Bare-Muskrat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$267

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.0%

Resolved

692

Trades

1,576

lifetime

Volume

$20.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 09-24 01:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Other

96% 64% -$233

Crypto

4% 76% -$35

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on May 16?	7	$378	205	205	+0	No	+$2	05-16 23:45
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 24?	5	$323	171	171	+0	No	+$19	05-24 23:01
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C or below on May 12?	4	$281	155	155	+0	No	+$29	05-12 13:06
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on May 16?	4	$240	133	133	+0	No	+$10	05-16 19:05
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 14?	2	$230	121	121	+0	No	+$10	05-14 21:55
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on May 16?	8	$226	157	157	+0	Yes	+$40	05-17 00:29
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 74°F or higher on May 27?	16	$222	275	275	+0	No	-$113	05-25 21:55
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 2?	3	$215	110	110	+0	No	+$3	06-02 14:59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 2?	2	$206	106	106	+0	No	+$6	06-02 06:53
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 9?	2	$201	101	101	+0	No	+$1	05-09 22:16
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 13?	4	$199	113	113	+0	Yes	+$25	05-13 23:18
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 9?	2	$199	101	101	+0	No	+$3	05-09 22:17
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on May 20?	8	$197	109	109	+0	No	+$21	05-20 16:37
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 1?	4	$189	100	100	+0	No	+$11	06-01 23:40
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on May 23?	10	$184	165	165	+0	Yes	+$51	05-23 22:30
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on June 1?	2	$177	90	90	+0	Yes	+$3	06-01 18:49
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 1?	2	$173	88	88	+0	No	+$3	06-01 16:10
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 16?	6	$171	89	89	+0	No	+$8	05-16 18:02
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 25?	7	$171	94	94	+0	No	+$17	05-25 15:23
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 1?	2	$167	85	85	+0	No	+$3	06-01 12:31
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 1?	2	$162	83	83	+0	No	+$4	06-01 06:33
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 17?	4	$160	83	83	+0	No	+$5	05-18 00:01
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or higher on May 14?	5	$153	88	88	+0	No	+$22	05-14 18:50
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 13?	5	$153	82	82	+0	No	+$9	05-13 21:30
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 31?	3	$152	79	79	+0	No	+$6	05-31 23:31
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 24?	5	$148	81	81	+0	No	+$15	05-24 15:35
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 24?	3	$134	70	70	+0	No	+$6	05-24 20:49
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	2	$133	83	83	+0	Yes	+$33	05-10 20:58
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on May 31?	2	$131	68	68	+0	No	+$5	05-31 19:34
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 10?	2	$115	65	65	+0	No	+$15	05-10 20:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-24 01:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x43ed08…
09-23 20:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xd79180…
09-23 19:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x09067a…
09-23 16:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xbc04aa…
09-23 15:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0x92f15b…
09-23 11:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x5d9e7e…
09-23 09:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x206545…
09-22 17:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x38ecf2…
09-22 15:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x61d7dc…
09-22 12:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$8	0xe38618…
09-22 09:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x7d9aa7…
09-21 16:18:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$9	0x87349f…
09-21 15:43:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x2a5ad1…
09-21 15:18:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	67¢	$8	0x4834e7…
09-21 11:18:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xef67a6…
09-21 08:48:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0x0dd384…
09-21 03:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x5ea7f8…
09-21 02:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xcdead0…
09-20 22:48:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0x096e59…
09-18 16:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	33¢	$7	0xb41bfe…
09-18 15:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x3e1ba6…
09-18 12:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x710bf7…
09-18 08:13:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	11	77¢	$8	0x756916…
09-17 02:43:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x6af777…
09-17 00:33:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	79¢	$8	0x855426…
09-16 23:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$9	0x9e9709…
09-16 20:13:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x2d97dd…
09-16 18:18:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x6032ee…
09-16 05:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xf09e70…
09-15 20:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x5968fe…
09-15 14:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	78¢	$9	0xc2e5d4…
09-15 14:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0xca193a…
09-15 07:13:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xf83057…
09-14 21:23:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	11	77¢	$8	0x9802f5…
09-14 18:58:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x2c5120…
09-14 13:28:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$8	0x57e3fe…
09-14 01:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x9de569…
09-14 00:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0xe31e6f…
09-11 22:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x6c6ef5…
09-11 17:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x919a91…
09-11 16:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x3fab05…
09-11 15:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x6c4282…
09-11 15:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x526842…
09-11 13:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$9	0x4d6c7b…
09-10 15:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x6b3bfe…
09-10 13:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xdd6832…
09-10 07:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xdf40a0…
09-10 02:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xe898b7…
09-09 13:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x647d54…
09-09 08:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x309368…
09-08 20:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x1613f9…
09-08 08:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x9e5666…
09-08 05:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xc4551e…
09-07 01:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x550244…
09-07 00:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xd64ec4…
09-06 23:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x24f751…
09-06 23:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0xfb79db…
09-06 04:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0x8afcc7…
09-05 01:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x8d4098…
09-04 06:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x51d7e5…
09-03 16:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x4354ec…
09-03 00:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xec08f6…
09-02 11:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x3a0154…
09-01 19:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xf68305…
08-21 06:38:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x761ec0…
08-21 05:43:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x22360d…
08-21 03:18:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x796f25…
08-21 03:08:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x0e8935…
08-21 00:33:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x5fe997…
08-13 09:43:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x4d3bd6…
08-11 14:28:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xfc1640…
08-10 02:03:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x10fe93…
08-07 12:38:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xceac59…
07-28 00:58:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xb272e4…
07-27 23:48:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xd60448…
07-27 14:08:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x8b6498…
07-26 22:48:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf2ba2c…
07-25 00:43:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x230c09…
07-24 16:03:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x3d7980…
07-24 15:38:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xbaf376…
07-24 02:53:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xfc142a…
07-23 01:23:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xbd75f1…
07-23 00:48:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xeda584…
07-21 01:58:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x200d4a…
07-20 14:53:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$4	0x5c2303…
07-20 14:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xfe0023…
07-20 11:43:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xcd659a…
07-20 09:18:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xeeaf1d…
07-20 06:53:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x453fe3…
07-20 05:33:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x2d82e5…
07-20 02:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x3826eb…
07-20 00:48:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x9d05f4…
07-20 00:33:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xf62fe4…
07-19 15:13:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xb1ef8e…
07-19 02:13:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x844e33…
07-18 00:53:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x145c5c…
07-17 17:18:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xc21b95…
07-17 15:38:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x4bf372…
07-17 15:18:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x88c341…
07-17 14:58:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x8f39ec…