Outrageous-Samovar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

129

lifetime

Volume

$26.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$205

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 06-28 16:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 100% +$7

Other

4% — —

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$916	463	463	+0	open	—	06-18 14:33
bitcoin above 66k on june 19 2026	1	$549	550	0	+550	open	—	06-19 05:31
bitcoin above 66k on june 20 2026	1	$549	550	0	+550	open	—	06-20 12:03
bitcoin above 66k on june 18 2026	1	$548	549	0	+549	open	—	06-18 14:34
bitcoin above 64k on june 16 2026	1	$541	542	0	+542	open	—	06-16 15:14
bitcoin above 64k on june 17 2026	1	$540	542	0	+542	open	—	06-17 15:30
bitcoin above 68k on june 12 2026	1	$539	540	0	+540	open	—	06-11 14:59
bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	1	$538	539	0	+539	open	—	06-09 10:56
bitcoin above 68k on june 8 2026	2	$537	538	0	+538	open	—	06-08 06:14
bitcoin above 66k on june 6 2026	1	$536	537	0	+537	open	—	06-06 04:52
bitcoin above 66k on june 27 2026	1	$534	535	0	+535	open	—	06-27 05:43
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 3?	1	$534	535	0	+535	open	—	06-03 02:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	1	$532	533	0	+533	open	—	05-29 14:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?	1	$531	533	0	+533	open	—	06-01 03:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	2	$531	532	0	+532	open	—	05-28 05:07
bitcoin above 66k on june 25 2026	1	$529	530	0	+530	open	—	06-25 05:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	2	$528	531	0	+531	open	—	05-26 06:45
bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	2	$528	530	0	+530	open	—	06-23 05:43
bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	2	$526	528	0	+528	open	—	06-05 08:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	1	$522	524	0	+524	open	—	05-19 03:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	1	$516	517	0	+517	open	—	05-14 02:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	1	$515	516	0	+516	No	+$1	05-11 23:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	1	$514	515	0	+515	No	+$1	05-11 02:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	1	$514	519	0	+519	open	—	05-17 17:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	1	$513	514	0	+514	Yes	+$1	05-10 06:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	1	$511	512	0	+512	No	+$1	05-09 14:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	3	$509	510	0	+510	Yes	+$1	05-13 07:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	1	$509	511	0	+511	Yes	+$2	05-06 09:19
bitcoin above 58k on june 24 2026	1	$500	500	0	+500	open	—	06-24 13:08
bitcoin above 68k on june 7 2026	1	$500	500	0	+500	open	—	06-07 08:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 13:31:46	bitcoin above 62k on june 30 2026	No	BUY	278	100¢	$277	0x3b10ca…
06-30 13:26:56	bitcoin above 62k on june 30 2026	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xc78159…
06-30 13:25:08	bitcoin above 62k on june 30 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x898648…
06-30 13:21:35	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x5f16c4…
06-30 13:01:58	bitcoin above 66k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0x445ad7…
06-28 16:20:32	bitcoin above 66k on june 29 2026	No	BUY	260	100¢	$259	0xa63467…
06-28 14:48:10	bitcoin above 62k on june 28 2026	No	BUY	292	100¢	$292	0xe27516…
06-28 11:16:02	bitcoin above 64k on june 28 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x315a3e…
06-27 05:43:43	bitcoin above 66k on june 27 2026	No	BUY	535	100¢	$534	0xfa11e8…
06-26 05:51:29	bitcoin above 66k on june 26 2026	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x5713c7…
06-25 05:09:35	bitcoin above 66k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	530	100¢	$529	0x30819c…
06-24 13:08:28	bitcoin above 58k on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x49c42c…
06-23 18:03:14	bitcoin above 56k on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x08a25e…
06-23 09:23:16	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	25	84¢	$21	0xb353d2…
06-23 05:43:49	bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	330	100¢	$329	0x34aee1…
06-23 03:52:40	bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x8e8e94…
06-21 21:17:29	bitcoin above 70k on june 22 2026	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x78a831…
06-21 13:12:11	will arcium launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xf133e3…
06-21 07:17:49	bitcoin above 68k on june 21 2026	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x80c865…
06-20 12:03:59	bitcoin above 66k on june 20 2026	No	BUY	550	100¢	$549	0x157c79…
06-19 05:31:37	bitcoin above 66k on june 19 2026	No	BUY	550	100¢	$549	0x541b8a…
06-18 14:34:31	bitcoin above 66k on june 18 2026	No	BUY	549	100¢	$548	0x3bc79b…
06-18 14:33:58	o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	463	100¢	$461	0x87132a…
06-18 02:14:44	o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	463	98¢	$455	0x66fbc6…
06-17 15:30:11	bitcoin above 64k on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	542	100¢	$540	0x8e5dc7…
06-16 15:14:22	bitcoin above 64k on june 16 2026	Yes	BUY	542	100¢	$541	0xa0f16f…
06-11 14:59:07	bitcoin above 68k on june 12 2026	No	BUY	540	100¢	$539	0x94b51b…
06-09 10:56:03	bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	539	100¢	$538	0x85fc78…
06-08 06:14:37	bitcoin above 68k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	238	100¢	$238	0x003979…
06-08 05:31:46	bitcoin above 68k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x59fcbc…
06-07 08:24:36	bitcoin above 68k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xaddf1f…
06-07 07:39:22	bitcoin above 56k on june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x401922…
