United-Ethnicity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$161

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.5%

Resolved

Trades

5,217

lifetime

Volume

$217.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 05:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

50% 100% +$68

Politics

42% 60% +$92

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	45	$11.3K	5,966	5,966	+0	open	—	04-11 15:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	32	$7.2K	5,100	4,506	+594	open	—	07-25 08:20
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	20	$6.8K	3,651	3,651	+0	open	—	07-29 23:52
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	94	$6.1K	3,707	3,707	+0	open	—	03-30 06:59
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	51	$5.9K	4,634	3,873	+761	open	—	06-20 14:11
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	212	$5.9K	5,218	5,218	+0	open	—	03-30 16:04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	32	$4.5K	2,772	2,772	+0	open	—	04-02 17:09
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	31	$4.1K	2,552	2,552	+0	open	—	04-02 18:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	66	$3.8K	4,934	4,934	+0	open	—	07-07 00:36
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	208	$3.0K	3,101	3,118	-18	open	—	03-31 17:58
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	8	$3.0K	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	08-09 23:29
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	11	$3.0K	1,736	1,736	+0	open	—	04-11 07:01
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	28	$2.9K	1,900	2,000	-100	open	—	05-01 19:24
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	20	$2.9K	2,300	2,300	+0	open	—	07-27 15:59
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	22	$2.7K	1,752	1,800	-48	open	—	06-14 23:49
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	22	$2.6K	1,515	1,515	+0	open	—	04-05 03:52
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	17	$2.5K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	08-01 15:48
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	65	$2.5K	2,125	2,125	+0	open	—	03-31 11:12
bitcoin above 58k on june 8 2026	23	$2.4K	1,301	1,301	+0	open	—	06-08 00:19
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	13	$2.3K	1,250	1,250	+0	open	—	07-23 09:18
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	12	$2.2K	1,530	1,530	+0	open	—	08-09 23:15
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	32	$2.1K	2,050	2,050	+0	open	—	04-08 20:37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	52	$2.1K	2,052	2,052	+0	open	—	05-30 15:27
us announces end of iranian blockade by july 14 2026	2	$2.0K	1,003	1,003	+0	open	—	07-15 05:03
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	37	$1.9K	2,241	2,241	+0	open	—	08-04 19:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	23	$1.8K	1,000	997	+3	open	—	04-27 15:00
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	22	$1.8K	2,050	2,050	+0	open	—	03-30 02:33
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	29	$1.8K	1,306	1,306	+0	open	—	06-14 12:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	12	$1.7K	994	994	+0	open	—	05-31 21:14
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	5	$1.7K	855	855	+0	open	—	03-15 06:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 08:02:27	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0xa5c5f4…
08-10 07:57:48	iran charges hormuz fees by september 30	Yes	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0x8c657d…
08-10 05:23:42	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	Yes	BUY	57	45¢	$26	0xcfb09c…
08-10 01:40:12	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0x5a5119…
08-09 23:54:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x1e5e71…
08-09 23:42:42	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0x432c75…
08-09 23:32:03	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	200	45¢	$91	0xcd9cbb…
08-09 23:29:49	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xb9b2af…
08-09 23:29:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	SELL	900	84¢	$758	0x6d0b45…
08-09 23:15:58	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	430	93¢	$400	0x6521ef…
08-09 17:06:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	430	93¢	$400	0xc72271…
08-09 11:47:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	200	81¢	$163	0xfc5f50…
08-09 10:56:01	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x9401bc…
08-09 09:56:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	200	87¢	$175	0x3a2ef7…
08-09 09:43:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$262	0xf3b1dd…
08-09 09:40:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0x2c0bad…
08-09 09:33:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	500	63¢	$315	0x832ef6…
08-09 09:32:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	SELL	600	83¢	$498	0x36add2…
08-08 23:01:06	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xd6b837…
08-08 17:08:21	iran charges hormuz fees by september 30	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x512450…
08-08 15:47:25	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553	Yes	SELL	100	49¢	$49	0xfe2aee…
08-08 15:47:18	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	SELL	100	37¢	$37	0x740981…
08-08 13:44:42	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553	Yes	BUY	61	50¢	$31	0x7c275d…
08-08 13:15:24	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553	Yes	BUY	39	50¢	$19	0x9beadf…
08-08 12:52:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	313	26¢	$81	0x57ae79…
08-08 12:46:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	34¢	$103	0xa066e6…
08-07 19:01:55	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x6ca171…
08-06 01:01:11	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	Yes	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x81b8f4…
08-05 22:03:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	Yes	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0x5a4983…
08-05 21:03:35	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	Yes	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x03259a…
08-05 21:03:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xa4d9f5…
