Baggy-Somewhere — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$924

Unrealized P&L

+$20

Hit rate

91.3%

Resolved

387

Trades

1,281

lifetime

Volume

$57.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

$77

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-20 20:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Sports

58% 93% +$200

Politics

22% 66% +$350

Other

20% 63% +$388

Crypto

0% 0% -$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+45	$17	64¢	$29	+$12	08-01 19:59
us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260922	Yes	+50	$24	42¢	$21	-$4	10-04 12:18
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857	Yes	+35	$19	41¢	$14	-$5	10-04 10:52
Weed rescheduled by December 31?	Yes	-93	-$33	10¢	$-9	+$24	08-14 19:32
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	Yes	+50	$10	6¢	$3	-$7	08-27 16:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	5	$1.2K	587	587	+0	Yes	+$0	01-30 12:09
will the announcers say weather during the mexico vs england fifa world cup match 20260705031113090	4	$987	515	515	+0	Yes	+$42	07-06 01:18
will the announcers say what a save during the jordan vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260625200914436	5	$968	495	495	+0	Yes	+$20	06-28 06:17
khamenei seen in public by march 7 249 832 798 867	15	$913	524	524	+0	No	+$26	02-28 23:06
will the announcers say what a save during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343714	4	$778	393	393	+0	Yes	+$6	06-30 23:31
will trump say television or tv this week march 15	2	$744	375	375	+0	Yes	+$2	03-10 01:59
will the announcers say golden boot during the switzerland vs colombia fifa world cup match 20260706213736128	4	$690	349	349	+0	Yes	+$8	07-07 21:52
will the announcers say vulnerable during the ivory coast vs norway fifa world cup match 20260629195140026	2	$666	335	335	+0	Yes	+$3	06-30 20:06
will the announcers say captain during the norway vs senegal fifa world cup match 20260619210023965	3	$657	350	350	+0	Yes	+$42	06-23 01:50
will the announcers say 2014 during the usa vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260706134348897	2	$649	335	335	+0	Yes	+$7	07-07 00:17
will the announcers say visa during the france vs iraq fifa world cup match 20260619205900199	8	$641	327	327	+0	Yes	-$5	06-22 22:36
will the announcers say messi during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750050	4	$637	324	324	+0	No	+$10	07-04 19:20
will the announcers say penalty shootout during netherlands vs morocco 20260628222742635	3	$631	319	319	+0	Yes	+$6	06-30 01:40
will the announcers say comeback or come back during the uruguay vs spain fifa world cup match 20260625155523354	7	$619	311	311	+0	Yes	+$3	06-27 02:17
will the announcers say captain during the new zealand vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260625155700893	5	$617	314	314	+0	Yes	+$10	06-27 10:36
will the announcers say visa during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221714	9	$598	306	306	+0	Yes	+$10	06-25 03:20
khamenei seen in public by march 14 884 469 913	14	$593	384	384	+0	No	+$8	02-28 23:06
Will the US strike Somalia next?	2	$589	300	300	+0	Yes	+$7	02-10 14:22
will the announcers say record during the jordan vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260625200914429	5	$587	300	300	+0	Yes	+$12	06-28 04:20
will the announcers say crossbar during the england vs dr congo fifa world cup match 20260630205034687	5	$584	299	299	-0	Yes	+$14	07-01 18:15
will the announcers say mexico 5 times during the south africa vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260623170033313	2	$579	295	295	+0	Yes	+$9	06-25 13:24
Will Nottingham Forest qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	5	$563	391	341	+50	No	-$20	05-05 08:01
will the announcers say golden boot during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402825	3	$555	282	282	+0	Yes	+$8	07-04 01:47
will the announcers say captain during the uruguay vs spain fifa world cup match 20260625155523352	3	$548	279	279	+0	Yes	+$10	06-27 00:36
will trump say six seven this week march 29	9	$545	326	327	-0	Yes	+$17	03-27 17:50
will the announcers say what a save during the new zealand vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260625155700899	4	$545	276	276	+0	Yes	+$7	06-27 08:58
will the announcers say champion during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947270	3	$540	274	274	+0	Yes	+$8	06-24 23:22
will the announcers say var during the argentina vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260706213505716	2	$518	266	266	+0	Yes	+$13	07-07 17:39
Will the US strike Somalia next?	4	$510	522	0	+522	Yes	+$12	01-26 21:07
will trump say retruth during signing time	3	$493	250	250	+0	No	+$3	02-06 22:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 20:35:42	Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x6e0210…
10-20 11:01:12	Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority?	Yes	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x71f115…
