Bleak-Forage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$551

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

61.3%

Resolved

123

Trades

280

lifetime

Volume

$121.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$432

Open exposure

$154

1 position

First seen

2026-03-03

last 10-04 04:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 98% +$567

Other

24% 86% -$5

Sports

15% 75% -$9

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 71% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+158	$152	98¢	$154	+$3	10-04 04:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$9.3K	4,655	4,655	+0	No	-$5	03-29 09:37
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 540 559	2	$9.3K	4,653	4,653	+0	No	-$5	03-29 09:59
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 380 399	2	$9.3K	4,652	4,652	+0	No	-$5	03-29 10:28
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$9.3K	4,656	4,656	+0	No	-$5	03-29 10:38
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$9.3K	4,652	4,652	+0	No	-$5	03-29 11:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 02:05 UTC	4	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Up	+$50	03-30 02:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 01:50 UTC	1	$4.9K	4,900	0	+4,900	Down	+$49	03-30 01:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 01:25 UTC	1	$4.9K	4,900	0	+4,900	Up	+$49	03-30 01:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 01:00 UTC	3	$4.8K	4,842	0	+4,842	Up	+$5	03-30 01:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 01:15 UTC	1	$4.8K	4,840	0	+4,840	Up	+$48	03-30 01:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 14:10 UTC	5	$4.8K	4,770	0	+4,770	Up	+$5	03-29 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 00:50 UTC	1	$4.8K	4,800	0	+4,800	Down	+$48	03-30 00:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 00:30 UTC	1	$4.7K	4,780	0	+4,780	Down	+$48	03-30 00:34
ethereum above 2000 on march 29	2	$4.7K	4,740	0	+4,740	No	+$9	03-29 15:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 12:45 UTC	2	$4.7K	4,686	0	+4,686	Up	+$5	03-29 12:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 13:05 UTC	5	$4.7K	4,700	0	+4,700	Down	+$47	03-29 13:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 10:15 UTC	2	$4.6K	4,645	0	+4,645	Down	+$5	03-29 10:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 12:50 UTC	16	$4.6K	4,656	0	+4,656	Up	+$47	03-29 12:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 09:30 UTC	17	$3.6K	3,654	0	+3,654	Down	+$4	03-29 09:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 14:00 UTC	38	$3.2K	3,232	0	+3,232	Down	+$32	03-29 14:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 14:15 UTC	12	$1.7K	1,671	0	+1,671	Down	+$2	03-29 14:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 09:45 UTC	19	$1.5K	1,463	0	+1,463	Up	+$1	03-29 10:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 13:10 UTC	14	$568	574	0	+574	Up	+$6	03-29 13:15
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	3	$512	258	258	+0	open	—	08-05 03:16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$502	252	252	+0	No	+$1	06-11 14:53
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	5	$364	268	110	+158	open	—	10-04 04:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 11:45 UTC	7	$344	344	0	+344	Down	+$0	03-29 12:01
Netanyahu out by April 30?	4	$213	220	0	+220	No	+$7	03-30 03:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 02:00 UTC	1	$46	155	0	+155	Down	+$109	03-30 02:03
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	04-06 09:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-04 04:11:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x79d1b7…
10-03 12:13:05	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9e1f09…
10-03 01:25:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on October 3?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xed764b…
10-03 01:24:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 3?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x69474a…
10-02 03:22:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa643bf…
10-01 09:09:56	bitcoin above 78k on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x53bb35…
09-30 12:56:20	bitcoin above 80k on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6cf9a6…
09-24 18:38:05	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	104	96¢	$100	0x442dd0…
09-18 03:10:16	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd1afeb…
09-07 18:11:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	109	96¢	$104	0xcd8ca5…
09-07 18:11:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	158	96¢	$152	0x5e1f6e…
09-07 17:15:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa25ca0…
09-07 09:08:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcd50c8…
08-05 03:17:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1bf8e4…
08-05 03:16:15	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	SELL	258	99¢	$257	0x4087e6…
07-23 04:30:28	Exact Score: Los Angeles FC 2 - 3 Real Salt Lake?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xeef830…
07-03 02:52:01	Will Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x7d6a3a…
06-23 10:37:43	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	BUY	112	99¢	$110	0xc2253c…
06-23 10:01:26	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	BUY	147	99¢	$145	0x0f0f2e…
06-23 01:47:07	Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa9383f…
06-11 14:53:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	252	100¢	$252	0x24b035…
06-09 01:28:30	bitcoin above 56k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfeb5dc…
05-20 05:29:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x76ccd1…
05-05 12:54:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	252	100¢	$251	0x5be8cd…
05-05 02:45:04	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbc5923…
04-26 02:13:24	Will XRP reach $2.80 in April?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9676b7…
04-26 02:11:34	Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbe2fb5…
04-26 02:09:06	New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros	New York Yankees	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x612e37…
04-06 09:22:47	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 6	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xcb4450…
04-06 09:22:11	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6703bb…
04-06 09:21:23	will danielle martin win the by election for the seat of universityrosedale in the house of commons of canada	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x66a676…
04-06 09:21:05	will trumps remarks not air 888	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x525b0d…
04-06 09:20:13	highest temperature in seoul on april 7 2026 6c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x147c9a…
