Realized P&L
+$8
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
74.9%
Resolved
93
Trades
381
lifetime
Volume
$216
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$7
8 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 10-31 01:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 43 days
Categories
Politics
65% 66% +$12
Other
35% 66% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 78¢ $1 +$0 08-13 22:15
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 05-24 06:08
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -2 -$1 66¢ $-1 $0 10-31 00:58
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-18 18:34
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 07-17 10:22
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 Yes +4 $1 14¢ $1 -$1 08-09 04:31
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +2 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 06-26 04:26
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? Yes +7 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 09-22 12:51