Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

55.9%

Resolved

Trades

188

lifetime

Volume

$371

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

5 positions

First seen

2026-06-03

last 08-27 01:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

63% 58% -$2

Crypto

11% 70% $0

Politics

11% 67% $0

Tech

8% 50% -$2

Sports

7% 7% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	07-24 05:41
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	+5	$4	99¢	$5	+$0	07-24 05:41
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	-5	-$1	60¢	$-3	-$2	07-24 05:45
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	-5	-$3	38¢	$-2	+$1	07-24 05:45
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	-5	$0	2¢	$-0	$0	07-24 05:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	9	$37	27	26	+1	No	+$4	07-08 06:06
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	7	$32	22	21	+1	No	+$0	07-08 06:24
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	5	$14	15	20	-5	open	—	07-24 05:45
Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	3	$13	7	7	+0	No	$0	07-01 06:18
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	11	$10	38	16	+22	Yes	-$5	07-08 06:06
Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?	4	$10	18	12	+6	Yes	-$2	07-08 08:07
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-21 06:39
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	$0	07-01 08:04
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	$0	07-01 08:04
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	3	$9	5	10	-5	open	—	07-24 05:45
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 24?	4	$9	13	8	+5	Yes	-$3	07-24 15:35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	$0	07-01 08:04
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	2	$7	10	0	+10	No	+$3	07-21 06:39
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 4?	3	$6	4	4	+0	No	+$2	06-04 23:55
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	3	$6	12	6	+6	Yes	-$2	07-08 08:02
Will Marty Tuley win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	07-08 08:07
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	07-08 08:02
Will July be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	4	$6	4	3	+1	No	$0	06-10 02:03
Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	4	$5	4	3	+1	open	—	06-10 01:51
Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	4	$5	4	3	+1	No	+$0	06-10 01:51
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$5	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$1	06-17 01:16
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	07-24 05:41
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 13?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	07-13 07:31
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	07-24 05:41
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$4	6	0	+6	No	+$2	07-08 07:02
Will FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$1	08-26 15:24
Will FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$1	08-25 15:11
Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?	1	$4	6	0	+6	No	+$2	07-08 08:07
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on June 5?	3	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-04 08:04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 9?	3	$4	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	06-09 04:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-27 01:42:10	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x2209a1…
08-27 01:39:24	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x15ef6a…
08-27 01:39:22	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x62c842…
08-26 15:25:37	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-31?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x5668f7…
08-26 15:24:04	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-31?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc487e5…
08-26 15:24:04	Will FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x0b5a11…
08-25 15:14:40	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-08-27?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x92d3e9…
08-25 15:11:07	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27?	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xf05a7b…
08-25 15:11:07	Will FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xa0c9d8…
07-24 15:35:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 24?	No	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0xf48fbc…
07-24 15:35:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 24?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xd62aba…
07-24 12:17:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 24?	No	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0x3a491c…
07-24 12:17:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 24?	No	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xa904ea…
07-24 12:17:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 24?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xe2b882…
07-24 12:17:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 24?	No	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x2e51ae…
07-24 05:45:57	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x4f81bc…
07-24 05:45:57	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x0b104d…
07-24 05:45:55	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xcf6e99…
07-24 05:45:55	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x34e9d9…
07-24 05:45:55	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x05009d…
07-24 05:45:45	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x0d6923…
07-24 05:41:07	Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9ed5d1…
07-24 05:41:07	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x999c45…
07-24 05:27:58	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xb29945…
07-24 05:27:58	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0x612591…
07-24 03:46:40	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x9a5422…
07-24 03:46:33	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xbf0c35…
07-24 03:46:27	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xa5389f…
07-24 03:46:25	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xab2597…
07-23 01:21:16	Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x8d1f5c…
07-21 06:39:39	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xcf66bc…
07-21 06:39:39	Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbd4a10…
07-21 06:39:39	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xb92bce…
07-21 05:24:03	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x59fadd…
07-21 05:23:42	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xc5ba15…
07-21 05:23:15	Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x648c7f…
07-21 01:52:27	Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x66fcc5…
07-20 09:09:03	Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x7b4622…
07-20 08:43:30	Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x925fa5…
07-18 00:20:48	Will Alibaba have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x57c96a…
07-18 00:20:40	Will DeepSeek have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x24e754…
07-18 00:20:33	Will xAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x49a6e6…
07-18 00:20:22	Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x2747f2…
07-13 07:31:56	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 13?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x773523…
07-10 14:25:50	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 11?	No	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x5cbdb7…
07-10 13:37:56	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 10?	No	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x648d79…
07-10 08:24:47	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 12?	No	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x1798b9…
07-10 05:41:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 12?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x2c86a4…
07-10 02:20:52	Will NRG win the EWC Valorant Tournament	No	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0xca2b88…
07-08 13:39:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 8?	No	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x8f1302…
07-08 13:39:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 8?	No	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x1da2ea…
07-08 08:07:46	Will Marty Tuley win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x337af7…
07-08 08:07:43	Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x4be17e…
07-08 08:07:40	Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xf57699…
07-08 08:02:17	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x1d9eeb…
07-08 08:02:14	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x73da96…
07-08 08:02:10	Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0x9ba630…
07-08 07:13:11	Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x024d20…
07-08 07:09:28	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x0de843…
07-08 07:07:47	Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x2c511e…
07-08 07:02:53	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xddc944…
07-08 07:02:52	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xaa51c4…
07-08 06:24:16	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x34f65f…
07-08 06:06:53	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x7c4d42…
07-08 06:06:52	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x1ffb64…
07-03 04:36:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 3?	No	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0xd1e2af…
07-03 04:21:05	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on July 3?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xa223ad…
07-03 04:08:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on July 3?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xef4c85…
07-03 04:08:38	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 3?	No	BUY	4	92¢	$3	0x08050e…
07-03 03:43:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 3?	No	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x3f16d8…
07-02 01:05:23	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0x6658c1…
07-01 09:38:05	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x9a5642…
07-01 09:38:02	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x7376ca…
07-01 09:19:31	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe4f1f6…
07-01 09:19:28	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x463f7d…
07-01 09:19:26	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xee1dc9…
07-01 09:03:05	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf15734…
07-01 09:00:07	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x973228…
07-01 08:37:14	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2d4620…
07-01 08:36:31	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xd72ca7…
07-01 08:36:01	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x614891…
07-01 08:35:25	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6d9ac9…
07-01 08:35:13	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x747003…
07-01 08:34:55	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x89722b…
07-01 08:31:44	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xc8c0ea…
07-01 08:31:05	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x997386…
07-01 08:30:26	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x39a7b8…
07-01 08:30:10	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xff0ee8…
07-01 08:27:02	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xeed2a7…
07-01 08:26:55	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x86927a…
07-01 08:26:46	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x8462b0…
07-01 08:26:34	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x77c3a1…
07-01 08:26:29	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xdd027d…
07-01 08:26:26	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x49795d…
07-01 08:04:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xaa6666…
07-01 08:04:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x157187…
07-01 08:04:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x23c6e5…
07-01 08:04:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x945dc4…
07-01 07:43:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8bed64…
07-01 07:43:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xef7f7f…