10-20 00:32:56	Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority?	Yes	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0x902700…
10-19 18:33:32	Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority?	Yes	BUY	46	82¢	$38	0xd4d4ab…
10-04 12:18:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260922	Yes	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x634ebd…
10-04 10:52:44	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857	Yes	SELL	35	52¢	$18	0x248884…
10-02 13:24:26	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	54¢	$37	0xa7ea5b…
09-30 13:29:45	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	Yes	BUY	90	67¢	$60	0x3313bb…
09-30 13:06:30	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 15	Yes	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0x899936…
09-30 13:05:59	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 15	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x067da3…
09-01 21:36:12	Will Folarin Balogun join Everton?	Yes	BUY	26	94¢	$25	0x6389df…
08-30 22:16:19	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x2f0197…
08-28 20:21:57	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	SELL	30	37¢	$11	0x5b238c…
08-28 13:31:25	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x06a7d9…
08-28 13:23:45	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x814474…
08-27 16:55:49	Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xa81271…
08-27 16:55:49	Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	Yes	BUY	47	20¢	$9	0xa5a7c2…
08-27 16:55:46	Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x0dc180…
08-14 19:32:06	Weed rescheduled by December 31?	Yes	SELL	27	30¢	$8	0x8125bc…
08-08 19:33:27	Weed rescheduled by December 31?	Yes	SELL	35	30¢	$10	0x761e56…
08-05 15:44:26	Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	40	36¢	$14	0xb0f94f…
08-05 15:34:24	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-05?	Yes	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0x0758a7…
08-01 21:37:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x12bbd8…
08-01 19:59:23	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	45	37¢	$17	0x7ef8ea…
07-29 18:03:24	will warsh say holding during july press conference 20260728013709204	Yes	BUY	18	47¢	$8	0xb147d4…
07-25 13:21:52	la velada del ano 6 viruzz vs gero arias 20260708192137377	Viruzz	BUY	80	43¢	$34	0x8614df…
07-19 17:56:55	Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	40	77¢	$31	0x441387…
07-07 21:52:43	will the announcers say golden boot during the switzerland vs colombia fifa world cup match 20260706213736128	Yes	SELL	230	100¢	$230	0x159cb7…
07-07 21:40:52	will the announcers say golden boot during the switzerland vs colombia fifa world cup match 20260706213736128	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xf84dd3…
07-07 20:56:31	will the announcers say golden boot during the switzerland vs colombia fifa world cup match 20260706213736128	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xe66951…
07-07 20:51:41	will the announcers say var during the switzerland vs colombia fifa world cup match 20260706213736121	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x0d713f…
07-07 20:40:23	will the announcers say var during the switzerland vs colombia fifa world cup match 20260706213736121	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x0fa200…
07-07 20:40:05	will the announcers say golden boot during the switzerland vs colombia fifa world cup match 20260706213736128	Yes	BUY	349	98¢	$341	0xf023e6…
07-07 19:00:20	will the announcers say scare or scared during the argentina vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260707021240078	Yes	BUY	54	1¢	$1	0xfe4dc7…
07-07 18:54:37	will the announcers say scare or scared during the argentina vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260707021240078	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0xfb6eeb…
07-07 18:27:58	will the announcers say scare or scared during the argentina vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260707021240078	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xce1cd4…
07-07 17:39:52	will the announcers say var during the argentina vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260706213505716	Yes	SELL	266	100¢	$266	0x12c4e6…
07-07 17:23:25	will the announcers say var during the argentina vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260706213505716	Yes	BUY	266	95¢	$253	0xc57d3e…
07-07 17:20:29	will the announcers say penalty 5 times during the argentina vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260707021240074	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x7be8d4…
07-07 16:20:47	will the announcers say penalty 5 times during the argentina vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260707021240074	Yes	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0xdef84b…
