Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8.64K

Unrealized P&L

+$74

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

163

lifetime

Volume

$45.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$279

Open exposure

$1.16K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 22:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

61% 100% +$8,643

Other

31% — —

Crypto

7% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-1,498	$-1,162	68¢	$-1011	+$150	06-09 22:58
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No		-703	$-68	20¢	$-144	$-76	06-01 13:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	12	$10.2K	7,200	7,498	-298	open	—	06-09 22:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$5.2K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	05-18 00:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	26	$4.9K	8,042	4,795	+3,247	Yes	+$1,588	04-29 17:21
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	30	$4.9K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	01-14 20:08
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	3	$4.4K	4,010	1,350	+2,660	open	—	02-07 18:56
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	10	$4.1K	4,050	4,050	+0	open	—	02-04 17:39
lighter market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 332	1	$3.2K	0	3,229	-3,229	open	—	01-01 10:53
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	15	$2.0K	7,000	1,800	+5,200	open	—	02-07 18:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	10	$2.0K	9,006	0	+9,006	Yes	+$7,055	02-24 16:13
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$1.5K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	02-15 02:10
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	5	$708	1,641	504	+1,138	open	—	06-09 16:40
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	2	$616	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	02-14 07:36
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 10 million	2	$480	400	400	+0	open	—	02-16 01:19
over 60m committed to the ranger public sale 296 929 632	13	$283	480	0	+480	open	—	01-07 00:09
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by january 31 2026 849 849 957 245	4	$277	206	206	+0	open	—	01-30 11:49
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$147	700	0	+700	open	—	02-05 20:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$147	367	367	+0	open	—	06-08 12:42
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$114	1,000	175	+825	open	—	02-17 00:52
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	3	$104	1,300	0	+1,300	open	—	02-06 02:58
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101	1	$70	80	0	+80	open	—	01-18 01:42
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	1	$68	0	703	-703	open	—	06-01 13:12
us bank failure by january 31	2	$64	0	340	-340	open	—	01-14 16:15
us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	9	$25	40	0	+40	open	—	06-05 10:17
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	1	$11	20	0	+20	open	—	01-24 18:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 22:58:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	68¢	$33	0x163583…
06-09 22:50:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	68¢	$40	0x49134d…
06-09 22:44:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xbb0026…
06-09 22:41:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,188	68¢	$3,528	0x1abec4…
06-09 16:40:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	435	32¢	$139	0x500a89…
06-09 16:40:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	365	32¢	$117	0xc6885f…
06-09 16:40:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x390c34…
06-09 14:53:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,242	70¢	$2,970	0x6efe2b…
06-09 14:47:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,061	69¢	$732	0xf11230…
06-09 11:58:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	504	32¢	$161	0x7ea617…
06-08 22:37:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0xddde1e…
06-08 12:42:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	367	17¢	$62	0x025db4…
06-06 02:39:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	70¢	$49	0x0f3ac5…
06-06 01:41:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	71¢	$426	0xc0a36f…
06-05 10:20:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	641	35¢	$224	0x056822…
06-05 10:17:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xba9a79…
06-05 10:15:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x59a237…
06-05 10:09:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x1de269…
06-05 10:05:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x6f6102…
06-05 10:05:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x2ad243…
06-05 10:05:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x91f67f…
06-05 10:03:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xdeca2c…
06-05 10:02:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd0ddbc…
06-05 10:01:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x747af4…
06-01 18:26:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,195	71¢	$1,558	0xbce21d…
06-01 13:15:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	367	23¢	$84	0x6319ae…
06-01 13:12:14	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	SELL	703	10¢	$68	0xd33161…
05-18 00:46:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	3,000	96¢	$2,874	0xec1bfd…
05-10 13:25:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	3,000	77¢	$2,310	0xa0abfa…
04-29 17:21:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,247	29¢	$942	0xe7c5a9…
03-18 04:27:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xac15bf…
03-05 03:59:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x7eea03…
02-24 16:13:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd65a6c…
