Baggy-Somewhere — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

60.9%

Resolved

Trades

719

lifetime

Volume

$21.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$88

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-10 14:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

51% 0% $-1

Other

43% 100% +$23

Sports

6% 0% $-3

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No		+178	$84	50¢	$88	+$4	06-10 14:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	5	$1.2K	587	587	+0	open	—	01-30 12:09
khamenei seen in public by march 7 249 832 798 867	15	$913	524	524	+0	open	—	02-28 23:06
will trump say television or tv this week march 15	2	$744	375	375	+0	open	—	03-10 01:59
khamenei seen in public by march 14 884 469 913	14	$593	384	384	+0	open	—	02-28 23:06
Will the US strike Somalia next?	2	$589	300	300	+0	open	—	02-10 14:22
Will Nottingham Forest qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	5	$563	391	341	+50	open	—	05-05 08:01
will trump say six seven this week march 29	9	$545	326	327	-0	open	—	03-27 17:50
Will the US strike Somalia next?	4	$510	522	0	+522	open	—	01-26 21:07
will trump say retruth during signing time	3	$493	250	250	+0	open	—	02-06 22:25
will leavitt say go ahead 5 times during the next white house press briefing 132	2	$493	562	0	+562	open	—	03-30 17:49
us strike on somalia by february 28 399	6	$490	508	0	+508	open	—	02-23 08:59
Will King Charles say "Special Relationship" during the joint meeting of Congress?	11	$473	247	247	+0	open	—	04-29 01:39
will trump say khamenei or khomeini during address to the nation	2	$448	234	234	+0	open	—	04-02 01:27
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	12	$440	612	442	+170	open	—	05-26 15:56
will trump be photographed every day this week 61 67	7	$422	213	213	+0	open	—	06-09 17:19
Will the US strike Iran next?	2	$395	200	200	+0	open	—	02-18 22:48
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?	2	$387	388	0	+388	open	—	03-07 22:10
khamenei seen in public by march 3 664 585 642	7	$370	197	197	+0	open	—	02-28 22:44
us strike on somalia by january 31 956	14	$361	240	240	+0	open	—	01-26 21:06
will trump say ass or shit this week march 29	3	$341	349	0	+349	open	—	03-26 16:08
will trump say please or thank 20 times during board of peace events on february 19	3	$334	340	0	+340	open	—	02-19 14:58
will there be 5 or fewer us strikes on somalia in march 2026	16	$328	349	0	+349	open	—	03-21 23:28
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	10	$310	290	290	+0	open	—	04-19 13:04
Kash Patel out by May 31?	11	$301	430	530	-100	open	—	05-03 16:05
will trump shake hands with volodymyr zelenskyy at the world economic forum	8	$298	155	155	+0	open	—	01-22 15:16
Will the US strike Somalia next?	9	$275	158	158	+0	open	—	01-15 21:58
will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 8	7	$261	150	150	+0	open	—	03-09 04:22
will trump say drug price during signing time	8	$257	131	131	+0	open	—	02-06 22:22
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	10	$256	201	106	+95	open	—	05-06 07:10
will hegseth or cooper say f 35 or f 22 or f 15 during press conference	2	$235	119	119	+0	open	—	03-05 22:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 13:15:57	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	60	79¢	$47	0x19d691…
06-10 14:36:04	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	60	49¢	$29	0x31b42d…
06-10 12:44:46	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x80d4d1…
06-10 12:35:18	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	68	46¢	$31	0xa47d41…
06-09 22:35:09	ebola case in the us by june 30	No	BUY	60	81¢	$49	0xf456bd…
06-09 21:44:45	ebola case in the us by june 30	No	BUY	21	81¢	$17	0x424598…
06-09 17:19:31	will trump be photographed every day this week 61 67	No	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0xd5929f…
06-09 07:46:34	will trump be photographed every day this week 61 67	No	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0xcdc685…
06-08 03:01:33	will trump be photographed every day this week 61 67	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xf6546c…
06-07 12:54:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	46¢	$46	0xed8f49…
06-06 12:12:06	Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x409ac7…
06-06 10:09:33	Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0xc8828f…
06-05 18:43:57	Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	SELL	82	64¢	$53	0x4d8731…
06-05 00:59:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	51¢	$37	0x6fbd2a…
06-05 00:59:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x08b6cd…
06-05 00:57:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x83dc89…
06-05 00:56:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4a51f1…
06-05 00:55:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf0fa5a…
06-05 00:55:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd3e7e1…
06-05 00:54:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x25b78a…
06-05 00:53:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa32367…
06-05 00:52:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xef171e…
06-05 00:51:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8de5af…
06-05 00:50:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x650529…
06-04 11:42:57	will trump be photographed every day this week 61 67	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0xdc3fa5…
06-04 11:13:30	will trump be photographed every day this week 61 67	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x497175…
06-04 09:39:01	will trump be photographed every day this week 61 67	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc262d2…
06-04 09:39:01	will trump be photographed every day this week 61 67	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x13614c…
06-02 17:32:23	Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	110	70¢	$77	0x2ab317…
05-26 18:50:38	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	103	25¢	$25	0xa837e9…
05-26 17:43:38	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xfe5cf4…
05-26 17:43:38	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	52	23¢	$12	0xbd47b4…
05-26 17:43:26	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	23¢	$9	0xc75527…
05-26 15:56:06	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	104	17¢	$18	0x5183a0…
05-26 15:56:02	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x046345…
05-26 15:55:50	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	46	17¢	$8	0x5ddc95…
05-26 15:55:38	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	19	17¢	$3	0x9a59ce…
