Warlike-Flight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$113

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

22.6%

Resolved

Trades

378

lifetime

Volume

$4.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-21 20:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

56% 42% +$0

Sports

37% 42% $-114

Politics

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	11	$122	960	603	+357	open	—	05-25 05:09
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	1	$100	128	0	+128	Timberwolves	$-100	05-05 01:10
OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 0.5	2	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-10 23:52
Total Kills Over/Under 38.5 in Game 1?	2	$97	49	49	+0	Under	+$0	05-10 19:33
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?	2	$97	49	49	+0	Under	+$0	05-10 19:31
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?	3	$97	49	49	+0	Under	$-0	05-10 18:47
Total Kills Over/Under 63.5 in Game 2?	2	$97	49	49	+0	open	—	05-10 20:03
Total Kills Over/Under 61.5 in Game 2?	2	$97	49	49	+0	open	—	05-10 20:03
First Blood in Game 2?	6	$97	49	49	+0	open	—	05-10 18:41
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 3.5	2	$97	49	49	+0	No	$-0	05-10 18:28
Total Kills Over/Under 34.5 in Game 1?	2	$93	47	47	+0	Under	+$0	05-10 17:41
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?	2	$92	46	46	+0	open	—	05-10 20:03
Total Kills Over/Under 76.5 in Game 1?	3	$92	46	46	-0	Under	$-0	05-10 20:06
First Blood in Game 2?	6	$89	45	45	+0	Nigma Galaxy	$-0	05-11 05:33
First Blood in Game 2?	6	$89	44	44	+0	Yellow Submarine	$-0	05-11 06:23
Total Kills Over/Under 32.5 in Game 1?	2	$84	42	42	+0	open	—	05-10 17:41
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?	2	$84	42	42	+0	Under	+$0	05-10 17:41
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2?	2	$82	41	41	+0	open	—	05-10 17:56
First Blood in Game 2?	4	$80	40	40	+0	PARIVISION	$-0	05-10 22:02
Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 1?	2	$79	40	40	+0	Under	+$0	05-10 17:41
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	22	$71	1,377	919	+458	open	—	06-05 19:28
Total Kills Over/Under 38.5 in Game 2?	2	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	05-10 17:56
Sabres vs. Canadiens	3	$56	56	55	+1	Sabres	+$7	05-12 23:30
nba hou lal 2026 04 18 total 208pt5	1	$55	105	0	+105	open	—	04-18 19:05
Sabres vs. Canadiens	7	$54	54	52	+2	Canadiens	+$6	05-10 23:43
OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 1.5	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	05-10 18:28
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-10 17:41
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-10 17:41
Total Kills Over/Under 37.5 in Game 2?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-10 17:41
First Blood in Game 1?	1	$50	50	0	+50	Nigma Galaxy	+$0	05-10 18:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 20:28:01	mlb bos sea 2026 06 21 total 6pt5	Under	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0x386ee9…
06-21 20:28:01	mlb bos sea 2026 06 21 total 6pt5	Under	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0x2c9254…
06-21 20:17:19	mlb bos sea 2026 06 21 total 6pt5	Under	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xc8a13f…
06-21 20:14:59	mlb bos sea 2026 06 21 total 6pt5	Under	SELL	6	59¢	$4	0xb6eda3…
06-21 18:15:29	mlb stl kc 2026 06 21 total 8pt5	Under	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0x9d57f4…
06-21 18:14:40	mlb stl kc 2026 06 21 total 8pt5	Under	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0x5f66a2…
06-21 18:01:23	mlb bos sea 2026 06 21 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x70fba5…
06-21 17:44:16	mlb stl kc 2026 06 21 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xc78270…
06-18 00:09:05	mlb col chc 2026 06 17 total 10pt5	Over	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x5c37f9…
06-17 23:39:26	mlb col chc 2026 06 17 total 10pt5	Over	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0xfe3a97…
06-17 18:21:41	mlb sd stl 2026 06 17 total 10pt5	Under	SELL	19	43¢	$8	0x3b2294…
06-17 17:33:02	mlb sd stl 2026 06 17 total 10pt5	Under	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb1277f…
06-16 02:23:36	mlb tb lad 2026 06 15 total 9pt5	Over	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0xb841c8…
06-15 23:31:37	mlb tb lad 2026 06 15 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2fd655…
06-15 22:59:03	mlb kc wsh 2026 06 15 total 9pt5	Under	SELL	16	60¢	$10	0xc16c96…
06-15 20:07:51	mlb kc wsh 2026 06 15 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x25aecf…
06-11 00:05:18	mlb tex kc 2026 06 10 total 9pt5	Under	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0xa842bd…
06-10 23:52:25	mlb tex kc 2026 06 10 total 9pt5	Under	SELL	18	54¢	$10	0xd2c6e5…
06-10 23:30:13	mlb tex kc 2026 06 10 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xa9c1e3…
06-09 23:35:15	nhl car las 2026 06 09 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0xf977dd…
06-09 01:49:49	mlb hou laa 2026 06 08 total 9pt5	Over	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0xbc48c5…
06-09 01:15:43	mlb hou laa 2026 06 08 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xb37948…
06-05 19:28:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	Yes	SELL	476	2¢	$10	0xf0ef70…
06-05 18:26:57	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 total 215pt5	Under	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x1d6b21…
06-05 08:28:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	296	2¢	$6	0x6b1c1d…
06-05 08:27:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xc2768d…
06-05 08:26:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe439dd…
06-05 08:25:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0xb59a1e…
06-05 08:24:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	152	2¢	$3	0x126f7d…
06-05 08:05:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	245	2¢	$5	0xf6df2c…
06-05 08:02:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x05caed…
06-05 07:59:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xa190ef…
06-05 07:58:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0x82d5d6…
06-05 07:58:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x7aa52a…
