United-Ethnicity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.47K

Unrealized P&L

-$132

Hit rate

78.6%

Resolved

902

Trades

6,763

lifetime

Volume

$298.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

$1.30K

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 01:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 232 days

Categories

Other

48% 48% +$1,200

Politics

38% 44% +$2,327

Crypto

11% 39% -$205

Sports

2% 50% +$124

Tech

1% 33% +$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	+1,000	$582	52¢	$525	-$57	10-23 16:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	Yes	+659	$337	50¢	$326	-$10	10-26 07:35
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	+1,000	$168	24¢	$245	+$77	10-26 10:19
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+200	$187	37¢	$73	-$114	10-26 14:13
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	+100	$63	58¢	$59	-$4	10-26 19:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	+100	$57	46¢	$46	-$12	10-27 01:38
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+100	$38	24¢	$24	-$14	10-26 20:33
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-100	-$8	5¢	$-5	+$3	05-05 14:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489	59	$11.9K	10,150	9,950	+200	open	—	10-26 14:13
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	45	$11.3K	5,966	5,966	+0	Yes	+$47	04-11 15:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	40	$8.6K	6,000	6,000	+0	open	—	09-01 08:18
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	65	$7.9K	5,484	5,484	+0	Yes	+$830	06-20 14:11
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	20	$6.8K	3,651	3,651	+0	No	+$91	07-29 23:52
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	94	$6.1K	3,707	3,707	+0	No	+$113	03-30 06:59
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	212	$5.9K	5,218	5,218	+0	Yes	+$87	03-30 16:04
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	71	$4.8K	5,300	5,300	+0	open	—	09-29 22:37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	32	$4.5K	2,772	2,772	+0	Yes	+$13	04-02 17:09
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	135	$4.4K	4,204	4,604	-400	No	+$395	06-12 20:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	32	$4.1K	2,838	2,838	+0	Yes	+$8	06-13 18:29
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	31	$4.1K	2,552	2,552	+0	Yes	+$10	04-02 18:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	66	$3.8K	4,934	4,934	+0	No	-$264	07-07 00:36
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	29	$3.5K	2,600	2,100	+500	Yes	+$245	06-14 23:49
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	208	$3.0K	3,101	3,118	-18	No	+$82	03-31 17:58
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	11	$3.0K	1,736	1,736	+0	Yes	+$12	04-11 07:01
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	28	$2.9K	1,900	2,000	-100	Yes	+$69	05-01 19:24
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	20	$2.9K	2,300	2,300	+0	Yes	+$125	07-27 15:59
will bitcoin dip to 75k in august 2026	20	$2.9K	1,596	1,596	+0	No	+$87	08-31 15:34
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	45	$2.6K	1,600	1,600	+0	Yes	+$94	06-16 08:10
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	45	$2.6K	2,898	2,898	+0	Yes	+$35	06-05 13:03
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	22	$2.6K	1,515	1,515	+0	Yes	+$26	04-05 03:52
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	17	$2.5K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	+$38	08-01 15:48
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	65	$2.5K	2,125	2,125	+0	No	+$14	03-31 11:12
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	48	$2.4K	1,961	1,961	+0	Yes	+$7	05-31 18:58
bitcoin above 58k on june 8 2026	23	$2.4K	1,301	1,301	+0	Yes	+$44	06-08 00:19
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	13	$2.3K	1,250	1,250	+0	Yes	+$18	07-23 09:18
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	12	$2.2K	1,530	1,530	+0	Yes	+$9	08-09 23:15
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	32	$2.1K	2,050	2,050	+0	Yes	-$109	04-08 20:37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	52	$2.1K	2,052	2,052	+0	No	-$14	05-30 15:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 01:38:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	32	58¢	$19	0xba5736…
10-27 01:10:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	68	57¢	$39	0xf58f26…
10-26 20:33:48	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x110ceb…
10-26 19:00:26	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0xe2ef10…
10-26 18:47:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 26 2026?	No	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0xe31deb…
10-26 14:13:33	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x9a531e…
10-26 13:20:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	25	72¢	$18	0x8d4db7…
10-26 12:23:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	25	82¢	$21	0x9600a0…
10-26 10:41:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0xf56912…
10-26 10:19:45	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	391	22¢	$86	0xd0f1a7…
10-26 10:18:59	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	109	22¢	$24	0x46acf6…
10-26 10:02:45	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0x87ae28…
10-26 10:02:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	196	79¢	$155	0xeda90d…
10-26 10:00:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	32	82¢	$26	0x02cbb6…
10-26 09:00:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0x3b631a…
10-26 08:47:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	227	88¢	$200	0xb3b3b5…
10-26 08:36:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xceb4c4…
10-26 08:28:03	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	300	22¢	$66	0xfd2406…
10-26 07:35:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	41	50¢	$20	0x0e523d…
10-26 06:49:08	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	57¢	$114	0x20b53a…
10-26 06:44:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	130	82¢	$107	0x5ee529…
10-26 02:14:54	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0x80d26e…
10-26 02:04:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0x2f9344…
10-26 02:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	SELL	34	24¢	$8	0x14fd14…
