(anonymous) 0x455381…697dff
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Realized P&L (7d)
+$707
Unrealized P&L
+$18
Hit rate
93.5%
Resolved (7d)
6
Trades (7d)
198
437 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$19.1K
$28.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$64
Open exposure
$1.06K
10 positions
First seen
2026-08-22
last 10-26 20:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Politics
63% 40% -$300
Other
30% 58% +$173
Tech
4% 25% +$197
Crypto
2% 50% +$13
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Sports
0% 100% +$84
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? No +728 $457 76¢ $549 +$93 10-26 00:45
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? Yes +170 $107 100¢ $170 +$63 10-25 10:59
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +188 $151 74¢ $138 -$13 10-26 20:34
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $62 66¢ $66 +$4 10-19 20:38
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +62 $50 70¢ $44 -$6 10-26 20:35
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +104 -$2 39¢ $41 +$43 10-25 20:40
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +100 $10 20¢ $20 +$10 10-14 19:08
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +1,000 $185 1¢ $11 -$174 10-26 00:03
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 $0 10-17 18:58
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M? No +100 $10 8¢ $8 -$2 10-25 06:54