Unruly-Dialogue — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26.8K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.03K

Hit rate

51.0%

Resolved

132

Trades

2,465

lifetime

Volume

$1.45M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$587

Open exposure

$4.60K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-24 06:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 85 days

Categories

Tech

39% 47% -$9,636

Sports

29% 38% +$6,726

Other

27% 57% -$25,049

Politics

3% 43% +$1,172

Crypto

2% 26% -$26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	+4,687	$2,942	90¢	$4.2K	+$1,262	10-24 06:43
Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+20,000	$250	1¢	$190	-$60	10-13 07:54
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+9,500	$228	1¢	$109	-$119	10-13 07:53
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+6,000	$150	2¢	$99	-$51	10-13 07:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	169	$126.7K	85,322	53,482	+31,841	Yes	-$6,201	05-30 08:29
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	143	$104.4K	67,620	38,900	+28,720	Yes	+$1,865	04-28 17:34
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	650	$104.0K	107,146	903	+106,242	Yes	+$3,882	06-29 00:32
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	46	$78.3K	43,960	43,960	+0	No	-$5,735	07-06 06:52
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	38	$66.1K	37,000	37,000	+0	Argentina	-$589	07-03 23:53
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$62.8K	160,000	100,000	+60,000	No	+$1,220	07-07 12:23
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	100	$51.7K	49,002	3,706	+45,295	Yes	+$959	03-30 12:47
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	17	$46.9K	21,281	26,000	-4,719	Yes	+$333	02-28 13:20
Will FURIA Win the CS2 EWC 2026?	25	$42.3K	25,940	25,940	+0	No	-$1,478	08-22 06:00
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	38	$41.3K	23,584	23,584	+0	No	-$820	07-04 09:03
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	121	$40.4K	25,080	25,080	+0	Yes	-$6,814	04-21 04:56
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	18	$39.6K	21,647	21,647	+0	France	-$200	07-03 23:35
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	85	$38.2K	27,598	27,598	+0	Yes	-$5,974	07-31 09:17
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$37.4K	38,500	0	+38,500	No	+$1,084	07-06 04:19
Will France win on 2026-07-04?	65	$37.1K	22,335	22,335	+0	Yes	+$0	07-02 13:57
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	59	$36.0K	19,620	19,620	+0	No	-$93	07-06 04:23
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	49	$31.0K	20,000	20,000	+0	England	-$4,630	07-01 16:46
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$28.6K	95,000	95,000	+0	Yes	-$781	06-16 12:52
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	24	$28.3K	30,186	0	+30,186	No	+$1,929	07-03 23:39
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	35	$25.9K	27,785	0	+27,785	Yes	+$1,890	06-28 03:53
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$20.3K	10,800	10,800	+0	No	+$43	07-06 01:47
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	27	$19.0K	29,075	0	+29,075	No	+$10,086	09-09 06:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	22	$16.8K	10,500	10,500	+0	Yes	+$406	06-15 08:20
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	3	$16.7K	17,152	350	+16,802	No	+$741	03-13 18:54
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	23	$15.5K	10,000	10,000	+0	Yes	-$232	09-01 07:03
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?	11	$15.1K	14,693	14,693	+0	No	-$6,240	08-01 12:12
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz	40	$15.0K	19,883	1,500	+18,383	Ben Shelton	-$13,523	09-09 06:27
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?	101	$13.5K	14,109	14,109	+0	No	+$0	07-22 22:16
cs2 faze ts7 2026 08 01	2	$12.4K	8,500	8,500	+0	Spirit	-$1,530	08-01 13:20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	2	$12.3K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	-$4,900	07-03 23:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 06:43:39	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,141	57¢	$645	0xeaed26…
10-23 17:43:33	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xf9a72f…
10-23 17:43:33	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,601	69¢	$1,804	0xbd0f4f…
10-23 13:36:56	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xa0c9cf…
10-23 13:36:56	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	52¢	$15	0x867da6…
10-23 13:36:56	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x664025…
10-23 13:36:54	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	52¢	$22	0xfc9ba3…
10-23 13:36:54	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xe55dae…
10-23 13:36:54	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	52¢	$22	0xc64780…
10-23 13:36:54	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x96a2bf…
10-23 13:36:54	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	52¢	$22	0x5665dc…
10-23 13:36:54	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	52¢	$22	0x0d8a86…
10-23 13:36:53	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	315	52¢	$164	0x46d073…
10-23 13:36:53	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x3d129c…
10-23 13:36:51	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	52¢	$65	0xfd9a7e…
10-23 13:36:51	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0xf8b9a2…
10-23 13:36:51	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0xd42686…
10-23 13:36:51	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x5099dc…
10-23 13:30:29	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xb58d19…
10-23 13:30:29	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0x284e26…
10-23 13:30:27	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xbe1eca…
10-23 13:30:27	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	52¢	$22	0x29ba03…
10-22 19:01:20	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,600	35¢	$1,960	0x50f611…
10-22 18:59:18	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	35¢	$35	0x27b208…
10-22 03:56:29	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,700	9¢	$495	0xd27f69…
10-22 03:55:17	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	91¢	$56	0xbefce6…
10-21 06:36:20	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	90¢	$37	0x9ce179…
10-21 05:52:29	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	89¢	$17	0xb981dc…
