Lopsided-Scotch — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$98

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

2,362 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$43.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$158

1 position

First seen

2026-05-22

last 07-06 20:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Politics

100% 45% +$474

Other

0% 0% -$62

Tech

0% 0% -$54

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-06).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No		+170	$59	93¢	$158	+$98	06-19 17:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	77	$6.5K	14,412	7,613	+6,799	Yes	-$1,624	06-17 22:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	291	$4.8K	10,638	8,344	+2,294	Yes	-$578	06-15 21:42
iran closes its airspace by june 8	77	$4.6K	5,757	5,757	+0	Yes	+$3,980	06-07 22:12
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	187	$2.8K	4,290	4,290	+0	Yes	-$120	06-12 08:51
iran closes its airspace by june 15	170	$2.2K	8,114	8,162	-48	Yes	+$119	06-07 22:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?	128	$1.7K	6,759	2,509	+4,249	Yes	-$433	06-15 21:55
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?	60	$1.3K	4,952	4,954	-2	No	+$640	06-16 05:32
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?	53	$1.1K	4,842	1,968	+2,874	No	+$340	06-17 20:18
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	93	$1.0K	1,544	1,544	+0	Yes	-$51	06-14 16:38
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?	65	$995	5,674	5,674	+0	No	-$416	06-19 11:23
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?	55	$988	2,839	2,839	+0	No	-$276	06-12 18:09
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	84	$927	1,443	1,414	+29	No	+$14	06-19 14:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	53	$855	3,628	586	+3,042	Yes	-$131	06-15 16:13
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?	41	$769	1,722	1,457	+265	No	+$152	06-17 20:17
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	5	$639	623	623	+0	No	+$596	05-26 05:30
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?	57	$635	4,877	750	+4,127	No	-$472	06-12 14:07
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	22	$611	17,220	11	+17,209	Yes	-$604	05-29 17:09
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	39	$609	1,645	1,645	-0	No	+$4	06-04 21:08
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	43	$595	4,021	4,021	+0	No	-$27	06-13 16:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?	53	$557	6,578	416	+6,162	Yes	-$177	06-15 21:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	32	$556	1,958	1,958	+0	No	-$70	06-13 11:35
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	37	$527	5,368	774	+4,594	Yes	-$101	06-15 04:47
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	41	$507	883	798	+85	No	-$34	06-17 12:35
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	81	$497	1,172	1,172	+0	Yes	-$9	06-06 17:31
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	14	$485	372	372	+0	Yes	+$185	06-17 17:28
Iran leadership change by June 30?	20	$441	7,834	7,834	+0	No	-$257	06-19 11:23
will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	11	$282	220	300	-80	Yes	-$133	06-17 19:58
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	22	$276	455	455	+0	Yes	-$129	06-19 11:23
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	17	$276	962	962	+0	Yes	-$15	06-13 00:13
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	15	$259	726	386	+340	No	+$34	06-01 23:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 20:55:50	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	221	16¢	$35	0xcf89c5…
06-23 17:06:49	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	18¢	$54	0xe05c74…
06-22 17:38:34	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	78	25¢	$20	0x38d925…
06-22 16:31:32	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x847c7d…
06-22 15:56:47	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	22¢	$5	0x0400d0…
06-22 15:21:13	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	22¢	$8	0x4e3959…
06-22 14:46:16	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	22¢	$8	0x2b3d5f…
06-22 14:11:25	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	22¢	$5	0x4a6955…
06-22 14:10:58	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	23	25¢	$6	0xd42694…
06-22 13:36:43	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	22¢	$4	0x84fd61…
06-22 11:35:49	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	17	25¢	$4	0x8e2c07…
06-22 11:35:38	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x7c4384…
06-22 11:00:52	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	18	25¢	$5	0xc6ed92…
06-22 11:00:37	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	22¢	$5	0x0a69a8…
06-22 10:05:41	will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	Yes	BUY	33	10¢	$3	0x9f4523…
06-22 08:44:19	will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x280a4f…
06-22 08:43:38	will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x866571…
06-22 08:28:58	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0xf6be36…
06-22 08:28:38	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	22¢	$5	0x13e739…
06-21 21:49:22	will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	Yes	BUY	42	10¢	$4	0x84cf8b…
06-19 17:04:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0x9992f1…
06-19 16:28:05	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0x068755…
06-19 16:27:22	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	33	43¢	$14	0xd2407b…
06-19 15:52:17	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x10fa6c…
06-19 15:51:28	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	Yes	BUY	141	11¢	$16	0xf76327…
06-19 15:18:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	19	40¢	$8	0xe003df…
06-19 15:17:22	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	30	48¢	$15	0x05a951…
06-19 14:43:05	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0x87d913…
06-19 14:42:20	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	29	46¢	$14	0xc4dee7…
06-19 14:10:05	will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x0d9901…
06-19 14:08:29	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	64¢	$19	0xd8a8af…
06-19 14:07:52	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	34	46¢	$16	0x1e41cd…
