Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.7%

Resolved

Trades

7,041

lifetime

Volume

$44.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 04-17 16:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

72% 50% +$0

Other

25% 100% +$10

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	214	$2.0K	2,849	2,641	+208	open	—	01-31 19:57
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	249	$2.0K	2,573	2,307	+266	open	—	02-28 07:05
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	98	$1.9K	1,505	863	+642	open	—	01-15 00:30
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	109	$1.4K	1,640	1,567	+73	open	—	02-01 03:04
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	76	$1.0K	935	924	+11	open	—	03-07 03:18
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	114	$952	1,257	1,242	+15	open	—	02-01 01:44
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	213	$948	3,533	3,448	+84	open	—	02-28 21:41
will coinbase run an ad during super bowl lx	55	$902	1,369	0	+1,369	open	—	02-07 20:05
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	127	$863	4,647	3,624	+1,023	open	—	03-11 09:45
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	128	$843	2,949	3,151	-202	open	—	03-08 21:21
will scream 7 opening weekend box office be greater than 65m	24	$832	1,042	1,125	-84	open	—	03-01 15:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	31	$727	656	621	+35	Yes	+$7	04-17 16:30
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	37	$679	458	365	+94	open	—	01-14 21:35
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	52	$651	838	857	-18	open	—	02-28 19:45
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	71	$600	708	650	+58	open	—	02-28 05:41
iran strike on israel by february 28	76	$593	1,379	1,731	-352	open	—	02-28 08:25
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	28	$489	379	479	-100	open	—	01-14 12:47
israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	80	$478	771	729	+42	open	—	01-14 22:46
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	92	$460	843	906	-63	open	—	02-18 21:43
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	88	$454	970	589	+380	open	—	02-03 21:57
will scream 7 opening weekend box office be between 60m and 65m	27	$440	405	170	+236	open	—	03-01 15:45
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	77	$421	466	542	-76	open	—	03-08 11:02
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	95	$421	1,122	751	+371	open	—	01-14 23:38
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	46	$417	603	647	-45	open	—	02-28 17:01
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	47	$413	508	423	+85	open	—	02-23 07:43
will avatar fire and ash 5th weekend box office be between 13m and 14pt5m	17	$398	325	361	-36	open	—	01-19 15:46
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	58	$393	432	331	+101	open	—	03-13 19:17
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	60	$391	1,566	1,509	+57	open	—	02-28 04:03
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	31	$374	480	476	+4	open	—	03-13 05:47
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	55	$370	499	405	+93	open	—	02-28 05:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-17 16:34:36	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	94	90¢	$85	0xac9402…
04-17 16:34:20	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	75	99¢	$74	0xa5a61c…
04-17 16:30:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	28	74¢	$21	0x798853…
04-17 16:30:10	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x170e7d…
04-17 16:30:04	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	32	44¢	$14	0xc245a1…
04-17 16:25:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	455	1¢	$5	0xde7d26…
04-17 16:24:56	Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xed14d9…
04-17 16:24:46	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x251bfd…
04-17 16:24:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	7¢	$3	0xef0156…
04-17 16:22:48	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	99	1¢	$1	0x9c1283…
04-17 16:22:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	32	1¢	$0	0x9b8124…
03-21 17:58:51	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x621371…
03-19 12:37:25	US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x6bb3f2…
03-19 10:01:17	will undertone opening weekend box office be between 9m and 10m	Yes	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x87519c…
03-19 09:42:33	will undertone opening weekend box office be between 9m and 10m	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0x822a69…
03-19 09:42:11	will undertone opening weekend box office be between 9m and 10m	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xe7a326…
03-19 09:42:05	will undertone opening weekend box office be between 9m and 10m	Yes	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x15b293…
03-19 09:41:57	will undertone opening weekend box office be between 9m and 10m	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x9df60a…
03-19 09:31:57	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	38	23¢	$9	0x0e5d75…
03-19 09:18:01	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x149e76…
03-19 09:16:43	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	SELL	30	76¢	$23	0xfef097…
03-19 09:16:43	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xcf1e53…
03-19 09:16:43	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x2e27c9…
03-19 09:16:43	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x026c3c…
03-19 09:15:31	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	25	22¢	$6	0xf108d2…
03-19 09:12:53	US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x512e80…
03-19 09:12:51	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0xf643cc…
03-19 09:12:51	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0xd5ca74…
03-19 08:54:01	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x55520d…
03-19 08:54:01	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x4b1c9d…
03-19 08:49:47	will undertone opening weekend box office be between 9m and 10m	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x3b1b59…
03-19 08:33:59	will undertone opening weekend box office be between 9m and 10m	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xa45a6f…
