Firm-Affect — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.84K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$30.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$305

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 07-26 12:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

83% 24% -$6,195

Politics

17% 0% -$640

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-26).

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$4.5K	9,091	9,091	+0	open	—	05-14 20:48
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?	2	$3.7K	2,196	2,196	+0	Yes	+$642	05-17 20:00
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	2	$3.6K	2,123	2,123	+0	Yes	+$664	07-21 14:39
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	2	$3.0K	7,548	7,548	+0	open	—	07-09 10:19
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	1	$2.5K	47,339	0	+47,339	No	-$2,500	05-18 10:53
will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	2	$2.1K	1,281	1,281	+0	No	+$38	07-22 11:59
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	4	$1.7K	10,414	200	+10,214	No	-$1,649	07-26 12:58
Will Paris FC win on 2026-05-17?	2	$1.7K	1,364	1,364	+0	Yes	+$1,062	05-17 20:53
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	18	$1.3K	4,656	4,656	+0	open	—	07-14 03:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$1.3K	4,861	0	+4,861	No	-$1,264	04-10 06:01
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	1	$1.1K	1,415	0	+1,415	No	-$1,100	04-29 22:05
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	1	$711	2,258	0	+2,258	No	-$711	05-08 07:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	2	$592	392	388	+4	Yes	-$3	04-07 08:07
will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	3	$576	15,368	0	+15,368	No	-$576	07-22 11:59
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	38	$440	20,000	0	+20,000	No	-$440	05-15 02:37
0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	2	$387	2,719	2,719	+0	Yes	-$13	07-23 07:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	1	$300	2,411	0	+2,411	No	-$300	04-29 22:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 in April?	1	$292	1,625	0	+1,625	Yes	-$292	04-07 08:08
Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?	7	$200	4,000	0	+4,000	Yes	-$200	05-17 23:17
Will FC Metz win on 2026-05-17?	1	$100	769	0	+769	No	-$100	05-17 20:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	4	$92	3,839	0	+3,839	No	-$92	04-10 02:55
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	1	$2	20	0	+20	No	-$2	05-18 10:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-26 12:58:27	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	200	15¢	$31	0x5e710e…
07-23 07:05:03	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	428	43¢	$186	0xfca090…
07-23 07:04:43	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	SELL	2,719	7¢	$187	0xde1da8…
07-22 12:36:49	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1,996	39¢	$777	0xdced9d…
07-22 12:36:30	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	2,719	7¢	$200	0x189c98…
07-22 11:59:58	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	Yes	BUY	1,593	5¢	$80	0x484a4c…
07-22 11:59:06	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	SELL	1,281	85¢	$1,089	0x64689b…
07-21 17:06:03	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	1,281	82¢	$1,050	0x07466d…
07-21 14:39:12	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	2,123	100¢	$2,121	0x610ea0…
07-20 12:40:13	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	2,123	69¢	$1,457	0x716ad8…
07-14 03:13:59	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	Yes	BUY	3,573	4¢	$156	0xe687d7…
07-14 03:13:59	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	Yes	BUY	10,202	3¢	$339	0x5ad39b…
07-14 03:12:22	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	4,656	11¢	$512	0x237b57…
07-09 10:20:28	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	7,990	9¢	$717	0xfe6464…
07-09 10:19:32	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7,548	10¢	$747	0xbb2801…
05-28 22:26:17	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,548	30¢	$2,256	0x3c45ef…
05-18 11:25:00	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,150	18¢	$377	0xc32113…
05-18 10:53:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	47,339	5¢	$2,500	0x18fc0c…
05-18 10:12:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x609a07…
05-17 23:17:07	Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?	No	BUY	615	5¢	$31	0x610524…
05-17 23:14:32	Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?	No	BUY	106	5¢	$5	0xe281f0…
05-17 23:14:09	Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?	No	BUY	1,801	5¢	$90	0x5a4645…
05-17 23:03:09	Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x0a8677…
05-17 23:01:01	Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?	No	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0x408796…
05-17 22:55:50	Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xe37d04…
05-17 22:48:57	Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?	No	BUY	468	5¢	$23	0xb447ff…
05-17 20:53:15	Will Paris FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	1,364	100¢	$1,362	0x87833d…
05-17 20:09:17	Will FC Metz win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0x03925b…
05-17 20:01:44	Will Paris FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	1,364	22¢	$300	0x139cdb…
05-17 20:00:48	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	2,196	100¢	$2,194	0x568025…
05-17 16:49:21	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	2,196	71¢	$1,551	0xb352cb…
05-16 01:37:53	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x89e670…
05-16 00:20:32	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	44	17¢	$7	0x1ce1dd…