07-07 16:14:50	will the announcers say scare or scared during the argentina vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260707021240078	Yes	BUY	93	96¢	$89	0xab76c9…
07-07 01:51:23	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the usa vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260706134348903	Yes	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0xc4478c…
07-07 01:31:16	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the usa vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260706134348903	Yes	BUY	107	97¢	$103	0xd6d576…
07-07 00:17:31	will the announcers say 2014 during the usa vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260706134348897	Yes	SELL	335	98¢	$328	0xe01cf9…
07-07 00:09:14	will the announcers say history during the usa vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260706134348899	Yes	SELL	210	100¢	$209	0xbd6751…
07-07 00:05:16	will the announcers say 2014 during the usa vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260706134348897	Yes	BUY	335	96¢	$321	0xdcb6d3…
07-07 00:01:25	will the announcers say history during the usa vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260706134348899	Yes	BUY	210	99¢	$207	0x2c63ac…
07-06 03:11:17	will the announcers say messi during the mexico vs england fifa world cup match 20260705031113106	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x693007…
07-06 03:09:58	will the announcers say messi during the mexico vs england fifa world cup match 20260705031113106	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x881dbc…
07-06 03:09:58	will the announcers say messi during the mexico vs england fifa world cup match 20260705031113106	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6b6244…
07-06 03:09:56	will the announcers say messi during the mexico vs england fifa world cup match 20260705031113106	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xaed183…
07-06 03:05:01	will the announcers say crossbar during the mexico vs england fifa world cup match 20260705031113100	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x0b0101…
07-06 03:04:56	will the announcers say crossbar during the mexico vs england fifa world cup match 20260705031113100	No	BUY	37	94¢	$35	0x88f626…
07-06 02:51:58	will the announcers say var during the mexico vs england fifa world cup match 20260705031113094	Yes	SELL	167	99¢	$165	0x260356…
07-06 02:33:46	will the announcers say var during the mexico vs england fifa world cup match 20260705031113094	Yes	BUY	167	75¢	$125	0xdbc9be…
07-06 02:21:59	will the announcers say messi during the mexico vs england fifa world cup match 20260705031113106	Yes	BUY	128	93¢	$119	0xdd38c3…
07-06 02:21:56	will the announcers say golden boot during the mexico vs england fifa world cup match 20260705031113102	Yes	BUY	184	95¢	$175	0xfd2fea…
07-06 02:17:10	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the mexico vs england fifa world cup match 20260705031113103	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x375ee1…
07-06 01:54:20	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the mexico vs england fifa world cup match 20260705031113103	Yes	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0xb66557…
07-06 01:40:17	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the mexico vs england fifa world cup match 20260705031113103	Yes	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x98276a…
07-06 01:18:52	will the announcers say weather during the mexico vs england fifa world cup match 20260705031113090	Yes	SELL	240	100¢	$240	0x9a2e28…
07-06 01:15:05	will the announcers say weather during the mexico vs england fifa world cup match 20260705031113090	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x497be1…
07-06 01:10:08	will the announcers say weather during the mexico vs england fifa world cup match 20260705031113090	Yes	SELL	235	100¢	$235	0xcb1ef9…
07-06 01:01:25	will the announcers say weather during the mexico vs england fifa world cup match 20260705031113090	Yes	BUY	515	92¢	$473	0xfed95f…
07-04 19:28:31	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750047	No	SELL	73	100¢	$72	0x36bb26…
07-04 19:20:05	will the announcers say messi during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750050	No	SELL	277	100¢	$277	0x7a5ea6…
07-04 19:11:20	will the announcers say messi during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750050	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0xb66403…
07-04 19:05:41	will the announcers say messi during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750050	No	BUY	57	92¢	$53	0xa712b4…
07-04 19:04:41	will the announcers say var during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750038	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xc7b4e9…
07-04 19:04:26	will the announcers say messi during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750050	No	BUY	267	98¢	$261	0xe7957e…
07-04 19:04:17	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750047	No	BUY	73	97¢	$70	0xde8a91…
