Muted-Thumb — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$87

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.1%

Resolved

Trades

143

lifetime

Volume

$461

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 05-25 03:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

96% 26% -$67

Politics

2% 0% -$10

Crypto

2% 0% -$10

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in shanghai on march 21 2026 14c	2	$55	50	50	+0	Yes	+$45	03-21 10:18
will powell say war during march press conference	2	$28	19	19	+0	Yes	+$8	03-18 20:34
will powell say balance sheet during march press conference	2	$27	21	21	+0	No	+$9	03-18 20:34
highest temperature in london on april 13 2026 13c	2	$25	44	42	+2	Yes	+$22	04-13 10:59
will powell say inflation 60 times during march press conference	2	$24	14	14	+0	No	+$4	03-18 20:34
will powell say gold or oil during march press conference 257 974	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	03-18 20:34
will powell say simulation during march press conference	2	$20	11	11	+0	No	+$0	03-18 20:34
will powell say refund during march press conference	2	$19	11	11	+0	No	-$1	03-18 20:34
highest temperature in ankara on march 22 2026 12c	2	$19	11	11	+0	No	+$3	03-22 15:21
highest temperature in seoul on march 23 2026 15c	1	$13	769	0	+769	Yes	-$13	03-23 06:39
highest temperature in seoul on march 23 2026 16corhigher	1	$13	909	0	+909	No	-$13	03-23 06:39
highest temperature in tokyo on march 22 2026 15c	5	$10	527	0	+527	Yes	-$10	03-22 11:19
highest temperature in singapore on march 22 2026 32c	1	$10	15	0	+15	Yes	-$10	03-21 12:48
will powell say iran during march press conference	2	$10	16	16	+0	No	-$10	03-18 20:34
will powell say dollar 2 times during march press conference	1	$10	14	0	+14	Yes	-$10	03-18 18:01
will powell say crypto or bitcoin during march press conference 431 787	1	$10	83	0	+83	No	-$10	03-18 18:01
highest temperature in shanghai on march 24 2026 11c	1	$8	369	0	+369	No	-$8	03-23 08:31
highest temperature in tokyo on march 23 2026 11c	13	$7	335	0	+335	No	-$7	03-21 14:09
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?	2	$6	33	33	+0	No	+$2	05-06 15:02
highest temperature in atlanta on march 20 2026 70 71f	1	$5	215	0	+215	No	-$5	03-19 19:51
highest temperature in atlanta on march 20 2026 72 73f	1	$5	33	0	+33	No	-$5	03-19 19:51
highest temperature in paris on march 21 2026 15c	1	$5	28	0	+28	No	-$5	03-20 08:48
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 9?	2	$5	5	5	+0	Yes	-$1	05-09 10:58
highest temperature in tokyo on march 23 2026 10corbelow	1	$4	247	0	+247	No	-$4	03-22 00:12
highest temperature in shanghai on march 22 2026 20c	1	$3	369	0	+369	No	-$3	03-22 05:23
highest temperature in dallas on march 24 2026 77forbelow	1	$3	156	0	+156	No	-$3	03-22 23:49
Will a hurricane form by May 31?	1	$3	41	0	+41	No	-$3	03-21 18:53
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?	2	$3	11	0	+11	Yes	-$3	04-25 03:49
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	2	$3	6	0	+6	No	-$3	04-25 04:04
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 26?	1	$3	4	0	+4	Yes	-$3	04-24 20:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 03:37:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x57eae1…
05-24 15:28:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xf4cbbe…
05-24 06:52:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x898f93…
05-24 01:52:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf1393e…
05-23 14:19:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x8ecd30…
05-23 00:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x2c0c38…
05-23 00:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x1c7c74…
05-22 09:17:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x39778f…
05-22 09:09:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x549769…
05-22 09:08:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x250422…
05-22 08:57:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x88158d…
05-10 08:57:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x8b638d…
05-10 04:43:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	27	3¢	$1	0xe1946d…
05-10 04:11:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x7ddcf1…
05-09 10:58:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xd09d6d…
05-09 10:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 10?	Yes	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0x739c49…
05-09 10:58:38	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 72°F or higher on May 10?	Yes	SELL	27	1¢	$0	0x0ae001…
05-09 10:58:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x53e3a3…
05-09 10:58:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 10?	Yes	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0xac40ed…
05-09 10:58:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 9?	No	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x156e21…
05-09 00:22:11	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 72°F or higher on May 10?	Yes	BUY	27	3¢	$1	0x6f2f51…
05-08 15:35:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x2484a0…
05-08 14:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0x6fb7f8…
05-08 13:37:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xa80d02…
05-08 12:15:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 9?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x5962b5…
05-08 10:45:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xf177ce…
05-07 22:01:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	34	5¢	$2	0x36e93c…
05-07 16:41:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xa3423d…
05-07 16:39:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x45b276…
05-07 05:29:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x59f12f…
05-07 04:26:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	17	10¢	$2	0xcd36ac…
05-06 18:59:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xbb0a6e…
05-06 15:02:38	Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?	Yes	SELL	33	11¢	$4	0xea38ef…
05-06 09:42:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x505a8e…
05-06 09:42:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0x4bfa19…
05-06 08:25:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xf99763…
05-06 01:52:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x01e4d2…
05-05 16:52:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x4ac52b…
05-05 16:29:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x7d9f78…
04-26 18:42:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 26?	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xb0ede4…
04-26 18:42:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 26?	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x97a4c3…
04-25 10:28:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 26?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xcfca55…
04-25 07:39:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 26?	Yes	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x69d238…
