Messy-Quiet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$71

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

36.3%

Resolved

167

Trades

290

lifetime

Volume

$650

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 05-08 12:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 35% $0

Politics

21% 31% +$17

Sports

18% 24% -$40

Other

12% 13% -$48

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-08).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	-18	-$4	10¢	$-2	+$2	05-07 12:00
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	Yes	-50	-$7	2¢	$-1	+$6	05-07 12:00
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-10	-$1	2¢	$-0	+$1	05-07 12:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 14:20 UTC	4	$32	22	22	+0	Down	+$11	03-19 14:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:30 UTC	7	$28	36	10	+26	Up	$0	03-25 21:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:10 UTC	4	$22	39	0	+39	Up	$0	03-25 21:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:50 UTC	5	$21	18	18	+0	Up	+$1	03-25 21:56
ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	1	$20	38	0	+38	Carlos Ulberg	-$20	04-08 20:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 10:30 UTC	6	$15	16	16	+0	Down	+$3	03-23 10:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 12:50 UTC	8	$14	33	6	+27	Up	-$4	03-24 12:51
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 14:10 UTC	5	$13	32	32	+0	Down	-$2	03-19 14:13
will trump say job 20 times during the 2026 state of the union address 563	2	$13	10	10	+0	No	+$7	02-25 08:55
zuffa opeta glant 2026 03 08	2	$13	141	0	+141	Opetaia	-$13	03-08 12:04
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:35 UTC	1	$13	13	0	+13	Up	+$0	03-25 21:39
will trump say biden 15 times during iowa speech 792	2	$12	8	8	+0	No	+$4	01-27 23:56
ufc jos3 kev16 2026 03 14	2	$11	53	0	+53	Kevin Vallejos	-$11	03-10 07:39
will trump say middle east during the 2026 state of the union address 349	2	$11	10	10	+0	No	+$9	02-25 08:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 12:05 UTC	5	$9	19	0	+19	Up	$0	03-23 12:06
ufc mic6 zac5 2026 02 21	2	$8	18	0	+18	Pereira	-$3	02-16 22:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 11:50 UTC	3	$8	9	6	+3	Up	+$0	03-23 11:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 19:40 UTC	4	$8	31	0	+31	Down	-$2	03-23 19:43
ufc jul11 car20 2026 02 21	2	$8	25	0	+25	Judice	-$2	02-16 22:57
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:50 UTC	4	$8	14	0	+14	Up	-$1	03-25 21:53
elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 40 64	2	$7	104	52	+52	No	-$3	01-28 00:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:40 UTC	4	$7	14	10	+4	Down	-$3	03-25 21:44
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	1	$7	0	50	-50	open	—	05-07 12:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 11:55 UTC	5	$7	356	0	+356	Down	-$7	03-23 11:58
will trump say ufc or dana white during iowa speech 935 262	3	$7	48	0	+48	Yes	-$7	01-27 23:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:25 UTC	4	$6	14	12	+3	Down	+$1	03-25 21:28
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 340 359	2	$6	24	0	+24	No	-$6	01-28 10:42
elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 65 89	3	$6	36	0	+36	No	-$6	01-28 00:15
will trump say mr speaker during the 2026 state of the union address 379	2	$6	5	5	+0	No	+$4	02-25 08:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 12:35 UTC	3	$6	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	03-24 12:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 12:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xad5948…
05-08 12:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe6ddc1…
05-08 12:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xaad314…
05-08 12:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5ca399…
05-08 12:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6fba52…
05-07 12:01:18	Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xa17ec0…
05-07 12:01:11	Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xd1b3be…
05-07 12:01:00	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x2f4fd2…
05-07 12:00:51	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	16	11¢	$2	0x64ce64…
05-07 12:00:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	18	20¢	$4	0xf891c9…
05-07 12:00:06	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x18487a…
04-08 20:46:09	ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	Jirí Procházka	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xe28729…
04-08 12:29:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7d1e9b…
03-29 19:11:26	will trump attend ufc 327	Yes	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0xd3076c…
03-29 19:08:46	Will Dan Hooker fight Max Holloway next?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb04aeb…
03-29 19:02:56	ufc pat3 aar8 2026 04 11	Patricio Pitbull	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x96fa94…
03-29 19:01:28	ufc pau2 aza 2026 04 11	Paulo Costa	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x966ada…
03-27 02:39:23	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 0 39	Yes	SELL	28	4¢	$1	0xb63296…
03-26 17:16:05	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 0 39	Yes	SELL	67	4¢	$3	0x2b30fd…
03-25 21:59:39	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xff0384…
03-25 21:56:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:50 UTC	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xaa32c3…
03-25 21:54:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:50 UTC	Down	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0x0451df…
03-25 21:53:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf7c762…
03-25 21:53:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x566463…
03-25 21:52:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x52dc44…
03-25 21:52:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0xe132a5…
03-25 21:51:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x760d78…
03-25 21:50:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x297f39…
03-25 21:50:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2a8420…
03-25 21:48:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd5d383…