08-05 21:03:26	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	Yes	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0xe20960…
08-05 21:03:26	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$4	0x983a13…
08-05 21:03:26	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	Yes	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x159dd8…
08-05 20:45:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	Yes	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0xdec82a…
08-05 20:45:29	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	Yes	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x9ca30d…
08-05 20:45:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	Yes	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x842b04…
08-05 20:45:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	Yes	BUY	19	91¢	$18	0xa187cb…
08-05 20:45:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	Yes	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x5de9e2…
08-05 20:45:20	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	Yes	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0xc14a3a…
08-05 20:45:20	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	Yes	BUY	17	91¢	$15	0x77cf9c…
08-05 20:45:17	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x56c5e2…
08-05 19:54:53	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xb5c5ea…
08-05 19:53:05	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x203002…
08-05 19:52:59	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xcf669b…
08-05 19:49:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	Yes	BUY	205	91¢	$187	0xb34d3c…
08-05 19:02:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	Yes	BUY	111	91¢	$101	0x5bc73c…
08-05 12:01:27	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xf49d3e…
08-05 09:09:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489	Yes	SELL	800	96¢	$766	0xc9b9de…
08-05 04:16:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489	Yes	BUY	790	93¢	$736	0xda8bb7…
08-05 04:16:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x1b25ec…
08-05 00:36:06	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	200	19¢	$38	0x93fb6e…
08-04 19:40:12	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	33	50¢	$16	0x6363ee…
08-04 19:36:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	92	52¢	$48	0x1958e9…
08-04 19:35:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	76	52¢	$39	0xf879c7…
08-04 19:15:48	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	300	68¢	$204	0xe29962…
08-03 19:03:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x5f3350…
08-03 14:09:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0x1d3d4d…
08-02 18:36:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0x41909b…
08-02 17:44:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x486cd1…
08-02 17:37:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0xce73b5…
08-02 17:37:09	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0xa9d456…
08-02 17:33:26	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x7c2da2…
08-02 17:26:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0x6a3faa…
08-02 13:05:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0xe85f4c…
08-02 12:05:54	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	Yes	SELL	400	57¢	$228	0xdd4fb3…
08-02 12:00:12	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	290	43¢	$126	0xcbf166…
08-02 11:42:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xc6e24f…
08-01 22:52:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x28ac74…
08-01 22:49:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0x3b877f…
08-01 22:25:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	34¢	$102	0xbed867…
08-01 22:24:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x9b76cc…
08-01 15:49:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x8c8663…
08-01 15:48:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	500	91¢	$455	0x40881b…
08-01 11:19:41	will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	68	87¢	$59	0x7a3787…
08-01 11:14:50	will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	30	87¢	$26	0x67003b…
08-01 10:02:24	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x3bf70b…
08-01 09:49:26	will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	23	87¢	$20	0xaa8c76…
08-01 08:55:54	will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xb13ea5…
08-01 08:35:36	will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xa29932…
08-01 08:34:15	will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	34	87¢	$30	0x9cb7a6…
08-01 08:17:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x2e330a…
07-31 21:05:32	will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x951786…
07-31 21:03:29	will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x0e5dd8…
07-31 21:02:24	will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	48	87¢	$42	0x7a9535…
07-31 20:59:35	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0xa2cf5d…
07-31 20:55:42	will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	285	89¢	$254	0xd2a0fe…
07-31 20:50:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x3ad0d2…
07-31 18:55:53	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	300	92¢	$276	0xd93325…
07-31 13:42:32	will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	300	93¢	$278	0x1d6f20…
07-31 07:47:56	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by july 31 2026 20260626210612720	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x983fb2…
07-31 07:47:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	100	37¢	$37	0xf47bb3…
07-31 07:35:11	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x0544a7…
07-31 04:52:36	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	Yes	BUY	300	71¢	$213	0x0e0612…
07-30 17:29:35	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	200	78¢	$156	0xc8f9e2…
07-30 16:54:35	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x5d2453…
07-30 16:39:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x0a3c92…
07-30 15:07:24	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x9efada…
07-30 13:18:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xc26b9f…
07-30 12:49:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	321	79¢	$253	0xfd992d…