10-21 05:36:05	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x26982d…
10-16 05:07:12	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,203	12¢	$374	0x94d669…
10-16 05:05:42	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	38	14¢	$5	0x7c5c71…
10-13 08:07:37	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,094	9¢	$94	0xf4e5df…
10-13 08:06:13	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	86	9¢	$7	0xf03d11…
10-13 07:54:10	Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	10,000	1¢	$130	0x4f5919…
10-13 07:53:28	Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	5,000	2¢	$120	0x5ce6c0…
10-13 07:52:59	Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	6,000	2¢	$150	0x5fee0d…
10-13 04:56:56	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	125	9¢	$11	0x66c53d…
10-13 04:50:32	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x1be624…
10-13 04:31:23	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x3ee1d2…
10-13 04:15:24	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,851	8¢	$150	0x44832d…
10-13 04:10:57	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xd0968c…
10-13 03:20:11	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x5db4f2…
10-13 02:46:57	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x75c4bc…
10-13 02:25:50	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x7c78d3…
10-13 00:44:17	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xef0ed7…
10-12 17:56:47	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0xf861b1…
10-10 16:54:43	dota2 ts8 pari 2026 10 11	PARIVISION	BUY	3,300	69¢	$2,276	0x0311a6…
10-10 16:53:34	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xea6723…
10-10 16:50:27	Will PARIVISION win BLAST Slam VIII?	No	BUY	2,072	66¢	$1,368	0xb26617…
10-10 16:50:22	Will PARIVISION win BLAST Slam VIII?	No	BUY	1,100	65¢	$715	0x97653b…
10-10 13:49:04	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	PARIVISION	SELL	347	85¢	$297	0x5c4e54…
10-10 13:48:24	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	PARIVISION	SELL	110	86¢	$95	0x22e6cb…
10-10 13:47:39	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	PARIVISION	SELL	503	86¢	$432	0x595a3b…
10-10 13:42:55	Will PARIVISION win BLAST Slam VIII?	No	BUY	348	74¢	$258	0x1cd547…
10-10 13:09:18	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	1,030	76¢	$783	0x93a666…
10-10 13:06:49	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	1,030	76¢	$783	0xae1417…
10-10 12:58:10	Will PARIVISION win BLAST Slam VIII?	No	BUY	2,908	74¢	$2,152	0x9b99d1…
10-10 12:56:28	Will PARIVISION win BLAST Slam VIII?	No	BUY	92	74¢	$68	0x1342a3…
10-10 05:29:09	Will PARIVISION win BLAST Slam VIII?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xa99d4b…
10-09 13:18:55	Will PARIVISION win BLAST Slam VIII?	No	SELL	125	65¢	$81	0xfe57b7…
10-09 13:16:01	Will PARIVISION win BLAST Slam VIII?	No	BUY	125	66¢	$82	0xeffebc…
10-09 04:48:22	Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?	No	SELL	4,550	55¢	$2,503	0x61a98a…
10-09 04:48:03	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	SELL	2,400	84¢	$2,016	0xa71711…
10-08 12:23:30	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	652	83¢	$541	0xeb1fcb…
10-08 11:40:21	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	176	83¢	$146	0x1133e3…
10-08 11:35:41	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	88	83¢	$73	0x5f261a…
10-08 11:30:06	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	147	83¢	$122	0xf5c85f…
10-08 11:29:48	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	147	83¢	$122	0x8e21a6…
10-08 11:28:57	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	294	83¢	$244	0xa16ec4…
10-08 11:17:36	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	13	83¢	$11	0x87cf81…
10-08 11:01:08	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	588	83¢	$488	0xa763de…
10-08 11:00:59	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x6b6d74…
10-08 09:35:36	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x198cb0…
10-08 08:40:05	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	13	83¢	$10	0x744b5b…
10-08 07:58:57	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xd29916…
10-08 07:44:40	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	255	83¢	$211	0x8cda90…
10-08 07:38:33	Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?	No	BUY	4,300	58¢	$2,494	0xf19128…
10-08 07:37:40	Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?	No	BUY	29	57¢	$16	0x0398ca…
10-08 07:04:58	Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?	No	BUY	221	53¢	$117	0xbcc1db…
10-02 11:36:18	Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	10,000	1¢	$120	0x20e4cd…
10-02 11:35:54	Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	4,500	2¢	$108	0xf66fa6…
09-18 10:43:51	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	350	44¢	$154	0x2796e4…
09-16 17:55:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0x4784de…
09-16 17:54:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	13¢	$26	0x2b1ab4…
09-16 17:49:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	13¢	$26	0x40deac…
09-16 07:24:46	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	4,012	9¢	$349	0x6be1b6…
09-16 06:04:16	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	200	11¢	$23	0x2df647…
09-16 02:06:36	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x42c94a…
09-15 23:51:09	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x9504c6…
09-15 23:13:58	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	275	13¢	$36	0x5beda6…
09-15 15:38:40	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	192	15¢	$29	0x4a04c6…
09-15 15:17:21	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	2,283	14¢	$313	0x127733…
09-15 12:21:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	500	11¢	$55	0xc19360…
09-15 12:01:33	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	1,697	16¢	$268	0x05a3c0…
09-15 09:54:19	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	447	16¢	$70	0xd85f51…
09-15 09:52:21	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	448	16¢	$70	0xd04360…
09-15 09:51:21	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	769	16¢	$121	0xe667e5…
09-15 09:51:19	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	47	16¢	$7	0xa35415…
09-15 09:45:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	10¢	$200	0xb3241e…
09-15 08:04:42	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	107	16¢	$17	0x8bbaea…