Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8.64K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

296

lifetime

Volume

$70.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$237

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-21 10:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

67% 100% +$8,643

Other

25% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	37	$20.6K	9,195	17,798	-8,603	open	—	06-15 08:29
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	11	$8.5K	5,226	5,560	-334	open	—	06-16 13:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$5.2K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	05-18 00:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	26	$4.9K	8,042	4,795	+3,247	Yes	+$1,588	04-29 17:21
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	30	$4.9K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	01-14 20:08
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	3	$4.4K	4,010	1,350	+2,660	open	—	02-07 18:56
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	10	$4.1K	4,050	4,050	+0	open	—	02-04 17:39
lighter market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 332	1	$3.2K	0	3,229	-3,229	open	—	01-01 10:53
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	15	$2.0K	7,000	1,800	+5,200	open	—	02-07 18:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	10	$2.0K	9,006	0	+9,006	Yes	+$7,055	02-24 16:13
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	77	$1.7K	870	870	+0	open	—	06-30 02:20
Fed rate hike in 2026?	3	$1.7K	1,799	1,799	-0	open	—	07-02 12:32
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$1.5K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	02-15 02:10
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	8	$1.2K	1,641	1,452	+189	open	—	06-17 10:46
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	3	$1.0K	1,784	50	+1,734	open	—	07-21 10:50
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	4	$817	838	0	+838	open	—	06-22 02:38
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	2	$616	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	02-14 07:36
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 10 million	2	$480	400	400	+0	open	—	02-16 01:19
over 60m committed to the ranger public sale 296 929 632	13	$283	480	0	+480	open	—	01-07 00:09
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by january 31 2026 849 849 957 245	4	$277	206	206	+0	open	—	01-30 11:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$157	367	377	-10	open	—	06-17 10:46
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$147	700	0	+700	open	—	02-05 20:25
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$114	1,000	175	+825	open	—	02-17 00:52
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	3	$104	1,300	0	+1,300	open	—	02-06 02:58
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101	1	$70	80	0	+80	open	—	01-18 01:42
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	1	$68	0	703	-703	open	—	06-01 13:12
us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	10	$65	40	40	+0	open	—	06-17 10:46
us bank failure by january 31	2	$64	0	340	-340	open	—	01-14 16:15
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	1	$20	34	0	+34	open	—	07-14 15:37
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	1	$15	20	0	+20	open	—	07-10 10:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 10:50:13	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	Yes	SELL	50	49¢	$24	0x1323e8…
07-17 13:46:16	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	Yes	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xd90bf5…
07-16 21:36:19	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	Yes	BUY	1,734	55¢	$954	0x3c6751…
07-14 15:37:31	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xeb52ac…
07-10 10:37:50	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xbb8812…
07-09 20:47:25	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0xadf082…
07-05 16:29:13	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	England	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x5a3684…
07-02 12:32:52	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	1,798	46¢	$827	0x3c31cc…
07-02 12:32:46	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	46¢	$0	0x448388…
07-01 22:10:50	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	1,799	46¢	$828	0x7f9b83…
06-30 02:20:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x6ed52b…
06-30 02:18:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x632a4e…
06-30 02:16:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xf771db…
06-30 02:15:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xfa7aba…
06-30 02:13:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x0d9208…
06-30 02:11:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x1fd5ec…
06-30 02:09:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xbf683f…
06-30 02:05:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	66	97¢	$63	0x64ab0d…
06-30 02:05:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xd163c3…
06-30 02:03:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xc08f52…
06-30 02:02:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xd04028…
06-30 02:00:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xb72c8f…
06-30 01:58:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xd8e588…
06-30 01:56:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xe8ef0d…
06-30 01:54:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x2acb35…
06-30 01:53:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xa05d4c…
06-30 01:52:47	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x440d49…
06-30 01:50:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xb34258…
06-30 01:48:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xd7b474…
06-30 01:45:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xcef255…
06-30 01:43:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xe89b8b…
06-30 01:42:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x8a7642…
06-30 01:41:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x83c836…
06-30 01:40:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x4fbac6…
06-30 01:39:47	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x67fa7a…
06-30 01:38:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x08dda4…
06-30 01:37:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x1e3d0e…
06-30 01:36:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xf377b8…
06-30 01:34:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x4fb2b3…
06-30 01:32:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xbbfb58…
06-30 01:32:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xd87eac…
06-30 01:30:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xd8f5a8…
06-30 01:29:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x94191e…
06-30 01:28:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x8bb2f8…
06-30 01:27:28	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x52b53b…
06-30 01:24:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x9061a2…
06-30 01:22:14	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xa20a49…
06-30 01:21:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x33a98e…
06-30 01:20:47	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x95ee9b…
06-30 01:19:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xc74310…
06-30 01:18:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x084c5b…
06-30 01:17:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x2a582a…
06-30 01:16:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x4d2cca…
06-30 01:16:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xaf4ac7…
06-30 01:15:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x6418c3…
06-30 01:13:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	82	97¢	$80	0x6da21e…
06-30 01:13:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xa3fe3e…
06-30 01:13:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xea30b8…
06-30 01:12:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x4913a4…
06-30 01:11:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xeee367…
06-30 01:11:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x125ce1…
06-30 01:10:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x0cbe75…
06-30 01:09:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x424e7a…
06-30 01:08:16	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xd88337…
06-30 01:07:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xf54995…
06-30 01:04:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xa633b2…
06-30 01:04:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xc83c2d…
06-30 01:02:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xcb07dc…
06-30 01:00:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xe69a80…
06-30 00:56:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x270e6a…
06-30 00:49:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x370bbd…
06-30 00:48:44	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x5e1bed…
06-30 00:48:16	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x653303…
06-30 00:46:28	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xe84589…
06-30 00:44:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xe757d6…
06-30 00:43:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x8abfee…
06-30 00:42:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x023305…
06-30 00:34:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xa8232c…
06-30 00:33:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xad10ff…
06-30 00:27:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x8c618f…
06-29 21:24:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x8868b2…
06-29 21:10:44	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x2935ff…
06-26 00:50:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0x237bb5…
06-26 00:45:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	BUY	600	96¢	$579	0x602b92…
06-25 23:27:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x5d8905…
06-25 23:27:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x7ea22c…
06-25 20:58:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0xd817eb…
06-22 02:38:20	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x024133…
06-21 09:00:50	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	330	97¢	$321	0xbe160d…
06-21 08:45:44	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x638b1f…
06-21 07:57:37	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	494	98¢	$482	0x75eeaa…
06-17 10:46:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xeebcd4…
06-17 10:46:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x8e2d38…
06-17 10:46:32	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	219	100¢	$219	0x039cd5…
06-16 13:24:50	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	4,285	100¢	$4,276	0x4f29fc…
06-15 08:29:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	766	98¢	$751	0xf05189…
06-15 08:28:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	766	98¢	$750	0xc6ece3…
06-15 08:28:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	327	98¢	$320	0xde8573…
06-15 08:11:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	327	98¢	$319	0x53d34f…
06-15 08:10:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	908	98¢	$886	0x762aa4…