07-04 02:01:17	will the announcers say penalty 5 times during the argentina vs cape verde fifa world cup match 20260702193236632	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9f353a…
07-04 01:56:29	will the announcers say messi during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402829	Yes	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xd8d566…
07-04 01:55:08	will the announcers say first time during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402818	Yes	SELL	177	100¢	$177	0xfdf298…
07-04 01:47:32	will the announcers say golden boot during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402825	Yes	SELL	201	100¢	$201	0x2dde8c…
07-04 01:47:29	will the announcers say golden boot during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402825	Yes	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0x98e8f5…
07-04 01:44:19	will the announcers say golden boot during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402825	Yes	BUY	282	97¢	$273	0x972077…
07-04 01:43:17	will the announcers say messi during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402829	Yes	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0x64ada0…
07-04 01:31:28	will the announcers say first time during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402818	Yes	BUY	177	93¢	$165	0x9a6ead…
07-04 00:44:31	will the announcers say crossbar during the argentina vs cape verde fifa world cup match 20260702193236640	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xeeada7…
07-04 00:02:28	will the announcers say penalty 5 times during the argentina vs cape verde fifa world cup match 20260702193236632	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x0b5841…
07-03 23:14:20	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs cape verde fifa world cup match 20260702193236639	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x7c58dd…
07-03 22:41:28	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs cape verde fifa world cup match 20260702193236639	Yes	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xcd45de…
07-03 22:35:44	will the announcers say golden boot during the argentina vs cape verde fifa world cup match 20260702193236642	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xb03691…
07-03 22:10:02	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs cape verde fifa world cup match 20260702193236639	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x8408e6…
07-03 22:01:08	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs cape verde fifa world cup match 20260702193236639	Yes	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0xa645e9…
07-03 01:09:26	will the announcers say what a save during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644164	No	BUY	37	96¢	$35	0xcdde6d…
07-03 01:02:19	will the announcers say golden boot during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644165	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x904420…
07-03 01:01:58	will the announcers say what a save during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644164	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x8193bf…
07-03 01:01:55	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644166	No	BUY	12	95¢	$12	0x31b018…
07-03 00:31:26	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the spain vs austria fifa world cup match 20260701163439806 536	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$0	0xd16d23…
07-03 00:31:23	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the spain vs austria fifa world cup match 20260701163439806 536	Yes	BUY	570	2¢	$9	0xdcf10b…
07-03 00:15:14	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the spain vs austria fifa world cup match 20260701163439806 536	Yes	BUY	160	2¢	$3	0x5cf9c0…
07-03 00:14:19	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the spain vs austria fifa world cup match 20260701163439806 536	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2f9f9b…
07-02 23:19:34	will the announcers say messi during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644169	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xf795c7…
07-02 17:41:55	will the announcers say winger during the spain vs austria fifa world cup match 20260701163439795 597	Yes	BUY	23	84¢	$20	0x9af345…
07-01 18:15:49	will the announcers say crossbar during the england vs dr congo fifa world cup match 20260630205034687	Yes	SELL	299	100¢	$299	0x5e23cc…
07-01 18:00:38	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the england vs dr congo fifa world cup match 20260630205034691	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x9f3f34…
07-01 18:00:34	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the england vs dr congo fifa world cup match 20260630205034691	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x17d2f1…
07-01 17:58:26	will the announcers say ronaldo during the england vs dr congo fifa world cup match 20260630205034693	No	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x70a0d2…