05-26 15:54:35	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	SELL	170	17¢	$29	0x4572b3…
05-26 15:44:59	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	170	20¢	$34	0x0dd275…
05-26 15:17:57	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	SELL	252	67¢	$168	0x3a3648…
05-26 15:17:55	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x287c68…
05-26 15:16:45	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0xe7d09b…
05-26 15:15:49	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	BUY	130	71¢	$92	0x435ba4…
05-26 14:51:54	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0xc670ce…
05-26 14:48:59	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	BUY	28	21¢	$6	0x3465b5…
05-26 09:29:59	Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xdbde9f…
05-24 11:31:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0x4a164b…
05-12 21:57:48	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	80	80¢	$64	0x9591fd…
05-06 07:10:20	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	Yes	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0x8c4ffb…
05-05 08:01:34	Will Nottingham Forest qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x76cf22…
05-05 07:05:20	U.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0x50a12a…
05-03 16:05:12	Kash Patel out by May 31?	Yes	SELL	296	16¢	$47	0x4c158b…
05-02 23:10:10	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 2, 2026?	No	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xf75ae2…
04-30 17:45:54	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x20fb6a…
04-30 17:45:46	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x13ea54…
04-30 17:45:42	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x899944…
04-30 17:38:28	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x705832…
04-30 17:38:18	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x11a074…
04-30 17:38:14	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xe77d19…
04-30 17:38:06	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x16d55e…
04-30 17:21:52	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x5a90ff…
04-30 17:21:50	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x5e9a8d…
04-30 16:54:40	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x79f2c3…
04-30 16:53:56	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x1beace…
04-30 16:50:46	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xe2be25…
04-30 16:50:26	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 27, 2026?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x691f37…
04-30 16:50:04	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xdb8da8…
04-30 16:47:26	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 27, 2026?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x315639…
04-30 16:46:16	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 27, 2026?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x628811…
04-29 11:39:38	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	23	92¢	$21	0xa3f26b…
04-29 11:03:32	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	47	92¢	$43	0xae643e…
04-29 01:39:54	Will King Charles say "Special Relationship" during the joint meeting of Congress?	No	SELL	119	99¢	$118	0x114095…
04-29 00:01:28	Will King Charles say "Special Relationship" during the joint meeting of Congress?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x6eb947…
04-28 23:40:00	Will King Charles say "Special Relationship" during the joint meeting of Congress?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x17bc4d…
04-28 23:31:18	Will King Charles say "Special Relationship" during the joint meeting of Congress?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xc60a89…
04-28 22:17:08	Will King Charles say "Special Relationship" during the joint meeting of Congress?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x2197dc…
04-28 22:11:54	Will King Charles say "Special Relationship" during the joint meeting of Congress?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x3930ae…
04-28 21:59:22	Will King Charles say "Special Relationship" during the joint meeting of Congress?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe931d5…
04-28 21:41:00	Kash Patel out by May 31?	Yes	SELL	182	36¢	$66	0x7d24a8…
04-28 21:07:34	Will King Charles say "Special Relationship" during the joint meeting of Congress?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xd24ac6…
04-28 21:05:56	Kash Patel out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0xb99795…
04-28 20:45:22	Will King Charles say "Special Relationship" during the joint meeting of Congress?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb4aee0…
04-28 20:15:42	Will King Charles say "Special Relationship" during the joint meeting of Congress?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x257f1e…
04-28 19:54:14	Will King Charles say "Anniversary" during the joint meeting of Congress?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa281e4…
04-28 19:50:26	Will King Charles say "Anniversary" during the joint meeting of Congress?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x858085…
04-28 19:45:40	Will King Charles say "George" or "Washington" during the joint meeting of Congress?	Yes	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x3ebaa9…
04-28 19:38:12	Will King Charles say "Special Relationship" during the joint meeting of Congress?	No	BUY	247	92¢	$227	0x4d43e8…
04-28 19:27:06	Will King Charles say "Anniversary" during the joint meeting of Congress?	Yes	BUY	110	98¢	$108	0xc1dff9…
04-28 19:16:44	Will King Charles say "George" or "Washington" during the joint meeting of Congress?	Yes	BUY	111	98¢	$109	0xa98ef5…
04-28 07:45:40	Kash Patel out by May 31?	Yes	SELL	17	45¢	$8	0x58d8b3…
04-28 06:12:48	Kash Patel out by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x588f24…
04-28 06:09:06	Kash Patel out by May 31?	Yes	SELL	22	46¢	$10	0xf7c277…
04-28 05:54:28	Kash Patel out by May 31?	Yes	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0x3e25c0…
04-27 21:23:48	Kash Patel out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	48	38¢	$18	0x7d34ec…
04-27 21:20:18	Kash Patel out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x13be44…
04-27 21:16:12	Kash Patel out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	175	41¢	$72	0xcf5a2f…
04-27 21:16:02	Kash Patel out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x38a137…
04-27 20:22:40	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0x932369…
04-27 20:22:28	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	45	19¢	$9	0x56eb97…
04-27 20:17:08	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x68d7ac…