Constant-Inability — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$305

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.0%

Resolved

Trades

523

lifetime

Volume

$25.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 06-30 18:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 94% +$305

Other

16% — —

Politics

8% — —

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11PM ET	4	$2.2K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	05-01 03:50
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	10	$1.5K	794	794	+0	open	—	05-12 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30?	1	$1.4K	1,420	0	+1,420	open	—	04-30 15:30
Pharos FDV above $800M one day after launch?	30	$1.4K	2,327	780	+1,547	open	—	04-29 19:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	3	$1.3K	661	661	+0	open	—	05-22 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	5	$1.1K	600	600	+0	Down	+$65	05-11 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	3	$802	432	432	+0	Down	+$58	05-07 14:32
Pharos FDV above $500M one day after launch?	10	$791	646	615	+30	open	—	04-28 14:53
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	5	$774	600	600	+0	open	—	06-09 03:24
Pharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?	13	$769	800	800	+0	No	+$50	04-29 04:50
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	3	$757	400	400	+0	open	—	06-14 18:32
Pharos FDV above $50M one day after launch?	12	$722	384	382	+2	Yes	+$20	04-23 13:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	7	$697	510	510	+0	open	—	05-25 10:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 5?	2	$535	546	0	+546	No	+$11	05-05 15:54
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$510	1,628	0	+1,628	open	—	05-15 17:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 10?	6	$470	536	0	+536	No	+$66	05-10 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11PM ET	1	$364	379	0	+379	open	—	04-30 03:42
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 goals neymar jr gte1	6	$258	140	140	+0	open	—	06-29 18:59
bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 1pm et	5	$250	267	0	+267	open	—	06-20 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	10	$235	300	0	+300	open	—	04-30 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	6	$206	107	107	+0	open	—	05-01 19:34
btc updown 5m 1775404500	2	$203	104	104	+0	open	—	04-05 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	7	$201	205	93	+113	open	—	04-30 03:59
fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 spread away 2pt5	2	$181	100	96	+4	open	—	06-26 03:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	7	$175	187	0	+187	open	—	04-30 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	5	$172	177	0	+177	open	—	04-30 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	7	$167	137	103	+34	Up	+$52	05-07 17:56
ow jdg wbg 2026 06 28	11	$163	84	84	+0	open	—	06-28 11:55
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	2	$162	300	0	+300	open	—	06-09 03:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	5	$125	136	0	+136	open	—	05-03 18:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 18:47:41	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	BUY	38	93¢	$35	0x612dce…
06-30 17:23:08	xrp updown 5m 1782840000	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xd62285…
06-30 17:12:53	xrp updown 5m 1782839400	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x781fcb…
06-30 17:12:49	xrp updown 5m 1782839400	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x553a4c…
06-30 17:12:44	xrp updown 5m 1782839400	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xca82d4…
06-30 17:09:37	xrp updown 5m 1782839100	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x85f2c4…
06-30 17:09:35	xrp updown 5m 1782839100	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x913e6c…
06-30 17:09:22	xrp updown 5m 1782839100	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf7fee1…
06-30 17:02:41	xrp updown 5m 1782838800	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xc6a3c7…
06-30 17:02:35	xrp updown 5m 1782838800	Up	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x92fd0a…
06-30 16:58:05	xrp updown 5m 1782838500	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x7d9474…
06-30 16:57:26	xrp updown 5m 1782838500	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x17af86…
06-30 16:54:35	xrp updown 5m 1782838200	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xeda6f4…
06-30 16:47:22	xrp updown 5m 1782837900	Up	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xf975c6…
06-30 16:42:41	xrp updown 5m 1782837600	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xdebc1f…
06-30 16:42:41	xrp updown 5m 1782837600	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x9451f5…
06-30 16:34:14	xrp updown 5m 1782837000	Down	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x4563da…
06-30 16:28:13	xrp updown 5m 1782836700	Down	BUY	52	88¢	$46	0xd8a9f2…
06-30 16:18:44	xrp updown 5m 1782836100	Up	BUY	46	89¢	$41	0x193178…
06-29 18:59:19	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 goals neymar jr gte1	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x83c021…
06-29 18:53:46	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 goals neymar jr gte1	No	SELL	104	98¢	$101	0xa182d9…
06-29 18:12:11	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 goals neymar jr gte1	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x82b5b1…
06-29 17:54:46	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 goals neymar jr gte1	No	BUY	40	86¢	$34	0xa2c3e4…
06-29 17:54:41	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 goals neymar jr gte1	No	BUY	45	87¢	$39	0x43d1d3…
06-29 17:54:11	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 goals neymar jr gte1	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x87e3ba…
06-29 17:31:17	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	SELL	100	49¢	$49	0xa9acb6…
06-29 08:32:58	btc updown 5m 1782721800	Down	BUY	47	81¢	$38	0x4a4407…
06-29 08:28:46	btc updown 5m 1782721500	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x643ade…
06-29 08:28:05	btc updown 5m 1782721500	Down	BUY	38	91¢	$35	0x5850e6…
06-29 08:07:17	btc updown 5m 1782720300	Down	BUY	35	93¢	$33	0x5f953a…
06-29 07:58:29	btc updown 5m 1782719700	Down	BUY	34	92¢	$31	0x316d8f…
06-29 07:52:07	btc updown 5m 1782719400	Up	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x0553a4…
06-29 07:42:40	btc updown 5m 1782718800	Down	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x63ff01…
