(anonymous) 0x455381…697dff
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Realized P&L (30d)
+$805
Unrealized P&L
-$157
Hit rate
89.1%
Resolved (30d)
16
Trades (30d)
307
485 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$27.9K
$32.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$67
Open exposure
$515
9 positions
First seen
2026-08-22
last 10-29 14:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Politics
66% 44% -$237
Other
28% 44% +$120
Tech
3% 25% +$197
Crypto
2% 50% +$13
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Sports
0% 100% +$84
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M? No +400 $204 40¢ $158 -$46 10-28 18:57
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? No +182 $102 72¢ $130 +$28 10-29 14:21
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $62 70¢ $70 +$8 10-19 20:38
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +104 -$2 41¢ $43 +$45 10-25 20:40
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M? No +175 $96 22¢ $39 -$57 10-28 19:06
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +1,000 $185 3¢ $33 -$152 10-26 00:03
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +100 $10 26¢ $26 +$16 10-14 19:08
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 10-17 18:58
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +1,000 $6 1¢ $6 $0 10-28 18:03