06-05 07:58:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x5d42b3…
06-05 07:58:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x56cd3f…
06-05 07:57:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xa85d94…
06-05 07:57:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xb9fd35…
06-05 07:54:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xe5194e…
06-05 07:39:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	Yes	SELL	143	2¢	$3	0xca7600…
06-05 07:39:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0x6cc115…
06-04 00:44:54	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 total 216pt5	Under	SELL	39	43¢	$17	0xebf990…
06-03 21:54:07	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 total 216pt5	Under	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0xccb4a4…
06-02 00:11:03	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x28ed0f…
06-01 20:17:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x6a97ac…
06-01 18:09:56	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x4c67b2…
06-01 16:20:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x9524ba…
06-01 08:39:35	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	167	2¢	$3	0x53145c…
06-01 08:38:09	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	125	3¢	$4	0xb37069…
06-01 06:19:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0xbeff49…
06-01 00:18:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x943978…
05-30 17:20:19	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	89	4¢	$4	0x714dac…
05-30 17:19:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	23	4¢	$1	0x6381b7…
05-29 18:41:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	112	9¢	$10	0x6bb903…
05-29 00:47:34	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5	Over	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x1d54d0…
05-29 00:39:10	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5	Over	SELL	34	56¢	$19	0xb5bf56…
05-29 00:28:52	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5	Over	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x0105e2…
05-28 17:14:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	27	8¢	$2	0xd8b159…
05-28 17:14:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	57	8¢	$5	0xd1fe3a…
05-28 17:14:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x3e1053…
05-28 14:13:51	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	125	5¢	$7	0xffb354…
05-28 14:10:27	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0xe389d5…
05-28 03:13:49	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	7¢	$10	0x380386…
05-27 22:30:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0xd8d024…
05-27 22:30:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	105	14¢	$14	0x00c284…
05-27 08:19:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	88	9¢	$8	0x2a8e16…
05-27 08:18:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xeaa840…
05-25 05:09:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	357	3¢	$10	0xf152b2…
05-25 03:33:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	104	3¢	$3	0xf19e4e…
05-24 12:41:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	104	10¢	$10	0x0c56a6…
05-24 10:30:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	115	11¢	$13	0x203cc2…
05-24 04:18:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	115	9¢	$10	0x9d610f…
05-24 04:18:13	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	122	10¢	$12	0xb65be4…
05-24 00:59:18	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	109	11¢	$12	0x13ca0c…
05-23 22:15:16	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	122	8¢	$10	0xb0e8d4…
05-23 22:15:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	130	20¢	$26	0x98c4a7…
05-23 16:11:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	130	8¢	$10	0x616c10…
05-22 19:41:17	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	9¢	$10	0x2978f5…
05-21 17:37:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	143	9¢	$13	0x5d0c6a…
05-19 00:42:36	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5	Over	SELL	12	34¢	$4	0x4615a9…
05-19 00:41:45	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5	Over	SELL	16	38¢	$6	0x802330…
05-19 00:41:14	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5	Over	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x3d81b9…
05-19 00:40:53	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5	Over	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x0ef088…
05-18 23:48:47	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5	Over	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0xdb3f71…
05-18 00:29:22	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5	Over	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0x346832…
05-18 00:20:46	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5	Over	SELL	39	42¢	$16	0x675ff0…
05-17 23:48:13	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5	Over	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x8a3ab2…
05-15 11:19:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	370	2¢	$6	0x9a6dec…
05-15 11:19:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xf8370d…
05-14 23:03:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x8f4026…
05-13 22:49:16	Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5	Over	SELL	50	39¢	$20	0x42e1f7…
05-13 21:27:51	Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5	Over	BUY	51	48¢	$24	0xaaa540…
05-13 18:51:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	370	3¢	$10	0x2cc775…
05-13 18:48:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	111	6¢	$7	0x3eb200…
05-13 18:48:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x3c8c46…
05-13 18:06:12	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x302bfb…
05-13 17:05:34	New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5	Under	SELL	46	33¢	$15	0xd050d0…
05-13 17:05:34	New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5	Under	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0x2222d5…
05-13 15:45:58	First Blood in Game 1?	PlayTime	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x1793a5…
05-13 15:25:56	New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x51616f…