Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
12
lifetime
Volume
$182
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$104
9 positions
First seen
2026-06-11
last 06-20 06:50
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
41%
Crypto
37%
Politics
22%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -769 $-49 $-49 +$0 06-13 10:16
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes +10 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 06-20 16:42
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 06-16 14:39
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +11 $10 89¢ $10 $-0 06-19 09:05
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +11 $10 85¢ $10 $-0 06-19 06:44
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes +94 $5 $5 +$0 06-19 09:22
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-18 15:04
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +31 $5 16¢ $5 $-0 06-19 09:22
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +0 $3 $0 $-2 06-20 06:50