Realized P&L (7d)
-$1
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (7d)
1
Trades (7d)
3
385 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$3
$221 lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$10
10 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 11-06 17:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 46 days
Categories
Politics
65% 65% +$12
Other
35% 64% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -2 -$1 84¢ $-2 $0 10-31 00:58
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? Yes +2 $1 74¢ $2 +$0 11-05 21:14
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 05-24 06:08
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 06-18 18:34
Tusk out by December 31? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 10-31 01:05
Will Trump insult Hegseth by December 31? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 11-06 17:26
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 07-17 10:22
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2027? Yes +2 $1 34¢ $1 $0 11-06 12:42
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 Yes +4 $1 10¢ $0 -$1 08-09 04:31
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +2 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 06-26 04:26