0…
10-19 04:12:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	220	97¢	$213	0x69edc1…
10-18 06:52:05	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	328	97¢	$317	0xdae50d…
10-16 07:50:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	70	96¢	$67	0xcaa0a8…
10-16 07:18:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	120	98¢	$117	0xd51db0…
10-14 21:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x3cb6b8…
10-14 21:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 15?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x1502a5…
10-14 07:04:05	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb18e63…
10-13 01:13:26	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 13?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x2ba63b…
10-13 01:13:08	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x23d394…
10-12 01:13:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xdb437d…
10-12 01:12:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x8c02ce…
10-12 01:09:08	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe9f794…
10-12 01:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb52264…
10-12 01:05:17	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x276ef1…
10-12 01:04:56	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0x24d367…
10-11 11:09:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 11?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x89a4c4…
10-11 11:08:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9e82db…
10-11 10:26:35	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x2971b7…
10-10 20:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	411	97¢	$400	0xdd4af9…
10-10 12:42:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xfc98e2…
10-10 10:53:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x034d9a…
10-10 00:26:23	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 10?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xdfb0dd…
10-10 00:08:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 10?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xc63941…
10-09 23:09:23	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 10?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6173fb…
10-08 22:43:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 9?	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xe5a092…
10-05 09:57:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on October 5?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x86f5e5…
10-03 09:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on October 3?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xccc9ac…
10-03 09:30:08	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x353c51…
10-03 09:28:44	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 3?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xd70192…
10-02 22:17:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x1e38a0…
10-02 22:15:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3d3c39…
10-02 22:15:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 3?	No	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x313079…
10-02 22:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x3c978a…
10-02 16:30:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	57	17¢	$10	0xa27b35…
10-02 09:33:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x1e93ed…
10-02 07:18:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x602378…
10-02 06:59:53	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x500725…
10-02 06:54:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xfbaf42…
10-02 06:46:32	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xe8ce4a…
10-01 22:41:56	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xce16c3…
10-01 22:32:35	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xe7ba6b…
10-01 22:32:27	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 2?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x9d57b0…
10-01 22:27:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 2?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xb2061e…
10-01 22:24:29	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xc3c4d3…
10-01 22:23:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 2?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xfc7c08…
10-01 22:18:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 2?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x26992e…
10-01 22:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 2?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x051514…
10-01 19:43:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xfde82b…
10-01 13:53:17	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x273e6a…
10-01 13:47:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 2?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x54789a…
10-01 13:42:59	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x119d69…
10-01 06:54:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xf82b6b…
10-01 06:54:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x29282f…
10-01 06:53:41	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x338378…
10-01 06:48:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on October 1?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd671c2…
10-01 06:38:27	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6e54ea…
09-30 22:46:14	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xc41823…
09-30 22:42:26	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on October 1?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x26b002…
09-30 22:32:05	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xae7238…
09-27 14:39:45	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 27?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xf6fa6c…
09-27 14:36:38	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 27?	No	BUY	84	59¢	$50	0x40260a…
09-27 14:19:26	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on September 27?	No	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x7cb1f4…
09-27 14:16:03	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 27?	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x653bef…
09-27 13:33:09	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 27?	No	BUY	105	90¢	$95	0x65c716…
09-27 09:24:05	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 27?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xc23ce1…
09-26 19:01:56	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 26?	Yes	SELL	26	26¢	$7	0xd8814e…
09-26 18:46:38	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xf3baf2…
09-26 18:40:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x39183c…
09-26 18:37:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0x645bb7…
09-25 22:52:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0x3c538d…
09-25 22:47:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	300	97¢	$290	0x58ab61…
09-21 17:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on September 21?	Yes	BUY	38	29¢	$11	0xcf55f0…
09-21 17:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 21?	No	SELL	12	72¢	$9	0x529b67…
09-21 17:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 21?	Yes	SELL	33	11¢	$4	0x322440…
09-21 16:09:14	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 22?	Yes	BUY	18	42¢	$7	0xcffbd8…
09-21 16:09:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 21?	No	SELL	17	36¢	$6	0x185acf…
09-21 16:07:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0x3b8980…
09-21 15:57:49	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on September 21?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xe778ef…
09-21 15:55:08	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on September 22?	No	BUY	13	57¢	$7	0xf076f3…
09-21 15:55:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 21?	Yes	SELL	48	26¢	$12	0x79bc92…