04-25 06:49:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 26?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xd61461…
04-25 04:53:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?	No	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x990cbb…
04-25 04:20:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 26?	No	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x823fdc…
04-25 04:04:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xea0c4d…
04-25 04:04:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	Yes	BUY	1	46¢	$1	0x09c928…
04-25 04:03:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 26?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x4592d0…
04-25 03:49:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?	No	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xb7918e…
04-25 03:47:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?	No	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x079b19…
04-25 02:09:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 26?	No	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x4cf878…
04-25 00:16:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xdc6025…
04-24 23:12:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 26?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x6c173b…
04-24 20:18:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 26?	No	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x6563ba…
04-24 16:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 26?	No	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x23488a…
04-24 14:08:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 26?	No	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0x09b9d9…
04-24 11:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 25?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4ac0c9…
04-15 17:45:14	highest temperature in shanghai on april 16 2026 19c	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x052aef…
04-15 10:46:12	highest temperature in hong kong on april 16 2026 28c	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x43ad8e…
04-15 10:30:14	highest temperature in seoul on april 16 2026 24corhigher	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3544e1…
04-15 09:58:28	highest temperature in paris on april 16 2026 19c	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2b4552…
04-15 09:58:26	highest temperature in singapore on april 16 2026 32c	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x8de95d…
04-15 09:58:26	highest temperature in london on april 16 2026 17c	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x598bdd…
04-14 19:11:02	highest temperature in shanghai on april 15 2026 19c	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2f1669…
04-14 16:54:08	highest temperature in seoul on april 15 2026 19c	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x76d7f4…
04-14 09:48:21	highest temperature in seoul on april 15 2026 20c	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x2a722d…
04-13 11:44:21	highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x8ba3c2…
04-13 11:43:39	highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x083fcd…
04-13 10:59:07	highest temperature in london on april 13 2026 13c	Yes	SELL	42	53¢	$22	0x19fe7a…
04-13 09:40:43	highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 23c	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb37315…
04-12 10:12:31	highest temperature in london on april 13 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	44	5¢	$2	0x5377c8…
04-11 07:56:19	highest temperature in hong kong on april 11 2026 27c	No	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0x4a06b8…
04-11 07:51:19	highest temperature in hong kong on april 11 2026 27c	No	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xa42672…
04-11 07:49:37	highest temperature in hong kong on april 11 2026 27c	No	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x370b75…
04-10 19:12:33	highest temperature in seoul on april 12 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	34	7¢	$2	0xc24e10…
04-10 17:18:49	highest temperature in shanghai on april 11 2026 18c	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x57f5c4…
04-10 13:49:19	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 12 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x91c603…
04-10 13:48:57	highest temperature in london on april 12 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	16	14¢	$2	0x48b086…
04-10 13:46:29	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 12 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x738fc6…
04-10 13:40:53	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 12 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x06d93f…
04-10 13:15:31	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 12 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xe10b43…
04-10 13:00:49	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 12 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xede4f8…
04-10 12:33:09	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 12 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x440f58…
04-10 12:21:29	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 12 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xc2e24c…
04-10 12:16:45	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 12 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x5d1b72…
04-10 12:15:25	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 12 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x565e67…
04-09 08:09:21	highest temperature in london on april 9 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x6f0d62…
04-09 00:24:01	highest temperature in toronto on april 10 2026 12c	Yes	BUY	66	4¢	$2	0x1dd54b…
04-07 18:57:09	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 8 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	117	1¢	$1	0xefdb75…
04-07 18:57:01	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 8 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x41b257…
03-23 08:31:19	highest temperature in shanghai on march 24 2026 11c	Yes	BUY	369	2¢	$8	0x720ebc…
03-23 06:39:25	highest temperature in seoul on march 23 2026 16corhigher	Yes	BUY	909	1¢	$13	0x2864c1…
03-23 06:39:25	highest temperature in seoul on march 23 2026 15c	No	BUY	769	2¢	$13	0x030f60…
03-22 23:49:53	highest temperature in dallas on march 24 2026 77forbelow	Yes	BUY	156	2¢	$3	0xdda929…
03-22 15:21:47	highest temperature in ankara on march 22 2026 12c	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xebad39…
03-22 11:19:43	highest temperature in tokyo on march 22 2026 15c	No	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x1e08cf…
03-22 11:19:19	highest temperature in tokyo on march 22 2026 15c	No	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x310fe0…
03-22 11:16:09	highest temperature in tokyo on march 22 2026 15c	No	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x8d3ded…
03-22 11:12:09	highest temperature in tokyo on march 22 2026 15c	No	BUY	142	2¢	$3	0x34ea37…