Faithful-Thunderhead — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$875

Unrealized P&L

-$31

Hit rate

13.7%

Resolved

15,705

Trades

25,919

lifetime

Volume

$10.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$36

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 21:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 245 days

Categories

Crypto

44% 7% +$37

Other

40% 1% +$582

Sports

9% 1% -$311

Politics

5% 3% +$483

Pop-Culture

2% 2% +$69

Tech

0% 2% +$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?	No		-50	-$1	65¢	$-33	-$31	05-31 01:44
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes		-50	-$4	6¢	$-3	+$1	05-29 04:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	6	$117	270	270	+0	Down	+$101	10-08 09:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	15	$91	267	267	+0	Down	+$74	10-23 20:55
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	1	$50	0	50	-50	open	—	05-23 11:58
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?	1	$41	0	50	-50	open	—	05-23 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	7	$29	59	0	+59	Down	-$13	05-31 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	7	$28	41	0	+41	Up	-$8	05-31 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	7	$26	43	0	+43	Up	-$15	05-31 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	5	$23	35	0	+35	Down	-$18	05-31 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	8	$23	36	0	+36	Up	-$2	05-31 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	6	$23	40	0	+40	Up	$0	05-31 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	5	$22	32	0	+32	Up	-$12	05-31 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	5	$21	31	0	+31	Down	+$0	05-31 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	7	$21	41	0	+41	Down	+$0	05-31 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	5	$19	31	0	+31	Up	+$1	05-31 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	3	$17	27	27	+0	Down	+$13	09-14 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	4	$17	27	27	+0	Up	+$13	10-04 03:35
Solana Up or Down - October 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	3	$17	36	36	+0	Up	+$13	10-08 12:50
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	10	$16	540	0	+540	Up	-$16	10-11 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	4	$16	24	0	+24	Down	$0	05-31 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	4	$14	22	0	+22	Down	-$3	05-31 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	6	$13	27	27	+0	Up	+$8	10-08 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	3	$13	19	0	+19	Down	-$3	05-31 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	4	$12	33	0	+33	Up	-$2	05-31 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	3	$12	18	0	+18	Down	-$2	05-31 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	3	$12	15	0	+15	Up	-$12	05-31 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	3	$12	15	0	+15	Down	-$12	05-31 05:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	3	$12	19	0	+19	Up	-$3	05-31 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	5	$12	27	27	+0	Down	+$8	10-20 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	3	$12	15	0	+15	Up	-$2	05-31 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	3	$11	24	0	+24	Up	-$1	05-31 19:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 21:15:52	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x2cea94…
10-29 21:15:48	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	11	19¢	$2	0xb979aa…
10-29 21:15:31	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd4997d…
10-29 20:51:06	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x5e8195…
10-29 20:50:33	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x9295d6…
10-29 20:01:06	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	41	1¢	$0	0xd3f08c…
10-29 20:00:30	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x68b3f6…
10-29 15:11:05	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xff5336…
10-29 15:10:29	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x5aa398…
10-29 12:30:41	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	16	25¢	$4	0xa41afc…
10-29 12:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	12	19¢	$2	0x0fbb51…
10-29 12:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x1e0d95…
10-29 12:30:29	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x1021dc…
10-29 08:56:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0xa4530b…
10-29 08:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	27	2¢	$1	0x10e426…
10-29 08:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xe1f297…
10-29 08:55:23	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb68ee2…
10-29 08:55:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x7688fd…
10-29 08:55:16	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x0bea0a…
10-29 08:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xbf9be5…
10-29 08:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0x48cd82…
10-29 08:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0x96301b…
10-29 08:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x6d578e…
10-29 08:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x99ff0a…
10-29 08:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x9396e6…
10-29 03:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0x646a20…
10-29 03:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xbd305a…
10-29 03:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0x6f100d…
10-29 03:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x5674df…
10-29 01:25:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0x457435…
10-29 01:25:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x230fc1…
10-28 11:55:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	13	12¢	$2	0xb113e4…
10-28 11:55:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x379b30…
10-28 07:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	27	6¢	$2	0xba2147…
10-28 07:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xec1c5f…
10-28 07:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xddc54c…
10-28 03:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0xdc29c4…
10-28 03:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0xef8c79…
10-28 03:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x5b7115…
10-28 03:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0x31d7ab…
10-28 03:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0x186b22…
10-28 01:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0x19d144…
10-28 01:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xda64f6…
10-27 16:55:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0xfa73e5…
10-27 16:55:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xba5124…
10-27 16:55:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xc34f28…
10-27 16:55:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xeeac36…
10-27 12:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	27	10¢	$3	0x2b5d8d…
10-27 12:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x4950ca…
10-27 12:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xe1f941…
10-27 10:45:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0x62a4a7…
10-27 10:45:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xb57fdf…
10-27 10:11:00	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	16	4¢	$1	0xb74be7…
10-27 10:10:20	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x9b0d3b…
10-27 07:51:00	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	16	3¢	$0	0xb07073…
10-27 07:50:32	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0xd33765…
10-27 05:31:00	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	16	6¢	$1	0x423f7a…
10-27 05:30:17	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x430f3c…
10-27 03:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0x4daf5c…
10-27 03:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x0e9f03…
10-26 22:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	12	12¢	$1	0x47394b…
10-26 22:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xf69f4c…
10-26 22:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4391bf…
10-26 17:55:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x944b2e…
10-26 17:55:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x019b37…
10-26 14:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0x529ca0…
10-26 14:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x26cfaa…
10-25 21:45:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0x759434…
10-25 21:45:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x778008…
10-25 20:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0x328833…
10-25 20:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x6bc88b…
10-25 16:57:09	BNB Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x72ea98…
10-25 16:56:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xec524a…
10-25 16:56:35	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x54431d…
10-25 16:56:23	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	16	2¢	$0	0xaa9f28…
10-25 16:56:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0xe55c29…
10-25 16:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	57	3¢	$2	0xa618a4…
10-25 16:55:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf9e38f…
10-25 16:55:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xe94d8e…
10-25 16:55:18	BNB Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb4e260…
10-25 16:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x768a94…
10-25 16:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x200501…
10-25 16:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x732b42…
10-25 16:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x63d651…
10-25 16:55:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5050d0…
10-25 16:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x366788…
10-25 16:55:15	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x67a7b3…
10-25 16:55:15	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x4575e3…
10-25 16:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0x0f3196…
10-25 16:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xe3ccc6…
10-25 16:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x854366…
10-25 16:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x4e20f1…
10-25 13:56:00	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	16	3¢	$0	0x0fed3f…
10-25 13:55:32	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0xc787a7…
10-25 12:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0xb844d0…
10-25 12:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x105a74…
10-25 11:01:29	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x81cce5…
10-25 11:01:18	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	16	4¢	$1	0x61a955…
10-25 11:01:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0xe2ba83…
10-25 11:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	57	1¢	$1	0xd92472…