Friendly-Quill — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$18

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

40.3%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

40 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$110

$110 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 21:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 44% $-18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down		+5	$3	98¢	$5	+$2	05-05 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down		+4	$2	99¢	$4	+$1	05-05 21:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$7	9	+9	Down	$-7	05-04 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$4	6	+6	open	—	05-05 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$4	6	+6	Up	+$2	05-05 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Down	$-4	05-05 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-05 08:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$4	6	+6	Up	$-4	05-05 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$4	8	+8	Down	$-4	05-05 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Up	+$2	05-05 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Down	+$2	05-05 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-05 12:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Down	$-3	05-05 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$3	6	+6	Down	$-3	05-05 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-05 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-05 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$3	4	+4	open	—	05-05 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-05 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$3	4	+4	open	—	05-05 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-05 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$2	4	+4	Up	+$2	05-05 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$2	4	+4	Up	+$1	05-05 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$2	4	+4	Down	+$2	05-05 04:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$2	4	+4	Down	+$2	05-05 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-05 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-05 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-05 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	05-05 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Up	$-2	05-05 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	05-05 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-05 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-05 09:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 21:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xcf261d…
05-05 21:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x900585…
05-05 18:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x81ae89…
05-05 14:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x9401bb…
05-05 13:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xd1cc85…
05-05 12:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xf13a40…
05-05 12:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xf29911…
05-05 12:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$3	0x654597…
05-05 12:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$2	0x53a94a…
05-05 11:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x59adb3…
05-05 11:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0xa89c8f…
05-05 10:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xf07bef…
05-05 09:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf29fc6…
05-05 08:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xc62477…
05-05 08:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x7dcef1…
05-05 08:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x87771a…
05-05 08:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xc8a8f7…
05-05 07:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x8a7612…
05-05 07:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x4d3978…
05-05 07:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x18672c…
05-05 06:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xe2dc4c…
05-05 06:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xea75ec…
05-05 06:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xe5cf1e…
05-05 06:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x32c77e…
05-05 06:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xfec14e…
05-05 06:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x8ed8f6…
05-05 05:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x690609…
05-05 05:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x434ddf…
05-05 05:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x3b9f6e…
05-05 04:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x401fa2…
05-05 03:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x621416…
05-05 03:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xc846af…
05-05 03:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x48abdc…
05-05 02:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xd42b2e…
05-05 02:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xd1795e…
05-05 02:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x66f229…
05-05 01:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x072aa9…
05-05 01:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x49a118…
05-05 01:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x05d296…
05-04 22:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x4fc5c9…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	40	$6.02K	224	05-05 21:39
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	38	$3.15K	190	05-05 21:40
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	38	$2.93K	176	05-05 21:40
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	37	$1.94K	166	05-05 21:15
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	37	$1.92K	170	05-05 21:15
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	36	$5.24K	226	05-05 21:40
Hard-Counter 0x32e4…beed	34	$735	85	05-05 21:40
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	33	$701	82	05-05 21:40