Hollow-Fruit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$216

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-25

last 10-23 06:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

43% 40% +$14

Politics

25% 20% -$13

Sports

17% 44% +$5

Crypto

15% 100% +$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 64k on july 30 2026	4	$21	38	18	+20	Yes	+$15	07-30 00:49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$19	22	22	+0	Yes	-$3	08-08 05:33
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	2	$13	23	23	+0	open	—	08-02 20:27
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	1	$12	31	0	+31	Yes	-$12	10-23 06:07
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	3	$12	25	25	+0	No	$0	08-21 01:17
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	3	$11	10	10	+0	No	$0	05-28 14:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$10	11	11	+0	No	-$1	05-26 19:52
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?	3	$9	12	0	+12	No	+$2	05-28 15:10
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 21?	1	$8	27	0	+27	Yes	+$19	10-21 18:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?	2	$7	8	8	+0	No	+$1	07-29 00:53
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	2	$7	7	7	+0	No	$0	08-02 21:41
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$7	8	8	+0	Yes	-$1	07-16 17:06
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$6	75	75	+0	No	-$6	10-15 19:57
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$6	8	8	+0	No	+$0	06-01 03:02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$5	6	6	+0	No	+$0	08-02 21:38
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	10-15 19:57
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	2	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	07-12 20:54
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$5	14	0	+14	Yes	+$9	06-01 06:00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	1	$5	7	0	+7	No	+$2	08-24 05:37
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	2	$5	7	7	+0	open	—	07-12 20:55
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	2	$4	5	5	+0	No	-$1	07-11 22:37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 14:48
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	10-15 19:57
Fed rate hike in 2026?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	06-01 03:02
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$4	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	06-01 03:02
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$4	9	9	+0	Yes	$0	07-12 20:55
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-25 23:59
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	2	$3	17	17	+0	open	—	05-29 03:53
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	-$2	05-26 00:08
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2	6	3	+3	No	+$0	07-16 17:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 06:07:54	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	39¢	$12	0x6e9773…
10-21 18:43:39	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	27	29¢	$8	0x85497a…
10-15 19:57:46	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	75	1¢	$0	0x4d0dbf…
10-15 19:57:17	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x89b1d6…
10-15 19:57:10	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0xff6403…
08-24 05:37:16	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x587152…
08-21 01:17:03	Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	23¢	$6	0x0b30ec…
08-19 17:39:10	Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0265e2…
08-19 17:39:04	Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x87aa52…
08-08 05:33:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	22	36¢	$8	0x66a720…
08-07 05:24:16	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	75	8¢	$6	0xec67b8…
08-05 05:44:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0xb5a329…
08-02 21:41:26	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	7	49¢	$3	0x3d0a55…
08-02 21:38:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	41¢	$3	0x72249e…
08-02 21:36:24	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0xadc6d4…
08-02 20:27:18	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	SELL	23	31¢	$7	0x36f44f…
08-01 19:34:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x2adb3b…
08-01 19:33:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x533541…
08-01 19:25:08	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0xeaa0b1…
07-31 01:48:08	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	23	24¢	$5	0xbb40c9…
07-30 00:49:21	bitcoin above 64k on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xd13483…
07-29 00:53:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?	Yes	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0xa436ee…
07-28 05:06:21	bitcoin above 64k on july 29 2026	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x5890e8…
07-28 03:05:01	bitcoin above 64k on july 30 2026	No	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0x98bb8f…
07-27 04:30:58	bitcoin above 64k on july 30 2026	No	SELL	9	27¢	$2	0x723ffe…
07-27 04:24:43	bitcoin above 64k on july 30 2026	No	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x9b1a13…
07-16 23:19:16	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xebfd5e…
07-16 17:06:08	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x603283…
07-16 17:06:08	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x18e215…
07-12 20:55:28	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0x47986b…
07-12 20:55:13	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	35¢	$2	0xd89411…
07-12 20:54:56	Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x29ce04…
07-11 22:40:25	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0xb8bbea…
07-11 22:37:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x9c8469…
07-11 17:56:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x227691…
07-11 17:51:43	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x773725…
07-11 17:50:17	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0x35356f…
07-11 17:49:26	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x48d38d…
07-10 01:41:46	Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x637e8d…
07-10 01:37:20	Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	16	11¢	$2	0x14f02d…
07-10 01:37:10	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x9c49cd…
06-01 06:00:38	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xeadc73…
06-01 03:02:39	Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x140f2d…
06-01 03:02:32	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x0f7c10…
06-01 03:02:29	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0x7d63a2…
05-29 03:53:09	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0x855736…
05-28 15:10:47	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x7aa1ea…
05-28 14:51:03	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xf2372c…
05-28 14:48:15	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x6af9a9…
05-27 17:24:39	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x9cbd56…
05-27 17:24:09	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?	No	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0xf75b53…
05-26 20:47:15	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xb68f3d…
05-26 20:42:21	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xedf064…
05-26 19:52:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xfa7e28…
05-26 00:30:59	Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x2be536…
05-26 00:08:13	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x72b759…
05-25 23:59:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x164c63…
05-25 23:59:08	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x8ba5d2…
05-25 16:22:53	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	9¢	$1	0x82ce2a…
05-25 14:25:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x7f0552…
05-25 03:07:50	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xa9157f…
05-25 03:07:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x4d87c6…
05-25 02:37:21	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x56eef6…
05-25 02:35:48	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x410b1f…
05-25 02:12:42	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xceb4ed…