04-06 09:19:55	highest temperature in london on april 7 2026 25c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8e22af…
04-06 09:18:35	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd9d613…
04-06 09:18:19	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 115 139	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf102dc…
04-06 09:17:37	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xb2b418…
04-06 09:16:17	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xff3854…
04-06 09:15:37	dota2 l1ga pi 2026 04 06 game2 first blood	L1ga Team	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa6695d…
04-06 09:13:53	bkcba bei nan 2026 04 06	Beijing Ducks	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xbead00…
04-06 09:12:49	donald trump of truth social posts april 7 april 14 0 19	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdb6d1b…
04-06 09:12:25	cz binance of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 200plus	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x948e3f…
04-06 09:11:37	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 240plus	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xad126c…
04-06 09:10:15	will clavicular get frame mogged by gorlock the destroyer on stream during mog world order	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x17576c…
04-06 09:09:59	will iran take military action against a gulf state on march 29 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf8308d…
04-06 09:09:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbf5039…
04-06 09:08:51	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x9ade55…
03-30 03:15:42	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x341541…
03-30 03:08:16	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xc5e88c…
03-30 03:05:52	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	168	97¢	$162	0xab37d7…
03-30 03:03:32	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	22	97¢	$22	0xb17b98…
03-30 02:09:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1,003	99¢	$993	0xdc6034…
03-30 02:09:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xc7c26a…
03-30 02:09:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3,787	99¢	$3,749	0x9aab8b…
03-30 02:09:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x69e566…
03-30 02:03:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	155	30¢	$46	0x274c28…
03-30 01:54:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4,900	99¢	$4,851	0xc4d590…
03-30 01:29:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4,900	99¢	$4,851	0xdcc105…
03-30 01:19:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4,840	99¢	$4,792	0xb1b6cd…
03-30 01:14:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	405	100¢	$404	0xe119ea…
03-30 01:14:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x46561c…
03-30 01:14:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4,337	100¢	$4,333	0x03625c…
03-30 00:54:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4,800	99¢	$4,752	0xd1aa38…
03-30 00:34:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4,780	99¢	$4,732	0xe67271…
03-30 00:26:30	nba hou nop 2026 03 29	Rockets	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1a2908…
03-29 16:14:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf9e393…
03-29 16:12:04	dota2 tundra ty 2026 03 29 game1 first blood	Team Yandex	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x17cf88…
03-29 16:04:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe9c59a…
03-29 16:04:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb7ed5e…
03-29 15:58:52	ethereum above 2000 on march 29	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc49dd5…
03-29 15:58:30	ethereum above 2000 on march 29	No	BUY	4,730	100¢	$4,721	0x356bf3…
03-29 15:44:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x35ad29…
03-29 15:44:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3b1ae5…
03-29 15:09:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x39945a…
03-29 14:58:18	will xrp dip to 1 march 23 29	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x89e7fd…
03-29 14:58:08	will xrp dip to 1pt1 march 23 29	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcc9c48…
03-29 14:57:58	will xrp dip to 1pt2 march 23 29	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x00426d…
03-29 14:57:44	will xrp reach 1pt5 march 23 29	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6e8a6d…
03-29 14:57:24	will xrp dip to 1pt2 on march 29	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7f17b0…
03-29 14:57:14	will xrp dip to 1pt15 on march 29	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc4e3ca…
03-29 14:57:02	will xrp dip to 1pt1 on march 29	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd37bb0…
03-29 14:56:48	will xrp reach 1pt5 on march 29	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xccde88…
03-29 14:56:38	will xrp reach 1pt55 on march 29	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8f5f0b…
03-29 14:55:38	will solana dip to 70 on march 29	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8e8c65…
03-29 14:55:28	will solana dip to 65 on march 29	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9f548a…
03-29 14:55:18	will solana dip to 60 on march 29	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3d2da5…
03-29 14:55:04	will solana reach 95 on march 29	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x026da7…
03-29 14:54:50	will solana reach 100 on march 29	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbc61ca…
03-29 14:54:22	will solana dip to 60 march 23 29	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd43855…
03-29 14:54:12	will solana dip to 70 march 23 29	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x497a15…
03-29 14:53:12	will ethereum dip to 1750 on march 29	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x20a1d5…
03-29 14:53:00	will ethereum dip to 1700 on march 29	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8085dd…
03-29 14:52:48	will ethereum reach 2200 on march 29	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0feed2…
03-29 14:52:38	will ethereum reach 2250 on march 29	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb5364d…
03-29 14:52:24	will ethereum reach 2300 on march 29	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4d3a3b…
03-29 14:52:04	will ethereum dip to 1700 march 23 29	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd61338…
03-29 14:51:54	will ethereum dip to 1600 march 23 29	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6ff78e…
03-29 14:51:44	will ethereum reach 2200 march 23 29	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbddcbc…
03-29 14:51:14	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 29	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x14e19f…
03-29 14:49:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd63681…