Infamous-Meatloaf — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$56

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

918

lifetime

Volume

$46.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-12 09:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

52% 100% +$54

Other

42% 100% +$0

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	52	$4.3K	2,780	2,780	+0	open	—	03-08 21:26
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	26	$3.4K	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	04-12 21:17
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	56	$2.8K	7,695	7,695	+0	open	—	04-03 17:59
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	7	$2.5K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	04-03 17:41
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	35	$2.1K	1,670	1,670	+0	open	—	02-28 18:59
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	9	$1.9K	1,450	1,450	+0	open	—	04-12 16:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	16	$1.8K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	04-16 21:02
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	14	$1.7K	1,101	1,201	-100	open	—	05-15 13:22
will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	27	$1.5K	1,387	379	+1,008	open	—	03-29 11:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	16	$1.4K	1,184	1,184	+0	open	—	05-02 15:48
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during address to the nation	18	$1.4K	962	462	+500	open	—	04-01 21:51
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	7	$1.0K	600	600	+0	No	+$10	05-10 21:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	16	$1.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$5	05-09 17:07
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	33	$874	950	899	+50	open	—	05-30 20:34
will trump say april fool or april fools during address to the nation	9	$847	447	447	+0	open	—	04-01 21:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	5	$838	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	05-10 20:38
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	12	$717	700	700	+0	No	+$13	05-07 20:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$680	500	300	+200	open	—	05-29 15:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	11	$623	400	400	+0	open	—	04-07 18:17
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	13	$550	800	600	+200	open	—	06-08 08:06
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	9	$537	280	280	+0	open	—	03-08 22:58
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?	4	$491	254	254	+0	open	—	06-01 08:21
will the dhs shutdown last 70 days or more 252	16	$432	366	366	+0	open	—	04-11 22:40
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	12	$413	300	300	+0	open	—	03-08 21:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	18	$412	780	780	+0	open	—	05-06 15:24
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	4	$398	200	200	+0	open	—	03-08 21:16
starmer out by july 31 2026	8	$396	534	484	+50	open	—	06-19 19:52
will the dhs shutdown last 80 days or more 431	12	$381	446	423	+23	open	—	04-30 15:54
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	2	$380	400	400	+0	open	—	04-19 18:27
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	6	$374	400	100	+300	open	—	05-29 16:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 08:08:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	400	84¢	$336	0xa286fd…
08-12 09:52:07	grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	Yes	SELL	225	54¢	$121	0xb38bd4…
08-12 09:26:52	grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	225	47¢	$106	0x608a88…
08-09 00:19:49	Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	86	4¢	$3	0x98e4a3…
07-26 22:00:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x60a4c2…
07-26 10:53:16	will the republic of the congo have an ebola case in 2026	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x311460…
07-16 06:28:58	Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0xf5e040…
07-15 02:02:28	will the republic of the congo have an ebola case in 2026	Yes	BUY	42	8¢	$3	0x876824…
07-03 22:59:40	Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?	No	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xa95ea1…
07-01 13:23:50	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	SELL	110	95¢	$104	0xf5b6a9…
07-01 01:01:47	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x045e28…
07-01 01:01:31	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xeee7c9…
07-01 01:01:31	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1f3e4c…
07-01 01:01:22	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x10aa39…
07-01 01:01:16	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xfd3616…
07-01 01:01:16	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x3b9384…
07-01 01:00:53	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe8be99…
07-01 01:00:53	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x753846…
07-01 01:00:43	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd4ebe0…
07-01 01:00:41	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x757125…
06-30 02:30:14	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x564444…
06-30 02:30:13	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	SELL	5	95¢	$4	0x1045e3…
06-30 02:30:11	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0x7e40ab…
06-30 02:30:07	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x4877aa…
06-29 02:36:28	will mohamed bin zayed al nahyan sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950078	No	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0xa8e6c2…
06-28 18:38:05	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x713309…
06-28 16:35:14	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x14bf7e…
06-28 14:40:05	Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0x4aca4f…
06-28 14:37:20	Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	85	79¢	$67	0xa22e98…
06-28 14:34:23	Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	172	77¢	$132	0xb75966…
06-28 12:51:31	hasan piker arrested by june 30	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x756d70…
06-28 11:27:32	Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	157	81¢	$127	0x1ed501…