02-19 20:33:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	770	38¢	$293	0xc07bf0…
02-19 12:41:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	583	39¢	$227	0xe75bd2…
02-19 12:37:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x1d312b…
02-19 12:28:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x121fb2…
02-19 12:28:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,794	39¢	$700	0x56cb78…
02-18 15:47:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	20¢	$200	0x878747…
02-18 14:30:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	21¢	$210	0x6d8eac…
02-17 20:40:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,306	22¢	$727	0xb0e231…
02-17 20:08:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	22¢	$8	0xdac169…
02-17 20:00:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	22¢	$440	0xed2a3e…
02-17 19:31:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	22¢	$14	0xe25f16…
02-17 19:26:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	22¢	$23	0x65ac3d…
02-17 19:03:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	22¢	$220	0xa67d25…
02-17 19:03:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	490	22¢	$108	0xb982c9…
02-17 00:52:13	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	153	8¢	$12	0x1a78cb…
02-17 00:49:51	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x1e6a13…
02-17 00:41:27	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x6083b8…
02-16 01:27:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xd3eeac…
02-16 01:25:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x637e6b…
02-16 01:23:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x0384ca…
02-16 01:22:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x8c6a2d…
02-16 01:21:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xc4e095…
02-16 01:19:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xbaf565…
02-16 01:19:17	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 10 million	No	SELL	400	60¢	$240	0xec27b1…
02-16 01:18:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x0facb9…
02-16 01:17:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xb8c0bf…
02-16 01:07:51	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 10 million	No	BUY	400	60¢	$240	0xd7a8b1…
02-15 23:47:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0x6811da…
02-15 23:35:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7aab8b…
02-15 23:20:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	41¢	$9	0x55f89c…
02-15 23:15:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x37f672…
02-15 23:10:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x442ded…
02-15 22:46:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x227295…
02-15 02:10:31	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	700	100¢	$697	0xbdd4c5…
02-14 11:42:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	800	42¢	$336	0x77a658…
02-14 07:36:13	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,200	14¢	$308	0xe50240…
02-14 00:33:55	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	600	84¢	$504	0xf22e7f…
02-14 00:33:55	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0x344e26…
02-13 02:02:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	860	43¢	$370	0x44333d…
02-12 17:37:19	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,200	14¢	$308	0x11cb18…
02-12 01:18:29	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	1,400	15¢	$210	0x95a36b…
02-07 18:56:39	Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	BUY	1,310	100¢	$1,309	0xe6720b…
02-07 18:28:47	Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	BUY	1,000	15¢	$150	0x9f7c74…
02-07 18:28:21	Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	BUY	964	32¢	$309	0x6f2193…
02-07 18:28:21	Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	BUY	630	32¢	$202	0x1fff7f…
02-07 18:28:17	Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	BUY	999	30¢	$300	0xf2b318…
02-07 18:28:17	Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xc39b4c…
02-07 18:28:17	Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x46e94b…
02-07 18:28:17	Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x3e4d09…
02-07 18:28:17	Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x200d75…
02-07 18:28:11	Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	BUY	1,588	42¢	$667	0xec7811…
02-07 18:28:07	Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xde637c…
02-07 18:28:07	Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x0cb29d…
02-07 18:27:59	Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x2c439d…
02-07 18:19:05	Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	SELL	1,776	15¢	$266	0x52cc60…
02-07 18:18:51	Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	SELL	24	15¢	$4	0x98e87f…
02-07 18:13:05	Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	BUY	1,800	6¢	$108	0xa44083…
02-07 14:52:29	Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	SELL	1,350	78¢	$1,053	0x9f24ec…
02-07 03:24:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,548	44¢	$681	0x22854d…
02-07 02:55:53	Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	BUY	2,700	77¢	$2,079	0xc8a271…
02-06 15:06:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,096	42¢	$1,300	0x771d4b…
02-06 02:58:15	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	36	8¢	$3	0x7c1a25…
02-06 02:55:21	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	27	8¢	$2	0xdaaadc…
02-06 02:43:19	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,237	8¢	$99	0xfdea9f…
02-05 20:25:19	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	700	21¢	$147	0xb774e4…
02-05 20:12:41	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x4ce5e1…
02-04 17:39:07	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,511	40¢	$1,005	0x259ae1…