Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$96

Unrealized P&L

-$184

Hit rate

49.8%

Resolved

Trades

512

lifetime

Volume

$36.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$70

Open exposure

$493

8 positions

First seen

2026-08-22

last 10-31 23:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Politics

59% 40% -$110

Other

34% 41% -$280

Tech

3% 25% +$197

Crypto

3% 50% +$13

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$84

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	+450	$369	68¢	$304	-$65	10-31 06:49
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+100	$62	70¢	$70	+$8	10-19 20:38
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	+85	-$15	58¢	$49	+$63	10-31 18:04
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	+100	$10	29¢	$29	+$19	10-14 19:08
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	+1,000	$185	2¢	$18	-$167	10-26 00:03
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	+10	$9	92¢	$9	+$0	10-17 18:58
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+1,000	$6	1¢	$8	+$2	10-28 18:03
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	+6,480	$50	0¢	$6	-$43	10-31 23:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	44	$7.8K	4,727	4,727	+0	open	—	10-23 20:08
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	30	$2.5K	3,940	2,940	+1,000	open	—	10-26 00:03
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	6	$2.3K	1,561	1,261	+300	Yes	-$109	10-30 15:54
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	8	$1.7K	1,150	1,150	+0	open	—	10-28 01:39
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$1.3K	900	900	+0	No	+$2	10-25 22:30
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	7	$1.1K	989	539	+450	open	—	10-31 06:49
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	14	$1.1K	2,950	1,382	+1,568	No	-$202	10-27 23:40
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	5	$1.1K	800	800	+0	open	—	10-25 12:47
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	7	$1.1K	1,032	1,032	+0	open	—	10-23 19:24
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	12	$1.0K	1,678	978	+700	Yes	+$20	10-30 15:59
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	11	$981	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$13	10-28 17:00
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	14	$963	6,270	0	+6,270	Yes	-$963	09-20 20:00
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	6	$928	650	650	+0	Yes	+$246	10-25 20:35
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	6	$909	1,456	1,456	+0	open	—	10-28 01:40
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	11	$884	480	480	+0	open	—	10-18 20:39
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	7	$742	840	840	+0	Yes	+$355	10-25 23:06
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	6	$670	428	428	+0	No	+$22	10-24 16:07
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	23	$668	1,601	1,601	+0	open	—	10-23 19:47
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	3	$656	400	400	+0	Yes	-$48	10-28 02:03
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	11	$588	400	400	+0	No	+$172	08-31 16:12
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	11	$517	7,361	880	+6,481	open	—	10-31 23:10
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?	3	$447	373	373	+0	No	+$264	09-21 16:52
Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	7	$446	913	913	+0	No	+$380	10-28 02:56
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	8	$394	400	400	+0	Yes	+$2	10-28 17:01
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	3	$351	600	600	+0	Yes	-$3	10-26 20:35
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	11	$328	743	743	+0	Yes	+$31	08-28 18:35
1win FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$325	422	0	+422	open	—	11-01 06:09
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	5	$303	300	300	+0	open	—	09-21 20:22
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	8	$284	485	85	+400	Yes	-$204	10-28 18:57
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$281	200	200	+0	open	—	10-25 18:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 06:09:22	1win FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	422	77¢	$325	0x1b8bb5…
10-31 23:10:15	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xeff52a…
10-31 20:09:58	1win FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	124	85¢	$105	0xb91c51…
10-31 19:21:36	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	800	1¢	$11	0x76d52f…
10-31 18:16:18	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0xd41e97…
10-31 18:04:52	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	19	65¢	$12	0xb72e20…
10-31 17:13:33	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	180	12¢	$22	0x1fc89f…
10-31 16:49:01	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	68	9¢	$6	0x8d7cca…
10-31 16:48:33	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	293	9¢	$25	0xa543c1…
10-31 16:16:39	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	700	56¢	$392	0x538999…
10-31 10:10:40	Tusk out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	300	8¢	$24	0xf8c97d…
10-31 10:09:01	Nawrocki out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	300	6¢	$18	0x38ce46…
10-31 06:49:10	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	450	67¢	$302	0x7144fd…
10-30 17:59:40	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0xd80bf3…
10-30 16:54:28	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	4¢	$4	0x404ba5…
10-30 15:59:42	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	68	4¢	$3	0xfb3244…
10-30 15:59:34	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	632	4¢	$25	0x5c762a…
10-30 15:56:01	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	SELL	250	17¢	$43	0x095570…
10-30 15:54:22	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	Yes	SELL	1,061	99¢	$1,050	0xd7942e…
10-30 15:53:21	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	Yes	BUY	244	87¢	$212	0x0456a1…
10-30 15:53:13	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	Yes	BUY	817	87¢	$711	0x9ad0a9…
10-30 15:35:58	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x0dfac7…
10-30 15:31:37	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	No	BUY	300	64¢	$192	0x8e04ce…
10-30 14:50:10	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	SELL	182	70¢	$127	0x5dbe75…
10-30 14:49:58	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	No	SELL	200	31¢	$62	0x0d4e11…
10-30 14:30:57	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x3adb05…
10-30 11:41:25	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	No	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0x54c792…
10-29 14:21:52	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	SELL	546	65¢	$355	0x74daa6…
