Feisty-Stencil — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.33K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.0%

Resolved

Trades

3,268

lifetime

Volume

$1.15M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$353

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 05-24 00:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

76% 100% +$1,567

Other

24% 0% $-3,899

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 260 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	225	$168.5K	113,970	113,970	+0	open	—	03-31 01:20
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	103	$112.0K	45,332	84,405	-39,073	open	—	04-08 21:12
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	180	$59.9K	109,931	0	+109,931	open	—	04-07 21:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	132	$55.9K	43,541	45,485	-1,943	open	—	05-23 14:21
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	69	$42.9K	63,143	0	+63,143	open	—	04-07 21:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	16	$38.8K	16,348	25,725	-9,377	open	—	05-12 19:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	88	$38.5K	22,701	23,925	-1,223	open	—	04-25 16:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	92	$38.1K	57,288	0	+57,288	open	—	05-23 21:26
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	77	$32.9K	21,884	23,950	-2,066	open	—	04-29 16:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	71	$31.2K	18,906	18,906	+0	open	—	04-30 20:51
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	212	$30.3K	19,644	19,644	+0	open	—	04-12 02:07
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	76	$30.2K	19,033	22,301	-3,268	open	—	03-24 23:54
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	42	$29.2K	40,345	0	+40,345	open	—	03-09 20:59
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	61	$26.8K	27,071	8,201	+18,870	open	—	04-22 14:03
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	74	$23.8K	61,272	33	+61,239	open	—	04-02 02:17
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	161	$23.2K	54,645	55,523	-877	open	—	04-04 23:37
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	68	$20.8K	23,935	14,994	+8,941	open	—	04-22 01:53
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	27	$20.5K	26,960	0	+26,960	open	—	04-07 21:50
will the us invade iran by march 31	36	$18.7K	10,022	11,892	-1,870	open	—	03-13 16:52
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	104	$18.1K	53,601	0	+53,601	open	—	04-07 10:26
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	44	$17.2K	7,288	14,362	-7,074	open	—	04-26 17:50
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	97	$15.2K	8,826	9,836	-1,010	open	—	03-31 03:22
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	54	$14.9K	23,490	0	+23,490	open	—	04-07 21:33
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	19	$14.0K	4,698	11,470	-6,772	open	—	03-14 04:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	21	$13.9K	15,143	17,683	-2,540	open	—	05-24 00:28
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	8	$13.4K	7,834	7,834	+0	open	—	04-26 03:30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	9	$12.9K	9,210	9,210	+0	open	—	05-06 16:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	19	$12.7K	27,293	27,768	-475	open	—	05-23 14:51
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	5	$12.0K	7,018	7,018	-0	open	—	04-22 02:28
netanyahu out by march 31 854	244	$10.5K	165,242	196,161	-30,919	open	—	03-19 19:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 00:28:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	4,214	19¢	$801	0xfa1a68…
05-24 00:16:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,339	18¢	$241	0x72e5ef…
05-24 00:14:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	24	18¢	$4	0x7ccf5d…
05-24 00:08:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,250	19¢	$238	0x61db52…
05-23 21:26:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2,740	80¢	$2,192	0xf0e19a…
05-23 21:26:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	983	80¢	$786	0x15a7f4…
05-23 21:26:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2,278	80¢	$1,822	0x780348…
05-23 21:12:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	6,245	82¢	$5,133	0xbc1a05…
05-23 21:09:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	6,215	80¢	$5,000	0xe64cc7…
05-23 21:09:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	68	79¢	$54	0xaa55cc…
05-23 21:05:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	309	81¢	$250	0x009c4c…
05-23 21:05:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	306	82¢	$250	0x5b950f…
05-23 21:03:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	13	82¢	$11	0x65e04e…
05-23 21:03:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	55	82¢	$45	0xc30e96…
05-23 21:03:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	144	82¢	$118	0xf91153…
05-23 21:02:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0x4d71b4…
05-23 21:02:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x42fa3a…
05-23 21:01:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	54	82¢	$45	0x0b3cd9…
05-23 21:01:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	301	82¢	$246	0x885d63…
05-23 21:00:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xa18c84…
05-23 20:46:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,071	84¢	$900	0xcef210…
05-23 20:46:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	31	84¢	$26	0x70871a…
05-23 20:46:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	625	84¢	$525	0x2df5ab…
05-23 20:46:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	58	84¢	$49	0x1170b4…
05-23 16:01:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	6,000	24¢	$1,411	0xaa685e…
05-23 15:25:52	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xa8c048…
05-23 15:12:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	200	28¢	$56	0xe548de…
05-23 15:11:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	207	28¢	$58	0x10423a…
05-23 15:05:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0xcc36c9…
05-23 15:03:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	160	28¢	$45	0x9862db…
05-23 14:51:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x3ccb16…
05-23 14:50:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	27,767	10¢	$2,868	0x91b7f7…