10-26 02:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0x6ed8e6…
10-26 02:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x75df05…
10-26 02:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	SELL	48	24¢	$12	0x1cee1d…
10-26 01:57:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x25c062…
10-26 01:56:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xc87570…
10-26 01:51:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0xb4b49a…
10-26 01:40:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	177	76¢	$134	0x653ccf…
10-26 01:40:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x2b7366…
10-26 00:18:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0xfcf456…
10-26 00:03:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	100	76¢	$76	0x6db7de…
10-25 23:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x639e84…
10-25 23:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	43	44¢	$19	0x0aab6d…
10-25 23:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	42	44¢	$18	0xf8ad8d…
10-25 22:52:41	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 25?	Yes	SELL	100	46¢	$46	0xcac05b…
10-25 21:21:45	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x86eb53…
10-25 20:01:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x573bd3…
10-25 19:41:47	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x7ab5c1…
10-25 18:42:02	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x52180a…
10-25 17:51:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0xc35311…
10-25 17:44:14	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x767366…
10-25 17:42:33	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x759434…
10-25 17:20:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	70	29¢	$20	0x6785c3…
10-25 08:58:56	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	Yes	SELL	46	24¢	$11	0x07f566…
10-25 08:20:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xc69b13…
10-25 08:06:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0x4c9d1b…
10-25 08:05:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xcf0f63…
10-25 08:04:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	33	57¢	$19	0xd91ba5…
10-25 07:03:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	230	24¢	$55	0xa6d1c0…
10-25 07:02:57	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	36¢	$181	0x5bd9b1…
10-24 20:44:14	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	35¢	$173	0xa58d17…
10-24 19:16:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xe1a124…
10-24 19:05:35	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xcef468…
10-24 19:05:05	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	Yes	SELL	30	34¢	$10	0x8302a5…
10-24 17:28:59	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	100	59¢	$59	0xec5218…
10-24 16:43:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	104	64¢	$67	0x02f958…
10-24 16:31:26	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	Yes	SELL	24	30¢	$7	0x754e40…
10-24 16:22:09	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xbd1be9…
10-24 15:07:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0x282375…
10-24 15:02:30	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 19-25?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x74321a…
10-24 09:03:14	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xd8d4c2…
10-23 22:53:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	97	64¢	$62	0xdb4667…
10-23 21:56:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x85e00d…
10-23 21:47:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	SELL	69	0¢	$0	0xfde454…
10-23 18:56:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x703581…
10-23 18:20:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xf33275…
10-23 17:39:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xf122c7…
10-23 17:38:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x728b99…
10-23 17:35:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x22eba5…
10-23 17:33:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x4edd5a…
10-23 16:55:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	70	33¢	$23	0x81b18d…
10-23 16:50:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	56¢	$280	0x1fc611…
10-23 16:43:41	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x386f9a…
10-23 16:20:17	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	89	59¢	$52	0xf0dc6d…
10-23 16:18:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	210	66¢	$139	0x2b6178…
10-23 16:18:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xc03677…
10-23 15:19:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x24966f…
10-23 15:18:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x5d6a2c…
10-23 15:03:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	100	64¢	$64	0xc07832…
10-23 15:03:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	88	71¢	$62	0xd211db…
10-23 14:48:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xd70335…
10-23 14:44:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	300	51¢	$153	0x38f941…
10-23 14:44:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	270	38¢	$102	0x355941…
10-23 14:43:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	75	69¢	$52	0x9d5543…
10-23 14:33:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xbfb729…
10-23 14:00:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x44991e…
10-23 13:55:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	22	66¢	$15	0xe123dd…
10-23 13:41:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0x4a281b…
10-23 12:10:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xd3f6d3…
10-23 11:43:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	40	54¢	$22	0xe9538f…
10-23 11:01:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0xc32293…
10-23 11:00:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x543499…
10-23 08:55:36	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	300	3¢	$10	0x1b9c9e…
10-23 08:17:02	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xd57a9d…
10-23 08:03:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	400	58¢	$232	0xae0df6…
10-23 08:02:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0x88fcfa…
10-23 07:00:15	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0x060367…