Single-Fuel — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$9

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

24.4%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

45 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$96

$96 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

6 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 05:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 25% $-9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	+4	$2	99¢	$4	+$2	05-06 04:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	+4	$2	96¢	$4	+$2	05-06 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	+4	$2	99¢	$4	+$2	05-06 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	+4	$2	84¢	$4	+$1	05-06 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	+4	$2	46¢	$2	$-0	05-06 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	+4	$2	38¢	$2	$-0	05-06 04:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 05:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd147ac…
05-06 04:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xf9baf8…
05-06 04:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xed3b1c…
05-06 04:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x4831e2…
05-06 04:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x5243dd…
05-06 04:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x365862…
05-06 02:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xc757dd…
05-06 02:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xfe4a07…
05-06 02:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x31b1af…
05-06 02:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x5551cd…
05-06 02:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x212dec…
05-06 02:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x49cb6b…
05-06 02:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xf62bc4…
05-06 02:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x037a1f…
05-06 01:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x0d2bd1…
05-06 01:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe5064e…
05-06 01:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x2dbc62…
05-06 01:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x180065…
05-06 00:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x16d141…
05-06 00:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x1ba577…
05-06 00:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb162bc…
05-06 00:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x21cc67…
05-06 00:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x70f31f…
05-06 00:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x42554c…
05-06 00:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x03cec6…
05-06 00:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x4ba857…
05-06 00:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa6b3b5…
05-06 00:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x754165…
05-05 20:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x50d276…
05-05 20:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x15e366…
05-05 20:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xdb0b6f…
05-05 18:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa32de5…
05-05 14:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xcb9b58…
05-05 09:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xce9bec…
05-05 08:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x365bc7…
05-05 08:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x8a1350…
05-05 07:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xedf0b2…
05-05 03:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xca37f8…
05-05 03:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xa821df…
05-05 00:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xd63593…
05-04 23:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x7690e2…
05-04 23:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x9bcf56…
05-04 21:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x3faa13…
05-04 20:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x64edfb…
05-04 20:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xf80fd2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	45	$5.07K	305	05-06 05:09
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	36	$22.7K	173	05-06 05:04
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	36	$920	167	05-06 05:04
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	35	$4.00K	95	05-06 05:00
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	31	$3.60K	316	05-06 05:04
Slight-Alb 0x7f95…f056	31	$520	131	05-06 04:48
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	30	$767	92	05-06 05:04
Angry-Culvert 0xa867…f165	28	$3.46K	613	05-06 05:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-06 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-06 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-06 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-06 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-06 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-06 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-06 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-06 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-06 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-06 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-06 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-05 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-06 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-06 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-05 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-06 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-06 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-05 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-06 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-06 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-06 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-06 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-06 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-06 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-06 04:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-06 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-06 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-06 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-05 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-06 00:54