Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.2%

Resolved

110

Trades

115

lifetime

Volume

$145

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-12

last 10-27 12:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

80% 57% +$5

Politics

16% 60% +$0

Tech

3% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	2	$3	9	+9	Yes	+$2	09-08 09:20
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	2	$3	6	+6	No	-$1	09-17 17:41
will trump say ballroom during xi jinpings state arrival	2	$2	6	+6	No	-$1	09-24 11:10
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $187 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-22 23:24
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 07:30
will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	08-12 07:08
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-11 05:08
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	09-21 14:33
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	6	+6	No	-$1	09-22 14:43
will the next claude opus model be released by september 20 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	09-16 10:20
spy up or down on september 18 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Down	+$2	09-18 09:10
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$1	09-08 00:26
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-09 12:25
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-14 14:00
Will Trump say "Melania" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-24 03:08
will abnb reach 178 by september 7 2026	1	$1	5	+5	No	+$3	09-08 18:08
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-21 06:05
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-21 22:33
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,050 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-20 22:01
will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-15 17:28
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-14 05:53
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	09-14 22:09
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-10 20:12
will hood reach 117 50 by september 14 2026	1	$1	5	+5	Yes	+$3	09-13 21:52
wti up or down on september 15 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$0	09-15 08:10
spy up or down on september 23 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	09-23 07:41
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in August?	1	$1	6	+6	No	-$1	08-29 19:27
will xauusd reach 4450 by august 17 2026	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	08-17 09:42
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-09 21:13
will pltr dip to 165 by august 17 2026	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	08-17 00:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 12:32:30	Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x80eb06…
10-27 03:33:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x16ddd4…
10-19 07:57:38	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x50f683…
10-18 23:47:53	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x80acdf…
10-18 15:44:33	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x949904…
10-18 07:43:02	Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x14bb5c…
10-17 23:14:17	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1967cc…
10-17 12:27:26	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xa12dac…
10-16 12:57:43	will wti dip to 95 by october 12 2026 from october 15	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x448f20…
10-16 01:51:01	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x208b67…
10-15 17:04:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6e992a…
10-15 08:57:10	spy up or down on october 15 2026	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x390fb6…
10-15 00:39:40	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x0c41e0…
10-14 11:28:16	will spy reach 785 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb138d0…
10-14 02:35:32	will mu reach 990 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa6d77b…
10-13 18:21:43	spy up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x2bf0e0…
10-11 09:46:16	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa392c7…
10-11 01:27:17	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x756c53…
10-10 17:04:33	Will Prologis (PLD) Q3 core FFO per diluted share be above $1.70?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4b7db6…
10-10 04:47:06	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x79a591…
10-09 11:28:36	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x20acbe…
10-09 03:25:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x36254c…
10-08 19:24:33	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xb697c2…
10-08 06:28:34	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x83d79d…
10-07 10:26:59	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2f04e3…
10-07 02:19:53	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x46f7e8…
10-06 18:19:21	will coin dip to 185 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x426d01…
10-06 09:07:25	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x645e7e…
10-06 01:07:17	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7dbbe5…
10-05 15:44:35	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x844613…
10-05 00:25:47	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x20ad5b…
10-02 12:29:53	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x819dee…
10-02 03:11:54	spy up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x8338a2…
10-01 12:07:20	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x71900e…
10-01 04:04:38	trump names ai czar by october 4 2026 20260928	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc0aa74…
09-30 18:53:02	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1be7af…
09-29 09:26:57	will msft reach 517 50 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8ac971…
09-29 01:19:32	will hood reach 125 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8a69cb…
09-29 00:25:12	will xagusd reach 62 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xfc81c5…
09-28 15:37:42	will abnb dip to 154 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x21c9a1…
09-28 06:49:44	will nvda dip to 220 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x1474bd…
09-27 22:46:02	will xauusd dip to 4150 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x45c199…
09-27 14:45:08	will the 5 year treasury yield hit 5pt10 in september	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x3c5a24…
09-27 05:40:56	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa8e0b2…
09-26 18:37:48	will xagusd dip to 64 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xcde804…
09-26 07:40:29	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x2f5459…
09-25 21:01:29	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in September?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe0c303…
09-25 12:55:32	spy up or down on september 25 2026	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2ee3bf…
09-25 04:22:50	will aapl reach 340 by september 21 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x8560ab…
09-24 19:36:47	Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x007e4f…
09-24 11:10:42	will trump say ballroom during xi jinpings state arrival	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x675298…
09-24 03:08:50	Will Trump say "Melania" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x1e8835…
09-24 03:02:28	will trump say ballroom during xi jinpings state arrival	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0xe45127…
09-23 17:00:22	will ukraine target moscow on september 26 2026	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xe65978…
09-23 07:41:32	spy up or down on september 23 2026	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb2a152…
09-22 23:24:43	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $187 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x3b9183…
09-22 14:43:07	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0x79a1f5…
09-22 06:41:03	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x97913f…
09-21 22:33:28	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc715ac…
09-21 14:33:15	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x793e05…
09-21 06:05:34	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1b8390…
09-20 22:01:35	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,050 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x2b5929…
09-19 07:30:52	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd93317…
09-18 22:42:43	Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xde2133…
09-18 09:10:39	spy up or down on september 18 2026	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xe4a4e6…
09-17 17:41:33	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	Yes	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xb5eef0…
09-17 05:14:43	spy closes above 755 on september 17 2026	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xbd0e4e…
09-16 21:14:21	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xba6b83…
09-16 20:44:01	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x44524b…
09-16 10:20:19	will the next claude opus model be released by september 20 2026	No	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x731dec…
09-16 02:19:58	will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x8c309c…
09-15 17:28:09	will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x8187af…
09-15 08:10:33	wti up or down on september 15 2026	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0xc176ac…
09-14 22:09:10	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x41c0b0…
09-14 14:00:39	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb220fb…
09-14 05:53:21	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x0e0527…
09-14 05:53:12	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xa7baf2…
09-13 21:52:57	will hood reach 117 50 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$1	0xe34ae5…
09-11 05:08:39	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x92cc67…
09-10 20:12:49	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x93f0f5…
09-09 21:13:04	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x3b645a…
09-09 12:25:03	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3dd05f…
09-08 18:08:39	will abnb reach 178 by september 7 2026	No	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x47ea8b…
09-08 09:20:16	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	5	33¢	$1	0x596125…
09-08 00:26:21	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x987b25…
09-07 12:08:48	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $165 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0x39b652…
09-03 04:07:07	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$1	0xf6a3a5…
09-02 14:49:48	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x5139b7…
09-01 17:34:00	Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xab718d…
09-01 08:53:06	Will Docusign say "Workspace" during earnings call?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xc01a14…
08-30 12:45:39	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x867cf2…
08-30 03:35:55	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0xabca52…
08-29 19:27:49	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in August?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x0eb429…
08-29 09:27:46	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	BUY	3	58¢	$1	0xf7a475…
08-29 00:30:40	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xebb965…
08-26 15:55:28	Will Ulta say "Diamond" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x7886e1…
08-24 18:25:13	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x5a526f…
08-24 10:10:15	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xd2cd91…
08-24 02:09:37	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x6bc3d6…
08-22 00:51:42	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x1ead5d…