05-23 14:41:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0xc84981…
05-23 14:40:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,363	17¢	$232	0x7e6656…
05-23 14:34:54	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	5,166	93¢	$4,802	0x34e969…
05-23 14:33:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	4,286	34¢	$1,468	0xc11669…
05-23 14:21:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$0	0x954ca5…
05-23 13:58:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	35,484	79¢	$28,096	0x8b2a65…
05-21 18:48:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10,000	79¢	$7,900	0x58bfc5…
05-21 17:37:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x42ace2…
05-21 17:35:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	SELL	34,675	4¢	$1,526	0xf8962f…
05-21 17:34:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0xad910d…
05-21 17:32:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	6,066	8¢	$486	0x5f64e0…
05-21 17:31:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	12,187	8¢	$976	0xaad88a…
05-21 13:55:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	3,125	18¢	$562	0xdf49b3…
05-21 12:36:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	2,941	17¢	$500	0x8a29d1…
05-20 17:23:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0xf66d90…
05-20 17:22:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	8,452	36¢	$3,043	0xe967f0…
05-20 03:50:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	4,688	32¢	$1,500	0x8dce83…
05-19 19:03:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	5,893	25¢	$1,500	0x72d6c0…
05-17 04:43:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x8dde60…
05-17 04:38:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	3,345	4¢	$124	0x288218…
05-17 04:11:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x578d4d…
05-17 04:00:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xcf996f…
05-17 04:00:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x5d7725…
05-17 03:58:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x8168f1…
05-17 03:51:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xf2e0f5…
05-17 03:50:27	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xeef7fe…
05-17 03:41:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x0ad110…
05-17 03:41:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0xc7d2e5…
05-17 02:51:27	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	996	4¢	$36	0x5836e8…
05-17 02:47:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	1,585	4¢	$57	0xf39c31…
05-17 02:38:27	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	1,504	4¢	$54	0xaf3c46…
05-17 02:24:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	1,473	4¢	$53	0x9c51fc…
05-17 02:23:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0xb1ed1c…
05-17 02:22:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	469	4¢	$17	0x0f29c9…
05-17 01:49:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	104	4¢	$4	0xd91d67…
05-17 01:48:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	685	4¢	$25	0x6e90b0…
05-17 01:37:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4,167	36¢	$1,500	0x319c85…
05-17 01:32:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	7,500	20¢	$1,500	0x638288…
05-17 01:21:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	10,990	5¢	$500	0x6569a8…
05-17 01:19:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4,286	35¢	$1,500	0xdfa19e…
05-16 09:05:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	5,500	5¢	$275	0xc410c9…
05-16 06:48:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	276	6¢	$17	0x5c851a…
05-16 06:47:27	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xc6c26c…
05-16 06:47:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x199abf…
05-16 06:16:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	112	6¢	$7	0x07a1d7…
05-16 06:15:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x57b9b5…
05-16 05:59:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x68a810…
05-16 05:43:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xabde25…
05-16 05:40:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x14e50b…
05-16 05:36:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	28	6¢	$2	0x4983df…
05-16 05:35:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	36	6¢	$2	0x9b3824…
05-16 05:22:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	4,081	6¢	$245	0x769a02…
05-15 22:44:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x9da889…
05-15 22:44:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	153	9¢	$14	0x75776c…
05-15 22:35:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xaeefa9…
05-15 22:33:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	205	9¢	$18	0x3f8152…
05-15 22:21:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x8206e2…
05-15 22:10:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	1,900	9¢	$171	0xba8e48…
05-15 22:06:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x692001…
05-15 21:56:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0x6d6cbc…
05-15 21:51:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	240	9¢	$22	0x24d333…
05-15 21:47:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x2d5a41…
05-15 21:38:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0xdc1907…
05-15 21:31:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0xad5497…
05-15 21:22:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xf802f1…
05-15 21:19:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xc8e2df…
05-15 21:19:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0xf370bc…
05-15 21:18:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x48292d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	70	$1.06M	17,048	06-01 00:34
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	68	$43.0K	9,167	05-06 22:04
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	67	$30.0M	45,603	06-01 04:14
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	67	$603.2K	44,155	06-01 03:24
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	66	$260.1K	19,751	06-01 03:47
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	63	$141.9K	938	06-02 00:10
(anonymous) 0x22f1…6415	62	$138.1K	13,506	05-30 20:18
Mushy-Asymmetry 0xe738…df65	61	$1.71M	4,801	06-01 09:31