05-15 19:15:41	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	48	17¢	$8	0x587d3e…
05-15 17:21:33	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	120	17¢	$20	0xeb3dce…
05-15 16:28:21	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,207	17¢	$205	0x3a55a0…
05-15 16:10:02	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	45	17¢	$8	0x1fce7a…
05-15 14:52:51	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0xfb1b1a…
05-15 14:51:41	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	36	17¢	$6	0xd3fd37…
05-15 14:51:33	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	120	17¢	$20	0x3ac758…
05-15 12:54:12	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	36	17¢	$6	0x3b7d4c…
05-15 09:59:05	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xf5c4c0…
05-15 05:38:31	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	36	17¢	$6	0x519f6b…
05-15 03:23:37	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	241	17¢	$41	0x48536f…
05-15 02:37:25	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	114	2¢	$3	0xc806d1…
05-15 02:33:48	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	8,000	2¢	$176	0x41a6d9…
05-15 02:29:05	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	120	2¢	$3	0x0ff0f9…
05-15 02:27:32	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x505414…
05-15 02:09:53	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x58ba9b…
05-15 02:00:40	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	24	2¢	$1	0xfae551…
05-15 01:59:21	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	1,176	2¢	$26	0x6681e2…
05-15 01:58:46	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	1,770	2¢	$39	0xf030fd…
05-15 01:52:11	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	268	2¢	$6	0xa58eb8…
05-15 01:50:24	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	268	2¢	$6	0xdc5dd1…
05-15 01:40:10	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	608	2¢	$13	0x118b8a…
05-15 01:34:57	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	5,000	2¢	$110	0x47b87e…
05-15 01:32:16	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	179	2¢	$4	0xabe082…
05-15 01:31:21	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	238	2¢	$5	0xb18b88…
05-15 01:29:07	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	318	2¢	$7	0x92f626…
05-15 01:28:53	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x62e22f…
05-15 01:25:49	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xf0571a…
05-15 01:25:02	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x7282f1…
05-15 01:21:44	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xded5de…
05-15 01:09:59	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x96bc25…
05-15 01:09:27	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x69de25…
05-15 00:49:28	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	869	2¢	$19	0x5b6801…
05-15 00:30:19	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x1a7733…
05-15 00:30:17	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xcca3be…
05-15 00:30:15	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xf442d9…
05-15 00:30:15	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xb21b5c…
05-15 00:30:15	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x37c118…
05-15 00:29:54	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	24	2¢	$1	0x07db36…
05-15 00:00:41	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0x0a81e3…
05-15 00:00:07	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	153	2¢	$3	0x50e3dc…
05-14 23:59:50	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc4eedd…
05-14 23:57:32	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0x454005…
05-14 23:54:23	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	85	2¢	$2	0x4ec6c5…
05-14 23:11:34	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	32	17¢	$5	0xfb70a9…
05-14 23:11:27	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	17¢	$3	0xbd0391…
05-14 20:58:44	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	206	2¢	$5	0x432dbe…
05-14 20:56:21	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xaa2f13…
05-14 20:53:57	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	211	2¢	$5	0x844713…
05-14 20:52:49	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	463	17¢	$79	0x43c697…
05-14 20:50:22	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	34	2¢	$1	0xb6074f…
05-14 20:50:22	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x5b4131…
05-14 20:48:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9,091	27¢	$2,455	0xb80fe7…
05-08 07:50:18	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2,258	31¢	$711	0x117d84…
05-08 07:49:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9,091	22¢	$2,000	0x9b1315…
04-29 22:05:44	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,415	78¢	$1,100	0x7aaf25…
04-29 22:03:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	2,411	12¢	$300	0x12a4ff…
04-10 06:01:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,966	26¢	$511	0x80349a…
04-10 02:55:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	Yes	BUY	590	2¢	$14	0x4fc762…
04-09 23:09:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	Yes	BUY	2,626	2¢	$63	0x05a5e8…
04-09 19:36:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	Yes	BUY	28	2¢	$1	0x23f34c…
04-09 19:36:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	Yes	BUY	595	2¢	$14	0x987c67…
04-08 16:06:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	2,894	26¢	$753	0xcb89cf…
04-07 08:08:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 in April?	No	BUY	1,625	18¢	$292	0xf885b0…
04-07 08:07:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	388	76¢	$295	0x3a7d4a…
04-06 19:16:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	392	76¢	$298	0x863d9d…