Forthright-Trouble — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$166

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 08-02 05:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 100% +$0

Other

39% 100% +$0

Sports

7% 0% -$11

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-02).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	1	$11	11	+11	No	+$0	06-09 02:24
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	1	$11	14	+14	Yes	-$11	07-07 04:01
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$11	11	+11	No	+$0	06-03 23:17
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$11	11	+11	No	+$0	05-25 05:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on May 21?	1	$11	11	+11	No	+$0	05-19 13:44
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	1	$11	11	+11	No	+$0	03-16 06:07
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 16?	1	$11	11	+11	Yes	+$0	05-14 09:51
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	08-02 05:47
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	07-08 14:24
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$6	6	+6	No	+$0	04-15 10:36
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	04-23 14:48
will xrp reach 3pt4 in february 2026	1	$4	4	+4	No	+$0	02-26 04:45
will solana reach 150 in february 2026	1	$4	4	+4	No	+$0	02-26 04:43
will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in february 2026	1	$3	3	+3	No	+$0	02-26 04:45
nflx above 70 on march 6 2026	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	03-06 00:33
nvda above 155 on march 6 2026	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	03-06 00:33
will bitcoin reach 78k march 2 8	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	03-07 12:08
will ethereum reach 2600 march 2 8	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	03-07 12:09
nvda above 160 on march 6 2026	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	03-06 00:34
googl above 285 on february 20 2026	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	02-20 12:18
msft above 340 on february 20 2026	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	02-20 12:18
will bitcoin reach 80k march 2 8	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	03-07 12:08
googl above 280 on february 20 2026	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	02-20 12:18
open above 3 on march 6 2026	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	03-06 00:34
googl above 335 on february 20 2026	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	02-20 12:19
will bitcoin dip to 54k march 2 8	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	03-07 12:09
will ethereum dip to 1300 march 2 8	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	03-07 12:09
will ethereum dip to 1200 in january 2026 477	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	01-25 00:54
will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	01-25 00:52
meta above 600 on march 6 2026	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	03-06 00:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 05:47:23	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7f316d…
07-08 14:24:31	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xff52e2…
07-07 04:01:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0x1daf84…
06-09 02:24:25	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa4d2ab…
06-03 23:17:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x13b0fe…
05-25 05:30:06	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x01ec5c…
05-19 13:44:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x56b4aa…
05-14 09:51:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd5f2c2…
04-23 14:48:02	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4125ef…
04-15 10:36:02	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x88dbd2…
03-16 06:07:35	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8d53cb…
03-07 12:09:33	will ethereum dip to 1300 march 2 8	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa865ed…
03-07 12:09:15	will ethereum reach 2600 march 2 8	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc9ab8d…
03-07 12:09:01	will bitcoin dip to 54k march 2 8	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x586c74…
03-07 12:08:53	will bitcoin dip to 52k march 2 8	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfab672…
03-07 12:08:45	will bitcoin reach 78k march 2 8	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xffd4d7…
03-07 12:08:37	will bitcoin reach 80k march 2 8	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2e6ca7…
03-06 00:34:31	meta above 600 on march 6 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf6c3a6…
03-06 00:34:23	open above 3pt5 on march 6 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x24da61…
03-06 00:34:15	open above 3 on march 6 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf108fd…
03-06 00:34:05	nvda above 160 on march 6 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x714349…
03-06 00:33:59	nvda above 155 on march 6 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x894dcd…
03-06 00:33:49	nflx above 70 on march 6 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x15e803…
02-26 04:45:50	will xrp reach 3pt4 in february 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb8ba0d…
02-26 04:45:40	will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in february 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x934213…
02-26 04:43:08	will solana reach 150 in february 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9fb4ec…
02-20 12:19:20	googl above 335 on february 20 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x82d017…
02-20 12:18:52	googl above 285 on february 20 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb471ce…
02-20 12:18:36	googl above 280 on february 20 2026	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb61843…
02-20 12:18:18	msft above 340 on february 20 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3462ba…
02-20 12:18:08	msft above 350 on february 20 2026	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa388ff…
02-20 12:17:58	nvda above 170 on february 20 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x610c1f…
01-25 00:54:18	will ethereum dip to 1200 in january 2026 477	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc720a7…
01-25 00:54:00	will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf07163…
01-25 00:53:48	will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x3e8c2f…
01-25 00:53:14	will bitcoin dip to 50k in january 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x2b925b…
01-25 00:53:06	will bitcoin dip to 45k in january 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xeb8801…
01-25 00:52:58	will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdd0fd1…
01-25 00:52:14	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8597ac…