06-29 07:42:23	btc updown 5m 1782718800	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xc1233f…
06-29 07:42:19	btc updown 5m 1782718800	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xb06275…
06-29 07:38:41	btc updown 5m 1782718500	Up	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xe1c7d9…
06-29 07:34:29	btc updown 5m 1782718200	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x6d52e6…
06-29 03:51:23	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x8e28ed…
06-28 18:56:26	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	Canada	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0xedb932…
06-28 11:55:08	ow jdg wbg 2026 06 28	Weibo Gaming	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x33ffd3…
06-28 11:50:53	ow jdg wbg 2026 06 28	Weibo Gaming	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4d9cb1…
06-28 11:50:44	ow jdg wbg 2026 06 28	Weibo Gaming	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe946cb…
06-28 11:50:44	ow jdg wbg 2026 06 28	Weibo Gaming	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xabf026…
06-28 11:50:44	ow jdg wbg 2026 06 28	Weibo Gaming	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x625191…
06-28 11:50:44	ow jdg wbg 2026 06 28	Weibo Gaming	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2927d1…
06-28 11:50:44	ow jdg wbg 2026 06 28	Weibo Gaming	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2780f1…
06-28 11:50:43	ow jdg wbg 2026 06 28	Weibo Gaming	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x4b18e5…
06-28 11:22:43	ow jdg wbg 2026 06 28	Weibo Gaming	BUY	47	97¢	$45	0x6c2679…
06-28 11:19:23	ow jdg wbg 2026 06 28	Weibo Gaming	BUY	28	94¢	$26	0x5cf0e8…
06-28 11:18:05	ow jdg wbg 2026 06 28	Weibo Gaming	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0xaf9956…
06-27 18:28:11	fifwc cdr uzb 2026 06 27 spread home 1pt5	Uzbekistan	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x4fd263…
06-26 17:28:26	btc updown 5m 1782494700	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xa52c75…
06-26 17:27:41	btc updown 5m 1782494700	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x712ecc…
06-26 17:16:56	btc updown 5m 1782494100	Down	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0xaa453b…
06-26 17:14:13	btc updown 5m 1782493800	Down	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xd07c77…
06-26 17:13:52	btc updown 5m 1782493800	Down	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x61242b…
06-26 17:09:19	btc updown 5m 1782493500	Up	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x3bfbd4…
06-26 17:09:14	btc updown 5m 1782493500	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x5b773a…
06-26 17:02:47	btc updown 5m 1782493200	Up	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xe10804…
06-26 16:57:46	btc updown 5m 1782492900	Down	BUY	63	80¢	$50	0xf00a8c…
06-26 16:53:37	btc updown 5m 1782492600	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x0a9e8d…
06-26 16:43:46	btc updown 5m 1782492000	Down	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0xd0dee4…
06-26 16:38:19	btc updown 5m 1782491700	Down	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x0210b9…
06-26 16:33:04	btc updown 5m 1782491400	Up	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x618494…
06-26 16:23:31	btc updown 5m 1782490800	Down	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x6f1c47…
06-26 16:19:05	btc updown 5m 1782490500	Down	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x5cea2b…
06-26 16:12:59	btc updown 5m 1782490200	Down	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0xe9fdd4…
06-26 16:07:50	btc updown 5m 1782489900	Down	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0x15d20b…
06-26 16:02:58	btc updown 5m 1782489600	Up	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x3f7bfe…
06-26 15:57:10	btc updown 5m 1782489300	Up	BUY	60	81¢	$49	0xd993e5…
06-26 15:53:17	btc updown 5m 1782489000	Down	BUY	49	90¢	$44	0x32215b…
06-26 15:45:59	btc updown 5m 1782488700	Down	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xc10227…
06-26 15:36:05	bitcoin up or down on june 26 2026	Down	SELL	189	2¢	$4	0x930b4b…
06-26 14:02:28	bitcoin up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xaa8ea6…
06-26 14:02:15	bitcoin up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x0e85a3…
06-26 13:27:25	bitcoin up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x9984fc…
06-26 10:30:43	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	1	48¢	$1	0x0f10a9…
06-26 10:30:34	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xd1cc62…
06-26 10:30:23	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x39cbfc…
06-26 10:26:53	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x2faaac…
06-26 10:22:41	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x637ad8…
06-26 10:22:35	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x469489…
06-26 08:20:10	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x4fba7f…
06-26 08:19:53	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x1e961e…
06-26 06:00:41	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0x25ee21…
06-26 05:36:07	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x267924…
06-26 05:36:05	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0x056f18…
06-26 05:31:41	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0x3b0dda…
06-26 05:29:52	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	9	48¢	$4	0x78482a…
06-26 05:29:44	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x6feac0…
06-26 05:29:43	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0x907f3d…
06-26 05:20:32	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0x7efe4f…
06-26 05:19:59	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	9	48¢	$4	0x69b551…
06-26 03:43:55	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 spread away 2pt5	Türkiye	SELL	96	99¢	$96	0x301fca…
06-25 23:10:01	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	93	48¢	$45	0x0fb8fc…
06-25 23:02:01	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x42be45…
06-25 22:53:37	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6f5b4f…
06-25 19:35:22	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 spread away 2pt5	Türkiye	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x44b450…
06-22 15:53:05	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread home 2pt5	Austria	BUY	120	81¢	$97	0x86ac88…
06-21 16:54:37	btc updown 5m 1782060600	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x3cb639…