06-06 04:52:19	bitcoin above 66k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	537	100¢	$536	0x271ee2…
06-05 08:56:24	bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x2819cd…
06-05 04:10:42	bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x35b6de…
06-05 02:32:40	ethereum above 1900 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$7	0x1a5d66…
06-04 14:52:40	bitcoin above 60k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x2131e8…
06-04 07:15:43	ethereum above 2000 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x84be8f…
06-03 02:43:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 3?	No	BUY	535	100¢	$534	0x38ebc6…
06-01 03:17:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	533	100¢	$531	0x9876a7…
05-30 15:54:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5da483…
05-29 14:40:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	533	100¢	$532	0x8dd4d0…
05-28 05:07:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	171	100¢	$171	0xb2696b…
05-28 04:07:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	361	100¢	$360	0x5f4b88…
05-26 06:45:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	230	100¢	$229	0xbc9f34…
05-26 06:44:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	301	100¢	$299	0xe1af08…
05-25 09:18:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xefd981…
05-24 14:43:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0xada0ad…
05-24 14:43:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$48	0x6323f9…
05-24 14:42:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4a0465…
05-24 14:42:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x47ddfd…
05-23 15:07:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x1aadd9…
05-23 07:15:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xde37af…
05-23 07:14:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x12aa46…
05-22 19:55:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xb9a730…
05-22 02:31:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	398	100¢	$398	0xa697d2…
05-22 02:30:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x8e331c…
05-21 04:16:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x36aa58…
05-21 03:36:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x22b64d…
05-19 03:04:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	524	100¢	$522	0x61ba6a…
05-17 17:34:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	519	99¢	$514	0x66daae…
05-15 10:00:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xff7c99…
05-15 10:00:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	480	100¢	$479	0xc38d52…
05-14 02:43:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	517	100¢	$516	0x5a51f5…
05-13 07:32:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xf4f99a…
05-13 07:17:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$107	0x94a312…
05-13 07:16:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	336	100¢	$336	0xe1b0a4…
05-11 23:59:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	516	100¢	$515	0x68a589…
05-11 02:39:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	515	100¢	$514	0x891c19…
05-10 06:31:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	514	100¢	$513	0xee0420…
05-09 14:11:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	512	100¢	$511	0x78440b…
05-06 09:19:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	511	100¢	$509	0x70964c…
05-04 03:56:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	222	100¢	$222	0xd48ef7…
05-01 03:15:38	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x82795e…
05-01 03:15:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x68217d…
04-30 13:49:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x4030b5…
04-30 02:18:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xf76dc4…
04-30 02:18:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x540043…
04-30 02:17:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x421401…
04-29 12:46:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0xd0646c…
04-28 15:15:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0xf0bade…
04-27 11:23:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0x9b4790…
04-26 15:05:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0xa449f7…
04-25 16:10:08	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xb8e3b7…
04-25 15:46:26	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	92¢	$15	0xeb925b…
04-24 02:22:10	bitcoin above 72k on april 24	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x73a8d3…
04-23 13:37:00	bitcoin above 74k on april 23	Yes	BUY	217	100¢	$217	0x925352…
04-22 14:09:10	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	188	100¢	$188	0x6b2df5…
04-22 14:07:44	bitcoin above 76k on april 22	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x94816c…
04-21 14:53:14	bitcoin above 74k on april 21	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xecc4f3…
04-19 15:20:12	bitcoin above 74k on april 19	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x21f767…
04-19 13:55:24	bitcoin above 74k on april 19	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xec577f…
04-18 15:59:10	bitcoin above 74k on april 18	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xa1ce38…
04-17 15:08:46	bitcoin above 76k on april 17	Yes	SELL	218	99¢	$216	0x553908…
04-17 14:51:24	bitcoin above 76k on april 17	Yes	BUY	218	99¢	$216	0x3b7f4a…
04-16 13:58:54	bitcoin above 78k on april 16	No	BUY	216	100¢	$216	0x8eb801…
04-15 14:53:58	bitcoin above 76k on april 15	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xf56245…
04-14 13:28:17	bitcoin above 72k on april 14	Yes	BUY	216	99¢	$215	0x3a8fdf…
03-31 13:27:31	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	69	98¢	$67	0x933018…
03-27 14:11:07	will bitcoin reach 75k on march 27	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc14d0e…