10-29 13:53:32	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0xc1f700…
10-28 19:06:16	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	SELL	111	32¢	$36	0xa182a4…
10-28 18:57:29	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	No	SELL	40	47¢	$19	0x459378…
10-28 18:42:08	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	No	SELL	45	47¢	$21	0x66bdbc…
10-28 18:40:44	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	SELL	64	32¢	$20	0x179bdb…
10-28 18:03:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$6	0x676e5d…
10-28 17:59:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	987	1¢	$12	0xfb0071…
10-28 17:53:58	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9,000	0¢	$9	0xc9fd7d…
10-28 17:53:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe78098…
10-28 17:01:16	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0x1ebe23…
10-28 17:01:10	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	SELL	200	6¢	$12	0xb84581…
10-28 17:00:55	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	No	SELL	250	13¢	$32	0x6521fb…
10-28 17:00:49	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	Yes	SELL	250	86¢	$215	0x568617…
10-28 02:56:18	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	228	49¢	$112	0x6b1544…
10-28 02:22:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	587	4¢	$21	0x0220c4…
10-28 02:10:38	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	458	44¢	$201	0xafc00a…
10-28 02:03:51	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0xaf91f7…
10-28 01:56:09	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	227	44¢	$100	0x3c7ab0…
10-28 01:40:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	198	35¢	$70	0xdb37a8…
10-28 01:40:09	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,258	35¢	$440	0x753f53…
10-28 01:39:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0x5d4e70…
10-28 00:42:17	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	956	15¢	$143	0xe09517…
10-27 23:46:53	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	313	1¢	$3	0x8d249f…
10-27 23:40:51	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	311	3¢	$11	0xd48bbf…
10-27 23:40:51	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0xd1f26c…
10-27 23:40:51	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x721de9…
10-27 23:40:51	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	150	3¢	$5	0x59ddb5…
10-27 23:40:51	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x2d4896…
10-27 21:02:35	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xb9168a…
10-27 21:01:50	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	173	51¢	$88	0x3e4274…
10-27 21:01:38	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	313	51¢	$160	0xafda7a…
10-27 20:36:44	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x0c1ae2…
10-27 20:33:39	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	153	5¢	$8	0x91f171…
10-27 20:28:51	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	435	5¢	$22	0x9a17ff…
10-27 20:22:02	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	300	78¢	$234	0x0051d8…
10-27 20:08:47	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	968	17¢	$165	0x2fcd94…
10-27 20:07:35	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	750	7¢	$53	0xa3f035…
10-27 20:03:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0x863d6a…
10-27 20:01:14	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	450	15¢	$68	0x318020…
10-27 20:01:06	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	600	20¢	$120	0xc494cf…
10-27 19:58:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	200	76¢	$152	0x71a0ef…
10-27 19:58:30	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	226	64¢	$145	0x88aa0a…
10-27 19:54:50	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	400	88¢	$352	0x9bd304…
10-27 19:10:35	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	300	67¢	$201	0x0cb92a…
10-27 18:36:24	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	400	76¢	$304	0x7f7311…
10-27 15:47:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	188	81¢	$152	0x735c17…
10-27 13:35:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	400	6¢	$24	0x9163aa…
10-26 20:35:47	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	188	69¢	$129	0x46c41d…
10-26 20:35:26	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	600	29¢	$174	0xa8dc72…
10-26 20:34:51	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	562	71¢	$399	0x53cee3…
10-26 18:06:00	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between January 25 and January 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x2d85cc…
10-26 18:03:50	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between January 11 and January 17, 2027?	Yes	BUY	116	1¢	$1	0xc3c9c3…
10-26 18:03:11	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between January 18 and January 24, 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x432e2b…
10-26 18:02:18	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	270	18¢	$49	0x640324…
10-26 18:02:14	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between January 4 and January 10, 2027?	Yes	BUY	59	1¢	$1	0xe08648…
10-26 18:00:02	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	18¢	$5	0x9e00a4…
10-26 17:41:54	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	300	29¢	$87	0xdabb69…
10-26 17:02:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	450	73¢	$328	0x5db442…
10-26 16:55:30	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	150	71¢	$106	0x97e556…
10-26 16:54:23	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	300	30¢	$90	0xf44446…
10-26 16:49:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	300	74¢	$222	0x3aa315…
10-26 08:17:08	Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0xd9fc92…
10-26 06:01:35	Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	427	17¢	$73	0xba15c5…
10-26 05:37:18	Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	118	17¢	$20	0x0d9dc7…
10-26 05:35:35	Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	59	17¢	$10	0x0da0a4…
10-26 02:22:44	Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0xd5dc94…
10-26 00:48:33	Will the Student List win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	514	2¢	$8	0x329799…
10-26 00:45:35	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	60	61¢	$37	0xfc039e…
10-26 00:27:38	Will the Student List win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	186	2¢	$3	0xf730ad…
10-26 00:03:45	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0x6c6f28…
10-25 23:58:35	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x053e40…
10-25 23:58:18	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0xe499b3…