Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

82.9%

Resolved

Trades

181

lifetime

Volume

$194

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$24

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 10-21 14:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

49% 90% +$4

Politics

35% 100% +$0

Crypto

16% 64% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	No		-15	-$13	95¢	$-14	-$1	10-18 19:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+10	$9	95¢	$10	+$1	10-21 14:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	15	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	09-17 18:21
Trump out as President before 2027?	13	$19	3	18	-15	open	—	10-18 19:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	18	$19	17	6	+10	open	—	10-21 14:56
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	37	$16	8	8	+1	Yes	+$0	03-16 11:19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	7	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	09-12 06:00
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	7	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-28 21:00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	6	$8	4	4	+0	No	+$0	06-23 13:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	5	$8	4	4	+0	No	+$0	06-11 13:18
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	5	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	10-09 08:19
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-12 16:00 UTC	8	$8	16	0	+16	Up	$0	04-12 18:42
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	7	$7	8	0	+8	Yes	+$1	09-20 02:03
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	5	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	09-12 07:55
will qatar strike iran by march 31	3	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$0	04-01 06:02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	5	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$1	09-16 19:00
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$4	3	3	+0	No	$0	03-15 10:23
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 14:45 UTC	3	$3	4	0	+4	Up	+$1	04-22 14:56
XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-12 16:00 UTC	3	$3	3	0	+3	Up	+$0	04-12 18:39
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	3	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	09-30 03:28
will jordan strike iran by march 31	3	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	04-01 06:02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-05 03:10
will uk strike iran by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-24 14:46
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	10-21 06:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 14:55 UTC	2	$2	3	0	+3	Up	$0	04-22 14:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 15:00 UTC	2	$2	5	0	+5	Down	-$2	04-22 15:01
xrp up or down april 22 2026 11am et	2	$2	4	0	+4	Down	+$2	04-22 15:01
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 14:55 UTC	2	$2	3	0	+3	Up	-$1	04-22 14:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 14:55 UTC	2	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	04-22 14:57
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	05-12 18:34
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-12 16:00 UTC	2	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	04-12 18:42
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-12 16:00 UTC	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	04-12 18:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 14:56:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x3b9920…
10-21 06:02:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x81708b…
10-18 22:06:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x1012f0…
10-18 22:06:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb1ead7…
10-18 22:05:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd0ae10…
10-18 22:04:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x71b6a8…
10-18 22:04:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x0bc4ee…
10-18 22:03:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x272f85…
10-18 22:03:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x7a6fd5…
10-18 22:03:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xdd8ef1…
10-18 19:12:56	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x27552d…
10-18 19:12:14	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1663e6…
10-16 06:02:37	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x3b93e2…
10-14 10:08:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x8a715f…
10-14 10:04:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xc7e5bc…
10-14 10:01:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$0	0x50cf75…
10-14 10:01:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x6551fe…
10-09 13:38:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xb54f61…
10-09 13:35:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x21d6bd…
10-09 08:19:16	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xf4f973…
10-02 18:08:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x7c568c…
10-02 18:07:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x0e7da7…
10-02 18:06:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x2cec3b…
10-02 18:05:21	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x712f36…
10-02 18:03:45	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc4e3e7…
10-02 07:06:54	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb5f2ec…
10-01 09:40:06	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xae95f1…
09-30 03:28:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb8cec0…
09-29 06:23:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8b8994…
09-28 16:35:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6e0268…
09-20 02:03:19	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa8297e…
09-19 10:33:49	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x380ecb…
09-19 10:32:29	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x3fcabf…
09-19 07:50:51	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xeb90eb…
09-19 07:46:39	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa5750d…
09-19 07:35:54	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5e572b…
09-19 07:34:22	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x977514…
09-17 18:21:49	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x480fc1…
09-17 15:08:04	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc5c49a…
09-17 15:08:03	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7dd260…
09-17 15:08:00	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd116dc…
09-17 15:07:55	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc9e1dc…
09-17 15:07:52	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0b45f7…
09-17 12:28:33	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x51b6fd…
09-17 10:58:30	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe1e936…
09-16 21:18:16	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xef8179…
09-16 19:00:43	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb3896b…
09-16 19:00:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb5318c…
09-12 07:55:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xcc8afc…
09-12 07:55:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xebf55f…
09-12 06:02:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xdc9dbb…
09-12 06:02:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x385912…
09-12 06:01:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xbc99d1…
09-12 06:01:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x801b2c…
09-12 06:00:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x30bee2…
09-11 18:02:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x156caf…
09-11 17:59:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x7b6206…
09-11 17:25:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x10626c…
09-11 17:25:25	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	92¢	$3	0xb8dafe…
07-09 10:37:14	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x4347dc…
07-08 14:13:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x66966c…
07-08 14:12:56	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x21b2a5…
07-03 14:43:44	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2817fe…
07-03 14:43:08	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa0b849…
07-03 14:41:55	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xe5f2a1…
07-01 03:13:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x88dad7…
07-01 03:12:37	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$1	0xd1053b…
06-30 18:25:43	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0xa74c22…
06-30 18:13:05	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x800189…
06-30 18:12:49	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x5c3cf1…
06-30 17:04:43	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x85b126…
06-30 17:04:22	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x5c8172…
06-23 14:05:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x468ec1…
06-23 14:04:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xf47e50…
06-23 13:26:43	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x4ed0fe…
06-22 18:55:55	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x80f27a…
06-22 18:53:07	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfcfdfc…
06-13 23:13:27	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8b6dcd…
06-11 13:20:40	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xefd208…
06-11 13:20:15	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xeb6614…
06-11 13:19:49	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5c7324…
06-11 13:18:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xf396ad…
06-01 10:41:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb8551d…
06-01 10:19:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x92cbb0…
06-01 10:04:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6986e0…
06-01 10:02:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9be092…
05-12 18:34:41	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xac1987…
05-12 18:34:11	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x530348…
05-12 18:33:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x6b28a3…
05-12 18:33:06	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	4	88¢	$4	0x0c6794…
05-12 15:14:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x600058…
05-12 15:12:58	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0x500192…
05-12 15:12:54	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0xc0b260…
04-22 15:01:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd09edd…
04-22 15:01:48	solana up or down april 22 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x682644…
04-22 15:01:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4e4d43…
04-22 15:01:12	xrp up or down april 22 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4b6de4…
04-22 15:01:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x80e340…
04-22 15:01:00	xrp up or down april 22 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x12aef2…
04-22 14:59:56	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf711cb…