06-19 13:34:23	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x784e8c…
06-19 13:33:25	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	31	47¢	$14	0xfa56c9…
06-19 12:45:49	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x777558…
06-19 12:44:16	will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	Yes	BUY	75	10¢	$7	0x579edd…
06-19 12:10:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x198840…
06-19 12:10:04	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x434d1d…
06-19 11:35:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	31	30¢	$9	0xbe889d…
06-19 11:23:37	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	21	87¢	$18	0xfe14dd…
06-19 11:23:31	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	SELL	226	24¢	$55	0xc30e5e…
06-19 11:23:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	227	45¢	$102	0x2ef1b5…
06-19 11:23:08	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	7,834	1¢	$92	0x75972e…
06-19 11:23:04	will marco rubio sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950069	Yes	SELL	5,674	5¢	$290	0x1bbb7a…
06-17 23:02:46	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	No	BUY	357	8¢	$30	0x76093a…
06-17 22:47:56	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	6,667	0¢	$20	0x751c22…
06-17 22:41:31	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$15	0x23d99b…
06-17 22:31:26	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	No	BUY	165	7¢	$11	0x7b5e54…
06-17 22:30:38	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	BUY	1,670	1¢	$11	0x3369af…
06-17 22:19:17	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x304ecb…
06-17 22:13:32	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0x894a09…
06-17 22:13:23	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	333	1¢	$3	0x8d931f…
06-17 22:11:31	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	80	98¢	$78	0x9de052…
06-17 21:41:29	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	885	11¢	$100	0x594148…
06-17 21:40:08	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	200	91¢	$181	0xaf3a4e…
06-17 21:38:43	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	No	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0xe0a04a…
06-17 21:32:40	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	250	93¢	$232	0x5b8c7a…
06-17 21:29:07	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0xb0c7e0…
06-17 21:28:31	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x78ae8f…
06-17 21:27:50	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	300	90¢	$270	0x70074d…
06-17 21:26:59	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x39a035…
06-17 21:24:25	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0xf2e4f6…
06-17 21:23:58	will marco rubio sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950069	Yes	BUY	178	9¢	$16	0xce088f…
06-17 21:23:25	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x0ccf5d…
06-17 21:23:14	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	150	90¢	$136	0xbfc0ba…
06-17 21:12:20	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	150	90¢	$135	0x1f6d16…
06-17 21:10:50	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	150	91¢	$137	0xf71cad…
06-17 21:07:14	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	150	91¢	$137	0x885d2b…
06-17 21:05:50	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	150	93¢	$139	0x4e51eb…
06-17 21:04:37	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	150	94¢	$141	0xf30a16…
06-17 20:50:37	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	BUY	129	12¢	$15	0x570509…
06-17 20:37:41	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	40	86¢	$34	0xb380fc…
06-17 20:32:37	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0xefe505…
06-17 20:31:07	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x19c370…
06-17 20:29:37	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x434014…
06-17 20:18:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516 841	Yes	BUY	391	2¢	$9	0xd8e3ef…
06-17 20:17:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	Yes	BUY	104	11¢	$11	0x2c1ef4…
06-17 20:16:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516 841	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x6f74c4…
06-17 20:15:52	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	50	82¢	$41	0x7ec97f…
06-17 20:03:34	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	100	75¢	$75	0x38f11c…
06-17 19:58:34	will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	Yes	SELL	100	74¢	$74	0x9149a6…
06-17 19:54:20	will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	Yes	SELL	100	76¢	$76	0xc24788…
06-17 19:52:26	will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	Yes	SELL	100	74¢	$74	0x0bfaad…
06-17 19:50:23	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0x496903…
06-17 19:44:19	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	BUY	62	23¢	$14	0xf51353…
06-17 19:44:19	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x20f284…
06-17 19:43:47	will marco rubio sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950069	Yes	BUY	189	9¢	$17	0x0d41b2…
06-17 19:32:31	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	50	71¢	$36	0xc5860f…
06-17 19:27:23	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	50	67¢	$33	0x3dcfc3…
06-17 19:26:04	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	100	66¢	$66	0x1c0e3c…
06-17 19:23:20	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	100	64¢	$64	0x4ce8a0…
06-17 19:21:50	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	100	64¢	$64	0x5d126e…
06-17 19:20:16	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0xa1203b…
06-17 19:14:22	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	100	62¢	$62	0xf0e9c0…
06-17 19:12:31	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	SELL	300	36¢	$107	0x36e321…
06-17 19:11:11	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0xcbdeae…
06-17 19:10:44	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	BUY	56	26¢	$15	0xa3cf66…
06-17 19:10:19	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	SELL	63	30¢	$19	0xa0c41b…
06-17 19:10:07	will marco rubio sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950069	Yes	BUY	157	9¢	$14	0x00f599…
06-17 19:09:56	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	SELL	237	30¢	$71	0xf894a1…