06-28 11:24:47	Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x59536d…
06-27 18:53:50	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	SELL	29	95¢	$27	0x2c7e29…
06-27 17:32:11	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x8b144d…
06-27 15:39:58	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xea8c83…
06-27 15:13:34	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	SELL	5	95¢	$4	0xcecfe2…
06-27 12:30:44	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x102c48…
06-27 04:04:19	will openais valuation hit low 600b by december 31 187 246	No	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0x6d3b8f…
06-27 00:04:53	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	SELL	4	95¢	$3	0x080cc2…
06-26 12:54:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xbef6e5…
06-25 03:00:10	will china have an ebola case in 2026	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x33f6ec…
06-25 00:30:19	will the republic of the congo have an ebola case in 2026	No	BUY	51	44¢	$22	0xe3fac6…
06-24 20:57:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	186	30¢	$56	0xe47c39…
06-23 16:09:28	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x024a04…
06-23 14:37:04	will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220	Yes	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0xb33af6…
06-22 23:27:41	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x6519a7…
06-22 19:15:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0xddd525…
06-22 19:00:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xaa292a…
06-22 18:58:17	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0xa8f8ca…
06-22 18:54:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xc8629c…
06-22 17:21:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x85030a…
06-22 17:16:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x9dd367…
06-22 16:23:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x4aa1b9…
06-21 17:24:40	will mohamed bin zayed al nahyan sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950078	No	BUY	25	87¢	$22	0x3f77eb…
06-21 17:22:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	41	14¢	$6	0x34b8b2…
06-21 17:19:50	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x89b286…
06-21 17:18:07	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xfd1b24…
06-21 16:17:11	will the united states have an ebola case in 2026	No	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x41d854…
06-21 16:12:25	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0xae7bc5…
06-21 16:10:04	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x07c641…
06-21 16:09:37	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	62	65¢	$40	0x3b5066…
06-21 16:09:28	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	120	65¢	$78	0x50542e…
06-21 14:04:16	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x12bc0c…
06-21 13:09:49	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	91¢	$11	0x114be0…
06-21 13:08:56	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	91¢	$6	0xee56d6…
06-21 13:08:04	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	91¢	$19	0xf8ca8d…
06-21 13:08:02	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xc209e9…
06-21 12:51:44	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	Yes	SELL	85	90¢	$76	0x855e99…
06-21 12:23:40	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	81	69¢	$56	0x055b96…
06-21 12:22:38	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	19	69¢	$13	0xff67bc…
06-21 04:49:10	will the republic of the congo have an ebola case in 2026	No	BUY	49	44¢	$22	0xb31e90…
06-21 04:48:58	will the united states have an ebola case in 2026	No	BUY	43	44¢	$19	0x8167ef…
06-21 03:10:49	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	SELL	90	40¢	$36	0x089cbe…
06-20 22:37:13	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x69183a…
06-20 22:35:17	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x90d867…
06-20 22:34:44	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	90	28¢	$25	0x10dedd…
06-20 16:38:14	will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xabd731…
06-20 12:05:08	will china have an ebola case in 2026	No	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0x3cdfb2…
06-20 11:22:55	will china have an ebola case in 2026	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x56d41f…
06-20 11:21:13	will the republic of the congo have an ebola case in 2026	No	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0xf34058…
06-20 10:42:47	starmer out by june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x6b6bda…
06-20 10:40:19	starmer out by june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	35	42¢	$15	0xaa0616…
06-20 10:17:52	will the united states have an ebola case in 2026	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xded598…
06-20 06:32:11	will the united states have an ebola case in 2026	No	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x0e5309…
06-20 06:31:11	will the united states have an ebola case in 2026	No	BUY	85	48¢	$41	0x986e59…
06-19 21:03:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	72	54¢	$39	0x3075a2…
06-19 20:59:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0xff7425…
06-19 20:52:34	will the united states have an ebola case in 2026	No	BUY	39	40¢	$16	0xa70610…
06-19 20:52:13	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	180	93¢	$167	0x575551…
06-19 20:36:23	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x031ff9…
06-19 20:00:26	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x203366…
06-19 19:52:19	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x67e4ca…
06-19 18:32:50	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x42a895…
06-19 15:58:01	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0xf42255…
06-19 10:41:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	100	29¢	$29	0x1758ad…
06-18 23:06:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	57	27¢	$15	0x035b76…
06-18 23:02:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	43	27¢	$12	0xfe6e74…
06-18 20:36:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	131	37¢	$49	0x4b5803…
06-18 20:28:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	31	37¢	$12	0xd89b12…