03-25 21:46:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xfa8cb6…
03-25 21:46:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x8b4487…
03-25 21:44:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xbc3216…
03-25 21:43:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x772392…
03-25 21:43:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:40 UTC	Down	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x4bd5b2…
03-25 21:42:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x4afae3…
03-25 21:41:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x1743a6…
03-25 21:39:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x91d3a5…
03-25 21:39:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:35 UTC	Down	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x4d8663…
03-25 21:38:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5e0156…
03-25 21:37:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3c994a…
03-25 21:36:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3c4746…
03-25 21:34:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x2ceafd…
03-25 21:34:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:30 UTC	Down	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0xf6ede3…
03-25 21:33:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x89ea58…
03-25 21:32:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x60f860…
03-25 21:31:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xbfc5b2…
03-25 21:30:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x76550b…
03-25 21:30:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x20f58d…
03-25 21:29:29	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3cb374…
03-25 21:28:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:25 UTC	Up	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x6ae1cc…
03-25 21:28:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:25 UTC	Up	SELL	12	19¢	$2	0x9b1b80…
03-25 21:27:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x564354…
03-25 21:26:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xcbd31a…
03-25 21:25:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc13254…
03-25 21:25:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x12abed…
03-25 21:24:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:20 UTC	Up	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0x7282c5…
03-25 21:21:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xee62e6…
03-25 21:21:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8e5ec0…
03-25 21:20:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xadf972…
03-25 21:20:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8aceed…
03-25 21:18:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x52baee…
03-25 21:18:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:15 UTC	Up	SELL	6	8¢	$1	0x56f9eb…
03-25 21:15:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x2a2e99…
03-25 21:15:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5696eb…
03-25 21:13:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	19	92¢	$18	0xaacb24…
03-25 21:12:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xaacfa9…
03-25 21:12:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x21dd3f…
03-25 21:11:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x93a4d5…
03-25 13:22:15	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 0 39	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x0144a4…
03-25 13:21:47	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 0 39	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xd18bbc…
03-25 13:21:23	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 65 89	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x1832ee…
03-25 13:21:15	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 40 64	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x152665…
03-25 13:21:09	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 90 114	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x6986d4…
03-25 13:19:53	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 40 64	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x4a324e…
03-25 13:19:01	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 65 89	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0b4ca1…
03-25 13:17:11	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa3c6db…
03-25 13:17:07	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x76b3fa…
03-25 13:14:45	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x38c734…
03-25 13:09:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc25589…
03-25 13:08:57	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xab52c4…
03-25 13:08:33	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x79e227…
03-25 13:08:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x357b0a…
03-24 12:51:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xbaf2cc…
03-24 12:51:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xfd37e1…
03-24 12:51:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x5b1284…
03-24 12:51:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x7f3fc8…
03-24 12:51:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 12:50 UTC	Up	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0xe075b6…
03-24 12:50:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xc21bf9…
03-24 12:50:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xb4fa70…
03-24 12:50:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf8efda…
03-24 12:49:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0a1ce8…
03-24 12:38:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 12:35 UTC	Up	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x88d7f1…
03-24 12:37:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x68e533…
03-24 12:37:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc9709e…
03-24 12:33:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc0f745…
03-23 19:59:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 19:55 UTC	Up	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x550285…
03-23 19:59:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf5a41f…
03-23 19:55:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x49b9ac…
03-23 19:54:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x002f81…