Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 8?
open
Total volume
$207
$1,969 in 24h
Trades
26
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$3,460
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-07 13:46
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $41 | $41 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | $22 | $142 | $120 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $52 | $52 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $2 | $33 | $31 |
| Median | 8 | $3 | $71 | $68 |
| Below median | 7 | $10 | $5 | +$6 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $22 | $22 |
| unranked | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Few-Bankruptcy 0x8cd6…092a | Yes | +100 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-07 08:53 |
| Lumbering-Something 0xb1f5…2260 | Yes | +83 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 11:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x6e61…931b | No | +60 | $57 | $57 | 1 | 05-07 06:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x3302…489d | Yes | +36 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 10:00 |
| Edible-Frosting 0xa98f…d282 | No | +35 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 05-07 10:04 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-07 07:39 |
| Defensive-Academics 0xfd8d…038b | No | +19 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-06 15:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xe705…8f6f | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 08:53 |
| Snappy-Quart 0x63bd…3480 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 08:53 |
| Profuse-Premier 0x688c…e05f | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 08:53 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +13 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-07 07:39 |
| Unfinished-Correspondent 0xf038…e718 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 04:03 |
| Noxious-Trinket 0xf137…a1c1 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 15:35 |
| Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 01:28 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 07:39 |
| Wiggly-Strawman 0x15cb…515f | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 06:55 |
| Definitive-Randomisation-Eavesdropper 0x5558…3613 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-06 21:12 |
| Bouncy-Return 0xfe57…4406 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-07 13:46 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 12:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 20:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x66c6…ffa9 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 20:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xd060…b566 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 20:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 20:31 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 13:46:33 | Bouncy-Return 0xfe57…4406 | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x431568… |
| 05-07 12:50:46 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xde359e… |
| 05-07 11:39:25 | Lumbering-Something 0xb1f5…2260 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x1d6c24… |
| 05-07 10:04:48 | Edible-Frosting 0xa98f…d282 | No | BUY | 35 | 95¢ | $33 | 0xedb919… |
| 05-07 10:00:31 | (anonymous) 0x3302…489d | Yes | BUY | 36 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x0afe09… |
| 05-07 08:53:17 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xe6af57… |
| 05-07 08:53:17 | (anonymous) 0xe705…8f6f | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x6e5f86… |
| 05-07 08:53:15 | Profuse-Premier 0x688c…e05f | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xc6e47d… |
| 05-07 08:53:15 | Snappy-Quart 0x63bd…3480 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xc793e8… |
| 05-07 08:53:10 | Few-Bankruptcy 0x8cd6…092a | Yes | BUY | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0xd109d6… |
| 05-07 07:39:49 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x87b6b4… |
| 05-07 07:39:49 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0xf54ed0… |
| 05-07 07:39:47 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 13 | 96¢ | $12 | 0x6b4ccb… |
| 05-07 06:43:51 | Essential-Disk 0xb2b8…3a96 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x14700c… |
| 05-07 06:18:05 | (anonymous) 0x6e61…931b | No | BUY | 60 | 96¢ | $57 | 0xaab74f… |
| 05-07 04:03:06 | Unfinished-Correspondent 0xf038…e718 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x00f9ce… |
| 05-07 01:28:37 | Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $10 | 0x7af7de… |
| 05-07 00:08:45 | Essential-Disk 0xb2b8…3a96 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xd30c9f… |
| 05-06 21:12:14 | Definitive-Randomisation-Eavesdropper 0x5558…3613 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xc83345… |
| 05-06 20:31:26 | (anonymous) 0x66c6…ffa9 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xfc5655… |
| 05-06 20:31:26 | (anonymous) 0xd060…b566 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xd30478… |
| 05-06 20:31:24 | (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xc37441… |
| 05-06 20:31:24 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xf0eb77… |
| 05-06 15:58:42 | Defensive-Academics 0xfd8d…038b | No | BUY | 19 | 93¢ | $18 | 0x1f6f04… |
| 05-06 15:35:37 | Noxious-Trinket 0xf137…a1c1 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x87a36b… |
| 05-06 06:55:38 | Wiggly-Strawman 0x15cb…515f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x6f158e… |