03-19 07:27:07	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0xd9639c…
03-19 07:27:05	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0xfabd48…
03-19 07:27:05	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x77fdb8…
03-19 07:17:39	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the march meeting	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x8a079f…
03-19 06:59:33	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the march meeting	Yes	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0x210da8…
03-19 06:58:57	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the march meeting	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x2dfaa3…
03-19 03:50:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	6¢	$3	0x4e5715…
03-19 03:50:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x875a6f…
03-19 03:49:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x3429b5…
03-19 03:49:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x3a6298…
03-19 03:49:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xb78c16…
03-19 03:49:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xa9b49c…
03-19 03:49:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x10c320…
03-19 03:46:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xff4deb…
03-19 03:46:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x690311…
03-19 03:46:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x1e65b5…
03-19 03:46:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xc710bb…
03-19 03:46:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x3849eb…
03-19 03:36:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	6¢	$6	0x0ddd87…
03-19 02:27:49	US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x884337…
03-19 02:27:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0x7f95c5…
03-19 02:27:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	7¢	$11	0x6ca329…
03-19 02:27:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	7¢	$11	0x13b070…
03-19 02:27:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0x69b739…
03-19 02:27:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0x1b77e2…
03-19 02:26:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	202	64¢	$130	0xad9b96…
03-19 02:18:59	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0xd50178…
03-19 02:15:43	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	No	SELL	28	81¢	$22	0x118abc…
03-19 00:57:59	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x780e00…
03-19 00:57:45	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x9d0b4a…
03-19 00:49:17	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7d22f7…
03-19 00:49:17	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0e0127…
03-19 00:49:15	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe05b34…
03-18 22:33:51	will undertone opening weekend box office be between 9m and 10m	Yes	BUY	110	41¢	$45	0xe5da49…
03-18 22:30:37	will undertone opening weekend box office be between 9m and 10m	Yes	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0x2087b8…
03-18 21:48:39	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xdf1cbf…
03-18 21:48:37	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xb704ed…
03-18 21:48:37	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xa045e8…
03-18 21:31:17	will israel or the us target fordow nuclear facility	No	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x12ee09…
03-18 16:29:49	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xd19ff5…
03-18 13:36:49	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x400793…
03-18 13:36:47	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xa4d7f6…
03-18 12:44:15	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xcb8b22…
03-18 12:35:21	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xb5ea13…
03-18 12:35:21	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x91a328…
03-18 11:17:19	miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	No	SELL	15	89¢	$13	0xea367e…
03-18 11:11:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0xb3e96b…
03-18 11:11:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0x9eed34…
03-18 11:11:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0x4ad93e…
03-18 10:15:35	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x1fc56e…
03-18 10:10:39	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x9b6213…
03-18 10:10:37	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xf4884d…
03-18 09:44:17	will undertone opening weekend box office be between 9m and 10m	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x3edcda…
03-18 09:42:23	will undertone opening weekend box office be between 9m and 10m	Yes	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0x39b82c…
03-18 09:42:21	will undertone opening weekend box office be between 9m and 10m	Yes	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0x4689ba…
03-18 09:42:01	will undertone opening weekend box office be between 9m and 10m	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xfeca3b…
03-18 09:42:01	will undertone opening weekend box office be between 9m and 10m	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xf02185…
03-18 09:42:01	will undertone opening weekend box office be between 9m and 10m	Yes	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0x349d7b…
03-18 09:41:59	will undertone opening weekend box office be between 9m and 10m	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xb60226…
03-18 05:19:53	ukraine election called by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	420	1¢	$2	0xc7af97…
03-18 05:18:05	miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xe53fd9…
03-18 05:18:05	miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xc0da31…
03-18 05:18:05	miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xa1b9ea…
03-18 05:17:05	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	85	43¢	$37	0x8a0936…
03-18 04:35:27	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xa0e27d…
03-18 03:32:57	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xa63c9d…
03-18 03:29:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xecdd83…
03-18 03:29:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x50fddd…